*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Dan Druff]

Page 2001 pick.

Fade Corbin Burnes.

Starting 4:15pm PDT.

Is Corbin "Burneing" out? Maybe. He allowed 5 runs in his last outing, and hasn't put up a zero-run outing since June 10. He's given up 9 ER in his last 19 IP over his prior 3 starts.

Tampa's starting with an opener who is inconsequential, but will then continue with Tyler Alexander, who was great last time out against the Astros (in Houston), but has also had some stinkers mixed in. He is one of these guys who is inconsistent, so don't blame me if he gets bombed. But he could very well pitch decently. In his past 3 appearances, he's allowed just 1 run in his past 9 2/3 innings.

I suggest you take "action" on this game, as the Tampa "starter" doesn't matter, and another starter instead of Burnes would be fine too.

Tampa (bullpen/Alexander) +121 vs Baltimore (Burnes)

[Dan Druff]

Soooo...

This Rasmussen clown who opened the game coughed up 4 runs in the 1st/2nd. Didn't expect that. Thought the guy would throw a shutout inning, then give way to Alexander.

Shitty.

[lol wow]

Hold on let me break down whats shitty is imagine ordering croissants for your child she might be the best child and then having no intention of eating lower tier safeway croissants but you find yourself justifying 6 hours later oh its fine you pt some chicken and cheese in one and youve somehow eaten 2.3 crossiglys by 4pm like a disgusting monster

[Dan Druff]

Well they tied it up 4-4, then gave up 3, then got 1 and blew bases loaded.

Not looking good.

[Daly]

Page 2k its been a ride

best guess on the win/loss % herein from users as a whole?

Lot of picks in here over the years. 20-25K of them I am sure.

We had some pages with props 7-8 years ago where we didn't have a loser. Or would go 15-3 or some such.

We have had long runs on sides by a lot of great posters.

My guess is you add it all up and we come out at 55% winners and it was better the further back we go closer to 50% now. Sides are tough

[DrPeters]

astros -145

[go_buccos]

The Dodger gyuys are terrible but not as bad as the MLB TV guys. Harold Reynolds is cringe..

I like Buck Martinez for the Jays and I like Kruk with the Phillies. Streaming for baseball keeps me occupied at least 3 days a week.

Don Orsillo is fantastic. Ex Red Sox announcer ofc. He has developed skills calling games for some poor teams.

In contrast, Joe Davis sounds like he is officiating a holy ceremony as he describes Dodger games. Orsillo is fun. Davis is serious and pompous.

Joe Davis is not gay. I checked. Wife and family.

Duane Kuiper/Mike Krukow for the Giants hands down the best announcing team in baseball.

Orsillo/Mud also solid.

100% agree that Joe Davis is a dumpster fire

[DrPeters]

brewers -110

[Dan Druff]

Ohtani Over 1.5 R+H+RBI -145

[Sanlmar]

Ohtani Over 1.5 R+H+RBI -145

I later got into the pitch mix and decided I preferred the companionship an Ohtani bet offers lonely people.

HR +215 boosted to +315 on DK.

Can’t walk him tonight, right?

[Dan Druff]

San got his HR on Ohtani's 3rd AB. Nice!

Tonight we are going to bet on the wind.

10mph wind blowing out at ATT Park tonight at 6:30pm. Decreasing to 7mph by 9pm.

Charlie Morton, who is almost 41, has been an enigma. In 2 of his last 3 starts, Morton has given up 3 and 4 HR -- in just 2 2/3 innings each! The August 1 start in between he was great, but that was against Miami. Occasionally Morton will throw a good game, but he seems to be having problems with the longball, giving up 11 HR in his past 5 games.

Kyle Harrison, who is definitely NOT near 41, is also having HR issues. He gave up 4 at Cincy on August 3. In his last start at Washington, he was removed after just 61 pitches, and his fastball was often in the 80s. Not good!

I like seeing these two facing up tonight with the wind blowing out, so you know which direction I'm going.

Atlanta (Morton) at San Francisco (Harrison) - OVER 8 -110

[go_buccos]

San got his HR on Ohtani's 3rd AB. Nice!

Tonight we are going to bet on the wind.

10mph wind blowing out at ATT Park tonight at 6:30pm. Decreasing to 7mph by 9pm.

