Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #37941
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I hate money. Let me prove it to you

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      BCR: My book has this +133. I’ll ride with this myself.

  2. #37942
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    My book gave me a free minimum 4 leg parlay for $50. In honor of tellafriend’s multi-leg parlay heartbreaks last weekend. , we will see which game fucks me. I took it out to 6.

    Parlay (6 Picks)0 of 6 settled
    Oct 26 • 2023 At 01:52:20 AM
    Ticket ID: 6350039682
    Moneyline: Oklahoma @ -400
    Oklahoma @ Kansas
    Moneyline: Oregon @ -245
    Oregon @ Utah
    Moneyline: Georgia @ -625
    Georgia vs Florida
    Moneyline: USC @ -435
    USC @ California
    Moneyline: Oregon State @ -157
    Oregon State @ Arizona
    Moneyline: Fresno State @ -275
    UNLV @ Fresno State
    Odds:
    +465

    I’m guessing Oregon state fucks me. They’re better, but I don’t grasp why it’s only -3.5. Feels more like it should be -6.

     
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      Tellafriend: lfg

  3. #37943
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Qatar Masters Live (Suspended Round 2). Robert MacIntyre 4-1. Tees off in 6 hours. Price isn’t great. If you have profit boosts or bonus bets these are where you can get a little extra value. Bogey free so far just seems like he’s pretty locked in.

  4. #37944
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    Can someone please tell me why Cinci have gone to +5 v 49ers, doesn’t seem to make sense given injury doubts especially
    BALLIN'!!

  5. #37945
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Purdue +105 at Nebraska
    Southern Mississippi +16.5 -110 at Appalachian State

     
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      JeffDime:

  6. #37946
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Qatar Masters Live (Suspended Round 2). Robert MacIntyre 4-1. Tees off in 6 hours. Price isn’t great. If you have profit boosts or bonus bets these are where you can get a little extra value. Bogey free so far just seems like he’s pretty locked in.
    Sorry to bring you guys into the torture chamber. All that work and things just all seem to derail on me towards the end. Middle of the fairway on 15 and be lucky to get double. It hasn’t been my year to say the least. In all honesty I may be walking away and just stopping. It’s not a snap decision I’ve been giving it some real thought. I have a knack for golf handicapping…I know I do. But it’s still gambling.

    Thing with golf is you will lose much more than you win. You have to get used to losing. No matter what fashion you lose in you have to resist making tilt bets. You just have to take it. That’s not unique to golf but it what is. Especially handicapping all the tours across the globe it’s just taken its toll on me financially and as I get older physically. Last week I made tilt bets and of course got max punished and lost them all. It just is not good for my overall health. Of course as they say “winning cures everything”. But there just haven’t been enough of those lately.

    My real strength is mainly consuming golf tournaments and content as much as humanly possible. I have to be all in or all out. I am much more of a feel better than a stats guy. I truly enjoy putting some winning picks here and sharing it with others. I really don’t have an ego about it. But if I continue to post infrequently here or even decide for a lifestyle the reason is because I’ve just decided to stop or take a break.

    GL to all. Mac can still win this. Has to come back early morning to finish his round. But man it leaves a bad taste in your mouth to end on that note after not getting much sleep for weeks betting all this shit.

    This thread has so many great posters. Very thoughtful and insightful stuff. You won’t find better free info anywhere. Unfortunately I’ve been so preoccupied with the golf I haven’t been able to participate as much as I would like.

    Yes , this is sports betting it’s not warfare. I’m lucky to have been able to do it. But bottom line it has effected me and i may have to make some strong decisions. Really going up on two years of really fighting. That’s just too long to be fighting variance.

    BTW I still haven’t won a playoff since I won the 7 man with Kisner. I have lost at least my last ten. Most hav been 2 person like the shady J Ko loss a few weeks ago. And of course the Aberg loss was a 5 man so can’t complain about that one. But that’s not been a fun experience to say the least.

    My advice bet the other guys picks. GG

     
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      BCR: Take some time off and take care of yourself
      
      Pablo: GL
      
      Starbucks Spunk Bucket: Take a long break dude
      
      country978:
      
      Sanlmar: need non golf JeffDime too

  7. #37947
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Jeff

    The “good ones” take seasons and groups of time off all the time. You cant give what it takes to be successful at sportsbetting 365 days a year.

     
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      JeffDime: TY Brother

  8. #37948
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    My book gave me a free minimum 4 leg parlay for $50. In honor of tellafriend’s multi-leg parlay heartbreaks last weekend. , we will see which game fucks me. I took it out to 6.

    Parlay (6 Picks)0 of 6 settled
    Oct 26 • 2023 At 01:52:20 AM
    Ticket ID: 6350039682
    Moneyline: Oklahoma @ -400
    Oklahoma @ Kansas
    Moneyline: Oregon @ -245
    Oregon @ Utah
    Moneyline: Georgia @ -625
    Georgia vs Florida
    Moneyline: USC @ -435
    USC @ California
    Moneyline: Oregon State @ -157
    Oregon State @ Arizona
    Moneyline: Fresno State @ -275
    UNLV @ Fresno State
    Odds:
    +465

    I’m guessing Oregon state fucks me. They’re better, but I don’t grasp why it’s only -3.5. Feels more like it should be -6.
    Was able to cancel my free bet after talking to a sharp guy and AZ was one of his top 2 picks this weekend. Purdue was his other, which Druff has.

    So we just added in Duke with some extra points and went with garden variety 7 team free parlay.

