Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #36801
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    That's 6 wins in a row for me in MLB, dating back to 6/17.

    Hopefully I can have a nice second half of the season.

  2. #36802
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    Threw a couple darts for the Open golf to wet my beak before the odds get cut

    Rickie Fowler 33/1
    Denny McCarthy 150/1
    BALLIN'!!

  3. #36803
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    That's 6 wins in a row for me in MLB, dating back to 6/17.

    Hopefully I can have a nice second half of the season.
    Good job, as soon as I saw your post last night I knew it was a winner, didn’t have to watch the game pal. I would never think or look to bet that myself. I would bet full game if anything just for viewing preferences. Silly mistake huh pal? Keep up the good work brother

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I am disappointed in myself for sleeping through the return of the pfatso -- Brandon Pfaadt.

    He's a top D-backs prospect who just can't win in MLB. This was his second stint in the Majors, and it went about as well as expected. You could have gotten a +107 on the Rays, of all teams. Can you imagine? Easy 6-1 victory for the Rays, of course.

    Here's a pick starting in 15 minutes -- a battle of two pitchers with inconsistent careers, but both of whom have done well recently.

    Light wind blowing out of Wrigley.

    Cubs (K. Hendricks) -101 vs Philadelphia (T. Walker)

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    Cubs down 3-1, blew two big scoring opportunities in 4th and 5th


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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Okay, I missed fading the Pfaatso, but I am going to fade another struggling pitcher today -- Mike Soroka.

    Soroka once had a great career ahead of him. Today, he's a big question mark. An injury shut him down for almost 3 years, and he returned to the Braves rotation earlier this season. He was horrible, and was demoted back to the minors.

    After 19 good innings in the minors, he's BACK to face the Marlins in Atlanta.

    The Marlins have Bryan Hoeing today, a converted reliever who has been fairly good in 2023. In fact, he threw 5 hitless innings in his last outing, and held the Blue Jays scoreless for 4 innings in his previous outing.

    The Braves are averaging 5.5 runs per game, and have an explosive offense. I wouldn't be surprised if they come back to win the game, but I see Hoeing outpitching Soroka, who has not yet shown he is Major League ready since his injury, so I'm going to first-5 it. You still get a nice price -- only 7 points off the full game price.

    Miami (Hoeing) +155 at Atlanta (Soroka) - FIRST 5 INNINGS

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    Texas (Jon Gray) vs Houston (R. Blanco) - Under 8.5 -105

    Jon Gray appears to be BACK, after getting clobbered by Toronto on June 18th. He had a blister, so that probably explained it, as that start followed a rare complete game against St. Louis. He went out and threw a nice start against the Yankees last time, showing that he's feeling better.

    Roniel Blanco has been mediocre this year, and was converted on June 1 to be a starter. He did pitch fairly well against the Dodgers, allowing just 2 hits in 6 innings, though both were HR, so that hurt his line. Blanco did manage 13 strikes on his slider alone in that start, which was encouraging.

    I was deciding whether to go with a full game u8.5 -105 or a 5-inning u4.5 +100. I decided to go full game, as Blanco is a bit of a wildcard, and I'd prefer to have the ability to win this if he gets hit hard and Gray pitches well. The 4.5 +100 first 5 isn't a bad pick, though.

  8. #36808
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Okay, I missed fading the Pfaatso, but I am going to fade another struggling pitcher today -- Mike Soroka.

    Soroka once had a great career ahead of him. Today, he's a big question mark. An injury shut him down for almost 3 years, and he returned to the Braves rotation earlier this season. He was horrible, and was demoted back to the minors.

    After 19 good innings in the minors, he's BACK to face the Marlins in Atlanta.

    The Marlins have Bryan Hoeing today, a converted reliever who has been fairly good in 2023. In fact, he threw 5 hitless innings in his last outing, and held the Blue Jays scoreless for 4 innings in his previous outing.

    The Braves are averaging 5.5 runs per game, and have an explosive offense. I wouldn't be surprised if they come back to win the game, but I see Hoeing outpitching Soroka, who has not yet shown he is Major League ready since his injury, so I'm going to first-5 it. You still get a nice price -- only 7 points off the full game price.

    Miami (Hoeing) +155 at Atlanta (Soroka) - FIRST 5 INNINGS

    YOU SHOULD HAVE STAYED IN BED

  9. #36809
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well this Marlins pick is a huge dud.

    Hopefully the under in Texas wins later.

  10. #36810
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    TENNIS PICK

    TOMMY PAUL -1.5 SETS +110

  11. #36811
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    Well, it's not as bad anymore. Soroka finally failed like I suspected, and gave up 3 in the 3rd, plus gave up a single, but it ended there. 5-3 Braves in bottom 3. Still not in good shape, given it's a first-5, but we can possibly still pull into a tie here if we get lucky.

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    GO BACK TO BED

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    CARLOS IS NOT WINNING ON GREEN

    JOKER MIGHT BUT HIS VALUE IS SLIM AT -189

    WIMBLEDON WINNER.- ZVERVER +3000

    MDEVDEDVED IS STRUGGING - HE'LL MAKE A RUN BUT HE'S NOT RIGHT

    ANDY MURRAY AT +4000 IS REALLY REALLY SLIM FOR A GUY THAT IS OLD. BET HIM, BIG

  14. #36814
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sam Snead View Post
    CARLOS IS NOT WINNING ON GREEN

    JOKER MIGHT BUT HIS VALUE IS SLIM AT -189

    WIMBLEDON WINNER.- ZVERVER +3000

    MDEVDEDVED IS STRUGGING - HE'LL MAKE A RUN BUT HE'S NOT RIGHT

    ANDY MURRAY AT +4000 IS REALLY REALLY SLIM FOR A GUY THAT IS OLD. BET HIM, BIG
    I need to get to work on Wimbledon. MLB is draining my wagering enthusiasm - it’s such a grind

    I did my first “double result” today (DK). The F5 and Full game together is a double result. Cubs DR was my bet. I see double results are trending in an effort to skirt the juice for a heavy favorite.

    What some are noticing is that the double result pricing does not keep pace with money line changes. There was huge movement in the Cubs price this morning and the double result did not change. Honestly, I bet it blind for value. Didn’t watch either.

  15. #36815
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    ZVEREV IS THE BET, TRULY. PLUS 3K.

    CARLOS IS THE STAR BUT HE'S NOT READY ON GREEN.

    KYRIOS DOESN'T COMMIT HIS TALENT,

    SINNER QUITS. HE'S TOO BEATABLE.

    ALEXANDER Z. IS MY BET

  16. #36816
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well I was correct to eschew first 5 under 4.5 in the Texas game.

    3-2 after 5, would've barely lost.

    Now bottom 9, 5-3 Astros. Need that bullpen to close it out with 0 runs.

  17. #36817
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Got it.

    Not my finest day of handicapping, getting blown out on the Marlins, and winning the other by 0.5 (and needing 3 full scoreless innings at the end to win), but I'll take the 1-1.

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    Cleveland (Bibee) +116 at Cubs (Stroman)

    Betting the weak-hitting Injuns against the Cubs against Stroman, for a measly +116 in Chicago? Am I crazy?

    Maybe.

    Stroman got bombed last start because of a blister -- one which apparently isn't all better.

  19. #36819
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    Going to big bet on the Royals based on Salamander pick. Let me fucking clear if this does not work to my favor I will not be kind to anyone.

  20. #36820
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    Nicky Pipes will hate this, but time to fade the Rays.

    Seattle (Kirby) +100 vs Tampa (Glasnow)

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