Charlie Morton, who is almost 41, has been an enigma. In 2 of his last 3 starts, Morton has given up 3 and 4 HR -- in just 2 2/3 innings each! The August 1 start in between he was great, but that was against Miami. Occasionally Morton will throw a good game, but he seems to be having problems with the longball, giving up 11 HR in his past 5 games.

Kyle Harrison, who is definitely NOT near 41, is also having HR issues. He gave up 4 at Cincy on August 3. In his last start at Washington, he was removed after just 61 pitches, and his fastball was often in the 80s. Not good!

I like seeing these two facing up tonight with the wind blowing out, so you know which direction I'm going.

Atlanta (Morton) at San Francisco (Harrison) - OVER 8 -110

I'm on the other side here.

The wind blows out literally every day at that park, and usually much stronger than 7-10 mph. It's so consistent and strong that they specifically designed that park to minimize its impact. It's a pitcher's paradise.

[Dan Druff]

San got his HR on Ohtani's 3rd AB. Nice!

Tonight we are going to bet on the wind.

10mph wind blowing out at ATT Park tonight at 6:30pm. Decreasing to 7mph by 9pm.

Charlie Morton, who is almost 41, has been an enigma. In 2 of his last 3 starts, Morton has given up 3 and 4 HR -- in just 2 2/3 innings each! The August 1 start in between he was great, but that was against Miami. Occasionally Morton will throw a good game, but he seems to be having problems with the longball, giving up 11 HR in his past 5 games.

Kyle Harrison, who is definitely NOT near 41, is also having HR issues. He gave up 4 at Cincy on August 3. In his last start at Washington, he was removed after just 61 pitches, and his fastball was often in the 80s. Not good!

I like seeing these two facing up tonight with the wind blowing out, so you know which direction I'm going.

Atlanta (Morton) at San Francisco (Harrison) - OVER 8 -110

I'm on the other side here.

The wind blows out literally every day at that park, and usually much stronger than 7-10 mph. It's so consistent and strong that they specifically designed that park to minimize its impact. It's a pitcher's paradise.

Wish I knew, we could have opposed each other with no juice.

Morton coughed up 2 HR and Harrison gave up 1. However, the bullpens performed well, and only 1 run came home after the 4th.

You should be walking away with a "W", but now comes the scourge of extra innings with a man placed on 2nd, which has fucked many unders. 3-3 going to the 10th. I'll be happy with a tie here.

[Dan Druff]

A little squirter off D'Arnaud's bat got the guy home, but that's it.

Bottom of the 10th coming, I either win this bet or lose it. No tie possible now. Reverse for buccos, obv. At least one of us will win.

[Dan Druff]

Retarded bunt by Fitzgerald wastes an out, and SF comes up empty. Why do that with a guy hitting well?

Congrats buccos

[Tellafriend]

Retarded bunt by Fitzgerald wastes an out, and SF comes up empty. Why do that with a guy hitting well?

Congrats buccos

you are running so bad

[Dan Druff]

Retarded bunt by Fitzgerald wastes an out, and SF comes up empty. Why do that with a guy hitting well?

Congrats buccos

you are running so bad

Not sure if sarcastic or not, but that wasn't really running bad. Pick just wasn't a winner. Had I won in extras, that would've been lucky.

Just annoying when a shitty managerial decision lowers my chance to get lucky.

[Tellafriend]

mostly/kinda ot. but this guy is a great follow.

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/cornbreadcowboi/status/1823850102093680861

[Dan Druff]

Buehler alert

Didn't pitch well in rehab start. I think the guy is cooked.

Dodgers (Buehler) at Milwaukee (Montas) - OVER 5 FIRST 5 INNINGS -102

[Dan Druff]

Unlike yesterday, I made a good pick. Too bad I posted it so close to game time, because I really liked it.

Montas has also sucked lately (which I obv knew when picking it), and he coughed up 3 in the 1st.

Bottom of the 1st, Buelher has walked 3 to open the frame.

Seriously might win this over before the 1st inning is through.

I like Walker, but his career is over. Hard to get past 2 TJ surgeries, and now he also has hip issues on top of it.


Edit: Maybe not the 1st. Buehler gave up hard contact, but went right to Kiermaier, who threw a bullet to home to double up the runner tagging.