Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
Quote Originally Posted by VaughnP View Post
Betting markets have started trending back towards Trump.


i think this is why:


https://twitter.com/SpencerHakimian/status/1825580164408910074


"So let's just assume Michigan and Wisconsin go blue, and North Carolina and Georgia go red. That means we're at 251-251. With only Pennsylvania, Arizona, and Nevada left, there is no scenario for either candidate to win without Pennsylvania.

You don't run to be President of the United States. You run to be President of 25,000 undecided voters in Pennsylvania. That's the whole ball game. Nothing more, nothing less. Kamala could lose 1.9 million votes in New York and gain 1 vote in Pennsylvania relative to Biden in 2020 and she is the better candidate for all intents and purposes. Same goes for Trump."
These cluster states are all inter-connected now. But I do agree about PA, it really is a true swing state. 50% of the population borders deep blue and 50% borders deep red. Assuming PA is the deciding factor, and it most likely is, it really comes down to which side gets their base out. I think in this election, Trump will get his base out more than Harris. She simply is not black enough. Her father was an Islander from Jamaica, her moms was an Indian. She is not some soul sister, I mean FFS she she is married to a rich Jewish white lawyer. She will get out the Black women, but the black guy is not going to wait in line to vote for her. This is not Obama, this is a woman who looks a lot more white than black. And she certainly acts a lot more white than black. Like I said she married a white Jewish lawyer and that is about the least black thing a black woman can do.