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Thread: *** OFFICIAL *** MLB 2024 Thread

  1. #581
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Everything is such long odds. I legit thought about Twins -2.5, but that’s just crazy talk.

    Be happy your book doesn’t offer it. Jose is 0-8 lifetime against pitcher. I’m just riding it out because he’s been so hot that he’s due or will take relief pitcher deep. But it isn’t smart.

    Twins 7-0 in 2nd. Not such crazy talk I guess. Should have went with gut, but 2.5 at home is hard to pull trigger on.
    I'm watching today and its basically your typical Twins anxiety experience. Lewis with another homer, but I get nervous when he has to do....anything with movement. Buxton made a nice jumping catch at the wall to save a couple runs in the 6th, of course he's laying on the ground after for too long and he gets pulled from the game as a precaution.

    I imagine this is what owning a fancy sports car is like. Brief moments of pleasure before something breaks. Usually that analogy is only used for a player, and not a whole team.

    4 games in 3 days next weekend BCR. Chance for the Tribe to put us away for good.

     
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      BCR: They are fragile. At 8-0 I was pissed I didn’t pull trigger. At 8-5, glad I didn’t

  2. #582
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by gut View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Everything is such long odds. I legit thought about Twins -2.5, but that’s just crazy talk.

    Be happy your book doesn’t offer it. Jose is 0-8 lifetime against pitcher. I’m just riding it out because he’s been so hot that he’s due or will take relief pitcher deep. But it isn’t smart.

    Twins 7-0 in 2nd. Not such crazy talk I guess. Should have went with gut, but 2.5 at home is hard to pull trigger on.
    I'm watching today and its basically your typical Twins anxiety experience. Lewis with another homer, but I get nervous when he has to do....anything with movement. Buxton made a nice jumping catch at the wall to save a couple runs in the 6th, of course he's laying on the ground after for too long and he gets pulled from the game as a precaution.

    I imagine this is what owning a fancy sports car is like. Brief moments of pleasure before something breaks. Usually that analogy is only used for a player, and not a whole team.

    4 games in 3 days next weekend BCR. Chance for the Tribe to put us away for good.
    Yeah they have 2 four game series left. I’d take a split in that one in Minny. Bibee I believe is due back, but dealing with hip issue, so who knows how effective he is?

    Sweep one way or the other and Sans Twins ticket becomes super EV or worthless. About to be 4.5 again barring bullpen meltdowns

  3. #583
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by gut View Post

    I'm watching today and its basically your typical Twins anxiety experience. Lewis with another homer, but I get nervous when he has to do....anything with movement. Buxton made a nice jumping catch at the wall to save a couple runs in the 6th, of course he's laying on the ground after for too long and he gets pulled from the game as a precaution.

    I imagine this is what owning a fancy sports car is like. Brief moments of pleasure before something breaks. Usually that analogy is only used for a player, and not a whole team.

    4 games in 3 days next weekend BCR. Chance for the Tribe to put us away for good.
    Yeah they have 2 four game series left. I’d take a split in that one in Minny. Bibee I believe is due back, but dealing with hip issue, so who knows how effective he is?

    Sweep one way or the other and Sans Twins ticket becomes super EV or worthless. About to be 4.5 again barring bullpen meltdowns
    That -2.5 would have held, as much as the Twins bullpen tried to make it competitive. I think the Twins just ruined this Steven Wilson (reliever sox) kids pro career this weekend. i guess the Royals started it before us but damn:

    Name:  Screenshot (19).png
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    He issued a bases loaded walk to our #9 hitter. Vazquez hasnt been a threat at the plate since 2020. Just groove him fastballs and he'll foul off half of them. He's a good catcher still but really any opposing pitcher should see him as "time to slow down the pitch count"

    Its funny and kinda sad to watch a pitcher so shattered that he's dancing around a nothing hitter with the bases loaded.

  4. #584
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Trip report seeing the Dodgers play in Oakland today: https://pokerfraudalert.com/forum/sh...o-Oakland-ever

  5. #585
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    One year since the Tim Anderson-José Ramírez fight.

    I cannot wait for playoffs. This regular nonsense is getting tedious

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  6. #586
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Freeman is back for Dodgers

    I doubt Freddie Freeman was taking live BP this past week

    Freeman Ohtani either to hit HR NO & Sawks KCR BTTS 2+ F7 parlay for +135 (DK)

    Game is lined 7.5. I’ll fade the HRs like the parlay streets are paved with gold. Bryce Harper is no prize either recently tbf

    Well, I'm not the world's most physical guy
    But when she squeezed me tight she nearly broke my spine
    Oh my Nola. ..
    N-O-L-A Nola

    Fun game

  7. #587
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    Jose over 1.5 bases +108. I’m betting till it loses.

  8. #588
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    Double in first AB works

     
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      Sanlmar: ✅

  9. #589
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    Two run line bets tonight.

    SF -1.5 +133
    Baltimore -1.5 +105

    Baltimore lineup has hit Bassitt very well in small samples.
    SF is just riding Birdsong which has worked well last few outings.

    Storms rolling heavy through here.

    Might play Guardians live, but with storms and tornado warnings, didn’t want to get caught up. Rodriguez has pitched well against Cle in past, but no rehab starts after being out 9 months is something to ponder.

