Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #37021
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    So frustrating.

    Manning indeed did not survive the rain delay. A shit reliever coughed up 5 runs after Tigers got up 3-0 after 2.

    Exactly what I was worried about.

    That dick shaped thunderstorm really went right up my ass on this one.

  2. #37022
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    So frustrating.

    Manning indeed did not survive the rain delay. A shit reliever coughed up 5 runs after Tigers got up 3-0 after 2.

    Exactly what I was worried about.

    That dick shaped thunderstorm really went right up my ass on this one.
    Englebert lol

    I hit the eject button thankfully

  3. #37023
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Yeah 7-3 now. Awful.

    I'm convinced I win this one if no rain.

    Oh well. Had to lose eventually.

  4. #37024
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Englebert gave up 9. Wow. Why leave him in to flail like that, even with the game a lost cause?

    At least I can stop checking the score now.

  5. #37025
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Morning games

    Dodgers (Sheehan) -115 at Texas (Ma. Perez)

    Cubs (Taillon) +107 vs St. Louis (Montgomery)

    Milwaukee (Teheran) +139 vs Atlanta (Elder)

  6. #37026
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    One more

    San Francisco (Alexander) at Washington (Gore) - over 9 -115

  7. #37027
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    Quote Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket View Post
    Ended up going with:

    Denny McCarthy 150/1 (had him from weeks ago)

    Brooks Koepka 18/1

    Brian Harman 100/1

    Robert MacIntyre 50/1

    All each-way.

    Flyyyy pelicans!!
    Winner winner chicken dinner!!

     
    Comments
      
      DrPeters: very nice
      
      Sanlmar: Was he the guy in NCIS? Nice hit
      
      simply1: Great call. Congrats.
      
      Dan Druff: oh my
    BALLIN'!!

  8. #37028
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Morning games

    Dodgers (Sheehan) -115 at Texas (Ma. Perez)

    Cubs (Taillon) +107 vs St. Louis (Montgomery)

    Milwaukee (Teheran) +139 vs Atlanta (Elder)
    You lost us at Ed Sheeran

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    There isn’t a person who follows baseball that isn’t calling him Ed.

    Very odd spot to violate your house rule. Everything ok?

  9. #37029
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Fun game between Toronto (Berrios) & LAD (Grove). Two of our best cappers Simpdog and Druff are delusional about their respective teams and that’s fun.

    Gonna be hot and humid with poor air quality in LA. Ball should be flying.

    LAD smashes righties and is 2nd in MLB in drawing walks.

    I dunno if another one of those Sawks/Dodgers swaps, JD Martinez, is gonna be in lineup. He was out yesterday. I’d like to see him.

    LAD Grove is another over rated pitching prospect (over rated is the LAD team logo). He’s gonna get smashed.

    I have this thing over 10.

    I’m parlaying combinations of SDP (Yu Darvish) -1.5 and Jays/Dodger alternate totals (7.5 & 8.5) these each yield +155 & +185. Traditionally, we skip home team (SDP) run lines cause we lose an at bat bottom 9 but with Darvish vs lame ass Pittsburg we make an exception.

    It is important here to express our disgust with the Padres. They should be sellers cause this ain’t working. As well, the entire NL West is currently imploding recently. Preseason I was excited at the prospect of this traditionally weak division rebounding but good grief. It’s important to the game that the NL West show some heart. I bet a Padres to have the best record in baseball. So bad.

    Anyhoo…

    Being a nit I did some SDP ML (-250) with alt LAD totals too.

    You could just bet the over 9.5 which I feel is a good play but I don’t know what balls are being used or the LA humidor situation. Weirdness is definitely happening post ASG.

    These are two ploppie games so I chose to bet overnight and try to get some CLV.

    Mookie Betts is all over social media and podcasts. Apparently he has his own podcast as well. Immediately, I’m reminded of that other Dodger podcaster & sex offender Bauer. What few glimpses of Betts I’ve seen I’ve kinda been turned off by a smugness. It just might be me being repulsed by Dodger arrogance without results. Freeman has a nice touch here.

    I hear Giolito’s name and the Dodgers. There’s a guy with an attitude.

  10. #37030
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket View Post
    Ended up going with:

    Denny McCarthy 150/1 (had him from weeks ago)

    Brooks Koepka 18/1

    Brian Harman 100/1

    Robert MacIntyre 50/1

    All each-way.

    Flyyyy pelicans!!
    Winner winner chicken dinner!!

    Holy shit!

    Nice hit

     
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      Starbucks Spunk Bucket: Ty sir

  11. #37031
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    Holy shit!

    Nice hit
    Thanks pal hope you enjoyed your trip? Other than the lovely Sunday weather I mean, lol!

     
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      Pablo: 100-1
    BALLIN'!!

  12. #37032
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Random baseball musings 2023 edition:

    Jordan Walker for NL ROY was a theft at +1000 when the market opened. He stays healthy the award is his to lose.

    Pains me to say it as a lifelong res sox fan but them son of a bitch Yankees get all the breaks when it comes to award season. As such, Volpe as Jeter reincarnate +900 is wort a stab

    Posted this at the end of last year and a few months ago as well, if you were some if the early ones on S Strider for Most K’s at +1000 you got yourself a deal.

