*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Daly]

Sat down and gave NHL totals a good look. Probably a losing night incoming.


Wild Under 6, if you can find it
Vegas under 7 -130, again if you can find it
Toronto over 6.5
Islanders under 6.5
Avs -1.5 -140 (dont go nuts here)

Welp - might as well add seattle under 6.

If the islanders under holds we may be going to sizzler

[Daly]

Sat down and gave NHL totals a good look. Probably a losing night incoming.


Wild Under 6, if you can find it
Vegas under 7 -130, again if you can find it
Toronto over 6.5
Islanders under 6.5
Avs -1.5 -140 (dont go nuts here)

[Dan Druff]

Great job Daly. Sadly I didn't see those picks so I didn't get to even consider them.

Utah Tech blew a chance to score with the final possession and went to OT, but managed to win by 4. So at least I won my one pick.

[Starbucks Spunk Bucket]

So Ive looked at the players a few different ways. Ive read up on others with thoughts I value. Ive watched the exchange and made my pick(s).

No other way around it - experience is a major factor here. You dont have to be a bomber here to win but you damn well better know where to hit it and be able to execute once you hit it where it needs to be. I see Tom Kim being a winner here in time, but not for a few years (i did find a 50-1 i sprinkled on).

Lot of repeat names in the top 15 over the years and its been quite a while since someone who here and it was a total shock.

Rham and Scottie don't have that winning profile here, as such. Rory does as a former winner. None of the three are worth the shot at a 10-1 or less price.

Don't think we going to have a Kurt situation where someone priced 100-1 or greater is going to win…. Kind if extension if the experience rule. Id fancy Molinari as a past champion over Kim, to beat the point to death. There arent many players with a good past here priced that high.

I do see a handful of players priced between 25-1 and 40-1 who i like, with - few between 40-100 who might be worth a stab. Put a gun to my head and of course Im taking Rory or Rham. But “at the number”……

1. J Day 32-1 is very very live

2.A Hatton 30-1 checks every box and great form
2.B Hovland 29-1 see above

3A Im 32-1
3B Lowry 58-1 one or both of Lowry and Im is going to bink a big one soon / Ill be here for it

4A Bradley 43-1 on the leaderboard every year here / has been there at majors recently…. Worth the stab
4B SW Kim 63-1 won me my first 50-1 bet so I love the guy - but also great record here

5 Fleetwood 90-1 quietly extremely experienced plays great in wind and also has a sneaky good history. NOBODY on tour is as overdue for a big tournament win as fleetwood

Seems GCD agrees with some of your choices here.

https://www.golfcentraldaily.com/202...-Tips.html?m=1

[Pablo]

UNLV Air Force 1H Under 62.5 -105

[Daly]

This pick stands apart from the experience diatribe above and at some point you cant bet them all…..


That said I could see taking a small stab on Cantlay.

[Daly]

Liked last nights NHL a little more (obv statement after a early sweep)

Gun to head…..

Under 6 Detroit
Under 5.5 Wild
Pass on Ducks game

[Starbucks Spunk Bucket]

So far I’ve wet my beak on

Jason Day 25/1 outright
Tyrrell Hatton 30/1 outright

Jason Day FRL 45/1 outright

Will see how I feel tomorrow… strongly considering Zalatoris (loyalty over form), Lowry and Bradley each-way

[Dan Druff]

NCAAB
Oklahoma -110 at Oklahoma State
Florida International -110 vs Louisiana Tech

[Dan Druff]

Toronto +2.5 -107 at Clippers

[Daly]

I legitimately would have bet that this was an Onion article.

That being said - who is our WWE expert?

[Sanlmar]

Krack is a fun listen. Not the most articulate guy and not especially worldly either. You reserve judgement because he delivers within his own sphere of gambling.

A CNBC byline should trigger all kinds of skepticism. “Paid Content” should be splashed across the headline.

The CNBC tv model exchanges airtime to companies or funds for content. The companies shill their products or narratives (often false) and CNBC fills dead air. They aren’t masters of journalism.

I am casually aware WWE is for sale only because I heard the Saudi’s were in the mix as a suitor (like LIV golf etc). Why? IDK. DJ Chaps might help us with that.

I suspect the WWE is floating this nonsense as a public relations stunt to keep some heat surrounding the brand. CNBC is a willing and shameless pawn. Krack would not know anything about CNBC and I wouldn’t expect him to.

Krack is usually a Thursday 11am guest on Gil’s show. Since VSIN sold out I haven’t listened much any more but the weekly Krack hour still makes the cut. Nothing but love.

Don’t get me wrong. The WWE story is a lightning rod for Krack’s frustration with the industry. A feeling I completely share. I have been more than vocal myself about the decline of Sports Wagering.

[1dollarboxcar]

my "mock" and " ploppy " bets for this weeks Players Championship , i am not a sports bettor , but was an avid golfer for 25 years until my back went out, and i just enjoy the game of golf, so just thought i would put on record what i might bet if i really had the balls to do so.... gonna start low and slow and leave myself some room for adjustments for an exciting 4 days of golf coming up.... anyways i am starting off with these 2 mock bets


Tony Finau to finish in top 40, -200 , $20 to win $30

Billy Horschel to finish in top 40 , +160 , $20 to win $52

[Sanlmar]

Smoking the NHL @Daly. You’re in the right market IMO.

I saw an over on yesterday’s card. I used to wait a minute or two into a game and bet the over at a reduced price. We all did. BOL recently locked us out from live betting sides or totals at the start for an undetermined period of time. They just don’t want to gamble anymore. 30-40 cent live lines weren’t enuff.

If I did Twitter I’d troll the fuck outta BOLBurnes

I got a million stories

Dead to me.

[Dan Druff]

FIU came back from 17 down to take it to OT, and now is shitting the bed. At home, no less. These college teams know no momentum.

[Starbucks Spunk Bucket]

So far I’ve wet my beak on

Jason Day 25/1 outright
Tyrrell Hatton 30/1 outright

Jason Day FRL 45/1 outright

Will see how I feel tomorrow… strongly considering Zalatoris (loyalty over form), Lowry and Bradley each-way

Saw that Zalatoris didn't shoot under par any round last weekend so left him out

Added Bradley and Lowry (both 33/1) each way, and sprinkled some more on Day 25/1 e/w as well

GLGL, LFG, etc

[Pablo]

Action in the AM

Miami Ohio Toledo 1h under 72.5

[Daly]

Colin has the distinct honor of having won me two tournaments lifetime (US Open and British Open), both in tbe high 20’s…… so as far as Im concerned he and Daly are more than square.


That said - he may have just jammed his cock in everyones ass. He did fall apart in Hawaii and he may start seeing ghosts, but he sure has the look of a wire to wire winner here. His game fits this place and he is making a mockery of the winning experience needed meme.

Maybe one of our afternoon runners goes low and follows up with a decent morning

[Starbucks Spunk Bucket]

I love Morikawa too, I was on him on the British Open win also

Wasn’t too worried until I saw his form, which was decent apart from 2 missed cuts

Early days, half the field still teeing off. That said FRL bets look toast lol

[1dollarboxcar]

Horschel and Finau both got me nervous to not finish in top 40, both finished at +1

taking another mock bet.....

prop bet ... no hole in one in round 2, -400 , bet $48 to win $60