     
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      Sanlmar: Debbie Does Cleveland

  10. #590
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Baseball trailblazer Billy Bean, who dedicated life to inclusion, dies at 60

    Leukemia


    The man who sparked moneyball metrics, Bill James, is still kicking

  11. #591
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Baseball trailblazer Billy Bean, who dedicated life to inclusion, dies at 60

    Leukemia


    The man who sparked moneyball metrics, Bill James, is still kicking
    My buddy’s older brother died of acute myeloid leukemia last year. Also exactly 60. I wasn’t that familiar with that cancer. When I looked it up, nasty aggressive fucker.

  12. #592
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    Well the kid fell apart quickly and blew a 4 run lead and now losing. I’m about to start hitting the cash out button blowing 2 6 run leads in my last 2 losses and now this one going to shit. Hopefully SF can pile some into the bulllen as neither SP is going deep

  13. #593
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    Question

    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Baseball trailblazer Billy Bean, who dedicated life to inclusion, dies at 60

    Leukemia


    The man who sparked moneyball metrics, Bill James, is still kicking
    Obligatory:


  14. #594
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Man both those bets crashed and burned. We move on. I only care when my greed cost me a 4-3 win when I bet RL. Outright losses sting less and neither was close.

    Lots of Cease K props went up in flames last night. It was glaringly obvious the Pirates/Padres was going to be delayed after an inning or two with a wall of thunderstorms heading in that couldn’t miss them and they decided to start the game anyway and both starters got burnt. I never thought they would start it or I’d have fired under props on both starters as it had just hit me and I knew it was a 90 minute to 2 hour delay minimum.

    Tribe double header today.

    Was cheering for your Twins last night gut for Skenes ROY ticket purposes. Double kick to the balls. What’s the status if that bet atm? My book doesn’t have updated ROY odds. Or at least I don’t think they are updated as Skenes is -5000? One tweak and they shut him down and our bet goes up in smoke.

  15. #595
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    I’ve won this like 5 days in a row so I can’t quit it, but scary in double header. They happen to get a lead or are losing badly and he’s sitting 1/3 with a single, I could easily lose an AB to rest.


    Single
    @
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    Open
    Aug 7 • 2024 At 12:10:42 PM
    Ticket ID: 7711679422
    Total Bases Recorded by the Player - Including Extra Innings (Listed player must be in starting lineup for bets to stand): Ramírez, José - Over 1.5
    ARI Diamondbacks @ CLE Guardians

  16. #596
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    Don’t look now but there’s a rattlesnake train coming up the tracks of the NL West and NL in general. 11 of 13 games won. 4 out of the NL West and could be 3 by the end of the day. 4th best record in NL as well. After a shit start the Dbacks are on a tear kicking ass and taking names despite their closer getting the Yips in fact had Sewald not blown those 4 saves almost in a row they would be tied with LA atop the division right now.

  17. #597
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Here’s a fun one
    Bosox TT F5 o1.5 & KCR ML parlay +750
    Boston bullpen is cooked.
    Boston is #1 vs LHP recently

  18. #598
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Here’s a fun one
    Bosox TT F5 o1.5 & KCR ML parlay +750 ✅
    Boston bullpen is cooked.
    Boston is #1 vs LHP recently
    Name:  IMG_0997.gif
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      1dollarboxcar: +++
      
      Sheesfaced:

  19. #599
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Man both those bets crashed and burned. We move on. I only care when my greed cost me a 4-3 win when I bet RL. Outright losses sting less and neither was close.

    Lots of Cease K props went up in flames last night. It was glaringly obvious the Pirates/Padres was going to be delayed after an inning or two with a wall of thunderstorms heading in that couldn’t miss them and they decided to start the game anyway and both starters got burnt. I never thought they would start it or I’d have fired under props on both starters as it had just hit me and I knew it was a 90 minute to 2 hour delay minimum.

    Tribe double header today.

    Was cheering for your Twins last night gut for Skenes ROY ticket purposes. Double kick to the balls. What’s the status if that bet atm? My book doesn’t have updated ROY odds. Or at least I don’t think they are updated as Skenes is -5000? One tweak and they shut him down and our bet goes up in smoke.
    DK has Merrill at +1400 and Imanaga at +2000. Only 2 other realistic options unless Busch goes on a tear. I did small hedges with each.

    Pirates barely hanging in the periphery of the wild card race. Skenes could make 10 more starts. If they fall out of it, I don't think they would shut him completely down, they might slow him down though....extra days off/try to get him only starting at home.

    Assuming everyone stays healthy, Skenes would really have to fall off a cliff to lose pole position. He has the hype, started the all-star game....read an article yesterday where the writer was pondering if he could win cy young lol.

    What concerns me is wondering how many cranky traditional voter types might prefer a Merrill (2 HR's yesterday) if he finishes at .285 with a 20/20 and say 85 rbi's to boot. If the Pirates keep blowing Skenes starts, and his final w-l record is like 9-3, do they go the other way? Everyone on this thread knows pitcher wins is a bs stat that is behind the times now, but who knows who is voting.

    EDIT: Just saw Skenes actually in 2nd posittion for cy young also lol. Sale +120, Skenes +200.

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    Braves are cooked. That is all.

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