    C Javier looked like a true ace last year and a future Cy young award winner at that. +2200 why the hell not.

    The Red Sox will suck this year

    Little early to start counting money on these but off to a great start.

    Strider pulled into the lead last night. I expect that to stick going forward (adjusted for equal amount of starts). All about making the 31 starts now.

    Official Bed Shit on the two ROY bets.


    Fortunately we have this to look forward too.

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  13. #37033
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Don’t be afraid to collect strider walk prop money tho. He’s often available at over 1.5. Snell and Senga are two auto bets. From top top guys.

    I’m a walk junky. Rooting against human achievement is satisfying

    Strider will have 9 strikeouts on 60 pitches or some madness.

    You got the strikeout but I got the RoY.

  14. #37034
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Got punched in the face by MLB yesterday.

    San Francisco couldn't score against the LOL Washington pitching staff, and that game finished 6-1. Over lost.

    Atlanta was Atlanta and had an 8th-inning comeback, overcoming Milwaukee's thin 2-1 lead. Lost.

    Dodgers were up 4-0 but their pitching woes continued, and they lost 8-4. Lost.

    Only success story was the Cubs, who broke out to a 7-0 lead, and never looked back. Jameson Taillon is somehow pitching well last few outings, and should be watched for betting purposes.

    So I went 1-3 and lost a bit less than 2 units. Ugh.

    That makes me 1-4 since rolling off 6 wins in a row. To be fair, none of these 4 losses were bad picks. The Detroit pick was going well until the rain delay, the Dodgers were up 4-0 to start, the Brewers were up in the 8th inning (and for most of the game), and the Nationals scored 6 runs when I had over 9.

    All I can do is make good picks, and hope the luck is with me.

    Stand by.

  15. #37035
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Let's look at old Dodgers friend Kenta Maeda.

    He sports a troublesome 5.10 ERA through 9 starts. At age 35, is he done?

    Not so fast. A look at his individual games shows a horrendous 10-run beatdown in 3 innings on April 26. Turned out he had a bad elbow, pitched anyway, and then was out for 2 months recovering.

    Let's look at his 5 stats since returning. All have been good except a surprisingly bad one in Oakland on July 14, where he was wild. Against the Mariners, whom he's facing today, he allowed just 1 hit in 5 innings, with zero walks. He finally tired in the 6th and coughed up a 2-run HR, but otherwise pitched great.

    Luis Castillo seems to be going great overall, with a 3.04 ERA and 1.048 WHIP. But let's look a bit closer again. In 5 of his past 6 starts, he's coughed up 2 HR. This is starting to become an issue.

    Minnesota has won 8 of 10, and is starting to pull away in the tight AL Central. They are 29-22 at home.

    I believe this game will go to the Twins.

    Minnesota (Maeda) -110 vs Seattle (L. Castillo)

  16. #37036
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    All I can do is make good picks, and hope the luck is with me.
    Ed Sheeran can’t throw a slider for a strike to save his life. Doesn’t prevent him from trying tho. Dodgers gotta let their starters stay out there no matter what cause pitching depth problems

    Bad pick Bad.

    I actually took Dodgers today with Bo Miller. It’s so bad it might be good. Bo really is not that bad recently. Ploppies are scared by simple numbers. Toronto bullpen is exhausted and largely unavailable

  17. #37037
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    All I can do is make good picks, and hope the luck is with me.
    Ed Sheeran can’t throw a slider for a strike to save his life. Doesn’t prevent him from trying tho. Dodgers gotta let their starters stay out there no matter what cause pitching depth problems

    Bad pick Bad.
    As soon as it started, I realized the over was the proper play with that one. I was too focused upon Perez being shitty and the Dodgers hitting well. Barnes being in the lineup didn't help, either. Automatic out.

  18. #37038
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    Ed Sheeran can’t throw a slider for a strike to save his life. Doesn’t prevent him from trying tho. Dodgers gotta let their starters stay out there no matter what cause pitching depth problems

    Bad pick Bad.
    As soon as it started, I realized the over was the proper play with that one. I was too focused upon Perez being shitty and the Dodgers hitting well. Barnes being in the lineup didn't help, either. Automatic out.
    Does he still have a negative WAR?

    You can have Kike back btw. I’ll drive him to the airport

  19. #37039
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    2 outs, bottom 9th. Nobody on. 2-1 Twins.

    Base hit. Then Kolten Wong, of all people, smacks a HR. 3-2 Mariners. Ugh.

    Fortunately the Twins got 2 doubles in the bottom of the 9th, tying it, but failing to win in a walkoff.

    They got out of the top of the 10th with the phantom runner on 2nd, and then scored in the bottom half.

    All's well that ends well.

  20. #37040
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    Two games today, one early, one later this afternoon.

    St. Louis (Flaherty) +127 at Arizona (Gallen)

    Zac Gallen has given up 10 HR since June 4



    Detroit (Lorenzen) -104 vs Angels (P. Sandoval)

    Patrick Sandoval has walked 9 in last 3 starts combined, Michael Lorenzen has given up 0 ER in last 3 starts

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