Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #35901
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Imagine my feeling of relief for late posting. Skirted the mush

    That’s awesome. I got sucked into golf a little bit too so good for the thread.

    Weather is always over rated.

    Everybody hates golf until they realize its the one market where 50-1 picks win most weeks (300-1 in this case).

    Everyone hates golf until they realize you can make a big bet and have it last 4 days

    I wasnt a golf guy 3-4 years ago. Now im flying to liverpool with my dad to see the open this july (the one in the UK).

    Careful San, you might like it.

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    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Imagine my feeling of relief for late posting. Skirted the mush

    That’s awesome. I got sucked into golf a little bit too so good for the thread.

    Weather is always over rated.

    Everybody hates golf until they realize its the one market where 50-1 picks win most weeks (300-1 in this case).

    Everyone hates golf until they realize you can make a big bet and have it last 4 days

    I wasnt a golf guy 3-4 years ago. Now im flying to liverpool with my dad to see the open this july (the one in the UK).

    Careful San, you might like it.
    You catch me at a wagering crossroads.

    Betonline is nothing more than an out in terms of usefulness. It used to be so much more. I have withdrawn all but a few hundred. We had a good run. Was once their biggest cheerleader. I had a very respectable roll on there. They called me twice this evening. I’m done.

    Mass goes legal Friday. I’ll take their feeble bonuses. Pit one book against the other - make a few hundred. What happens after that with wagering depends on what opportunities I think I see with overnight lines or alt parlays or whatever. Maybe poorly priced futures (like golf) can be a thing. I dunno.

    I snapped poker off clean when that was no longer a worthwhile effort. Never looked back.

    I can do the same with wagering. My volume is massively reduced. I used to post 6 or more events pending a night. Not any more. We will see.

    Maybe golf. I’m open. In my heart though I know I am not that strong mentally to endure the swings without positive reward for my efforts.

    BOL places calls out of Vegas which I always found ironic. We have nothing to discuss. My bitching won’t help.

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    Last edited by Sanlmar; 03-05-2023 at 08:16 PM.

  3. #35903
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    Why do they keep calling you San?

    Daly, please let me know how I can ever thank you for your tips. Would love to buy you & your dad a nice dinner when in Liverpool or something.
    BALLIN'!!

  4. #35904
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post


    Everybody hates golf until they realize its the one market where 50-1 picks win most weeks (300-1 in this case).

    Everyone hates golf until they realize you can make a big bet and have it last 4 days

    I wasnt a golf guy 3-4 years ago. Now im flying to liverpool with my dad to see the open this july (the one in the UK).

    Careful San, you might like it.
    You catch me at a wagering crossroads.

    Betonline is nothing more than an out in terms of usefulness. It used to be so much more. I have withdrawn all but a few hundred. We had a good run. Was once their biggest cheerleader. I had a very respectable roll on there. They called me twice this evening. I’m done.

    Mass goes legal Friday. I’ll take their feeble bonuses. Pit one book against the other - make a few hundred. What happens after that with wagering depends on what opportunities I think I see with overnight lines or alt parlays or whatever. Maybe poorly priced futures (like golf) can be a thing. I dunno.

    I snapped poker off clean when that was no longer a worthwhile effort. Never looked back.

    I can do the same with wagering. My volume is massively reduced. I used to post 6 or more events pending a night. Not any more. We will see.

    Maybe golf. I’m open. In my heart though I know I am not that strong mentally to endure the swings without positive reward for my efforts.

    BOL places calls out of Vegas which I always found ironic. We have nothing to discuss. My bitching won’t help.

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    Ive had a few of these calls in the past. To call them uncomfortable at times is a bit of an understatement.

    “Hey buddy its so and so from BOL….. you going to make a deposit and bet tonight? Lot of hot hot action in ABC markets”

    “Hi. No. Im really only a college football and golf guy”.

    “Well NBA is on tonight who do you like”

    “I have absolutely no idea…… i wouldn't wast my time on watching NBA”

    * crickets *

    “So….. we great bonuses”

    “Oh…. Whats the rollover”

    “Oh…… so you know what s rollover is”

  5. #35905
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    Quote Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket View Post
    Why do they keep calling you San?

    Daly, please let me know how I can ever thank you for your tips. Would love to buy you & your dad a nice dinner when in Liverpool or something.
    San is Just something Ive shorten and he's never corrected me to say otherwise.

    Indont need restitution. Part of having a bit of a community like this is to share information and exchange favors. If you see something thats worth betting / post it here. Thats the best way you can thank me.

    If you will be around Liverpool / let me know.

     
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      Starbucks Spunk Bucket: Gent

  6. #35906
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    You catch me at a wagering crossroads.