    Moneyline: Oklahoma @ -375
    Oklahoma @ Kansas
    Point Spread: Duke +8.0 @ -159
    Duke @ Louisville
    Moneyline: Oregon @ -240
    Oregon @ Utah
    Moneyline: Georgia @ -590
    Georgia vs Florida
    Moneyline: USC @ -400
    USC @ California
    Moneyline: Fresno State @ -360
    UNLV @ Fresno State
    Moneyline: Kansas State @ -1000
    Houston @ Kansas State
    Odds:
    +505


    As far as real bets, I’m going to ride with Purdue ML +100

     
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      JeffDime: Will tail for old t8mes sake

  9. #37949
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    Going Zona +134
    Might put a little on -1.5 if i feel the need for speed.

  10. #37950
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Purdue +105 at Nebraska
    Southern Mississippi +16.5 -110 at Appalachian State
    As usual, I split my NCAAF picks.

    I've had so many weeks where I was 3-3, 4-4, 2-2, etc. Now I went 1-1.

    Purdue was shit the entire game.

    Southern Miss actually was winning OUTRIGHT most of the way, and then collapsed in the 4th quarter. I was impressed with how long they held on, as the heavy underdog. Fortunately there wasn't enough time for the collapse to bring them down 17, and they ended up losing 48-38, thus covering.

    Looking at Green Bay right now as a likely NFL pick.

    We did Baltimore (no spread) on the Circa Survivor contest week 8.

     
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      Pablo: We all liked Perdue.

  11. #37951
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Purdue +105 at Nebraska
    Southern Mississippi +16.5 -110 at Appalachian State
    As usual, I split my NCAAF picks.

    I've had so many weeks where I was 3-3, 4-4, 2-2, etc. Now I went 1-1.

    Purdue was shit the entire game.

    Southern Miss actually was winning OUTRIGHT most of the way, and then collapsed in the 4th quarter. I was impressed with how long they held on, as the heavy underdog. Fortunately there wasn't enough time for the collapse to bring them down 17, and they ended up losing 48-38, thus covering.

    Looking at Green Bay right now as a likely NFL pick.

    We did Baltimore (no spread) on the Circa Survivor contest week 8.

    God did Purdue suck. They got gifted a fumble on very first play. Got gifted another at opponents 10. They ended up -7 for both opportunities. Got nothing on opening fumble and got a FG blocked for a TD on the other. One of the worst offensive displays I’ve seen.


    Something is fishy about that Minnesota game. GB sucks. Minnesota seems to finally have gotten it together. You look at it and instantly want to click Vikings. I’m just staying the fuck away.

    This thread is where I make my weekly sacrifice to the devil Mike Tomlin and fade the Steelers. Jax 10 days off. Better offense. Actually better or equal defense defense than Pittsburgh. Give up less yards and roughly same PPG. They are just a far better team. But Tomlin probably sacrificed an extra baby this week,

    Parlay (2 Picks)0 of 2 settled
    Oct 29 • 2023 At 08:39:49 AM
    Ticket ID: 6367768
    Point Spread: JAX Jaguars -2.0 @ -110
    JAX Jaguars @ PIT Steelers
    Point Spread: MIA Dolphins -2.5 @ -315
    NE Patriots @ MIA Dolphins
    Odds:
    +152
    Last edited by BCR; 10-29-2023 at 06:06 AM.

  12. #37952
    Silver DrPeters's Avatar
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    Panthers +3.5

  13. #37953
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Green Bay +1 vs Minnesota
    Houston vs Carolina - Over 43 -110

     
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      Starbucks Spunk Bucket: Tailed o43

  14. #37954
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    I like the Carolina over Druff, good spot

    You guys have me nervous with GB & Carolina picks, don’t see how you can call those tbh but gl all
    BALLIN'!!

  15. #37955
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket View Post
    I like the Carolina over Druff, good spot

    You guys have me nervous with GB & Carolina picks, don’t see how you can call those tbh but gl all
    Ouch. 0-2 for me.

    Once again Dr. Peters came through, who seems to have a really good record on his PFA-posted picks over the years.

    BTW, our Circa Survivor ticket won again. We had Baltimore.

    We are 40% of the way there, and our ticket's equity is already pretty high. We were hoping Chargers would choke tonight (half the field picked them), but sadly the Bears are back to being the Bears, after 4 weeks of playing decently.

  16. #37956
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    NFL gonna NFL amirite
    BALLIN'!!

  17. #37957

  18. #37958
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Scott was overnight on VSIN a few years ago. He had amazing pipes. HOF voice.

    He’d offer baseball handicaps for the next days games and he was fire. Everyone has a heater but he had to talk about the picks at length in the dead of night so props to him.

    VSIN gets sold and he disappeared. Became a tout for some group last I looked. Shame. He had “on air” talent as his twitter handle alludes to.

    I haven’t been following NFL at all this year and it’s clear I’m not missing a thing. I am curious about the quarterback train wreck overall. Would read a story if offered to me. Gut prolly has something.

  19. #37959
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Pacers ML
    Lions -6
    +186 parlay

  20. #37960
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I hate money. Let me prove it to you

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    The above was a loser. X Rangers won in extra innings but not RL. We liked the plus money grrrrr

    Gotta keep my stupidity wagering status active with a winner or else.

    SGP Dallas ML & under 7.5 (alt) -115

    CBJ Merzlikens / Dallas Oettinger confirmed.

    Dallas is an under team and CBJ can’t score. CBJ Merzlikens not likely to embarrass us. Dallas Otter not Wedgewood tonight. Yada yada

    This is off the record but I’m doing nGIFT +120 & under 1P +110. A man’s gotta do what a man’s gotta do. I think my 5th grade math teacher would be proud.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 10-30-2023 at 11:55 AM.

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