    Betonline is nothing more than an out in terms of usefulness. It used to be so much more. I have withdrawn all but a few hundred. We had a good run. Was once their biggest cheerleader. I had a very respectable roll on there. They called me twice this evening. I’m done.

    Mass goes legal Friday. I’ll take their feeble bonuses. Pit one book against the other - make a few hundred. What happens after that with wagering depends on what opportunities I think I see with overnight lines or alt parlays or whatever. Maybe poorly priced futures (like golf) can be a thing. I dunno.

    I snapped poker off clean when that was no longer a worthwhile effort. Never looked back.

    I can do the same with wagering. My volume is massively reduced. I used to post 6 or more events pending a night. Not any more. We will see.

    Maybe golf. I’m open. In my heart though I know I am not that strong mentally to endure the swings without positive reward for my efforts.

    BOL places calls out of Vegas which I always found ironic. We have nothing to discuss. My bitching won’t help.

    Name:  B59D2FEE-7A05-48C1-8AD8-81D6C3E4DF33.png
Views: 245
Size:  260.1 KB
    Ive had a few of these calls in the past. To call them uncomfortable at times is a bit of an understatement.

    “Hey buddy its so and so from BOL….. you going to make a deposit and bet tonight? Lot of hot hot action in ABC markets”

    “Hi. No. Im really only a college football and golf guy”.

    “Well NBA is on tonight who do you like”

    “I have absolutely no idea…… i wouldn't wast my time on watching NBA”

    * crickets *

    “So….. we great bonuses”

    “Oh…. Whats the rollover”

    “Oh…… so you know what s rollover is”
    Omg hahahaha this is definitely illegal in the UK. Gambling here has got way out of hand and operators are under huge pressure to take responsible gambling seriously. In reality it’s a façade but at least there are some limits- and the player can choose methods of communication etc.

    I guess BOL is illegal though so there’s that lol.
    BALLIN'!!

  7. #35907
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    Cool

    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket View Post
    Why do they keep calling you San?

    Daly, please let me know how I can ever thank you for your tips. Would love to buy you & your dad a nice dinner when in Liverpool or something.
    San is Just something Ive shorten and he's never corrected me to say otherwise.

    Indont need restitution. Part of having a bit of a community like this is to share information and exchange favors. If you see something thats worth betting / post it here. Thats the best way you can thank me.

    If you will be around Liverpool / let me know.
    I get ya, hopefully I can find something even close to this tip lol! Well I’m very grateful, this was a nice payday (even better than the 2nd vs Rory)

    Unfortunately I won’t be around; usually I could have made it across the pond but funnily enough I have booked to go to Spain in July in order to watch the Open there with my dad lol

    I hope San is ok with me also shortening his name, he does call me spunk after all :P
    BALLIN'!!

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    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Buff/Oilers over 7 -130
    Buffalo +135.
    Jets under 6 +100

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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Buff/Oilers over 7 -130
    Buffalo +135.
    Jets under 6 +100
    Count me in on the over 7.

    If it wasnt such a ridiculous number compared to most games id say 8

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    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    In fact….. and i dont like laying anything > -250…..


    Over 1.5 -290 third period…….


    Yes its expensive…. But there have been very few games between these two that haven't had 2 third period goals

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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Buff/Oilers over 7 -130
    Buffalo +135.
    Jets under 6 +100
    1-2. Tomorrow is another day.

  12. #35912
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    This isn't considered widely available but if you have a book that is hanging 6 -120 on Wild v flames….. im having a hard time seeing this get to 7 unless we get to 3-3 somehow.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    This isn't considered widely available but if you have a book that is hanging 6 -120 on Wild v flames….. im having a hard time seeing this get to 7 unless we get to 3-3 somehow.
    I am seeing under 5.5 goals even money?
    BALLIN'!!

  14. #35914
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    Quote Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    This isn't considered widely available but if you have a book that is hanging 6 -120 on Wild v flames….. im having a hard time seeing this get to 7 unless we get to 3-3 somehow.
    I am seeing under 5.5 goals even money?

    Pass for me. Big difference with getting a push at 6.

     
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      Starbucks Spunk Bucket: You’re the boss

  15. #35915
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    For the record if Florida Vegas gets to 7 ill be on the under. Almost considered under 6.5 so long at +125

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    Sat down and gave NHL totals a good look. Probably a losing night incoming.


    Wild Under 6, if you can find it
    Vegas under 7 -130, again if you can find it
    Toronto over 6.5
    Islanders under 6.5
    Avs -1.5 -140 (dont go nuts here)
    Last edited by Daly; 03-07-2023 at 03:05 PM.

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    Always liked Rozner for the Kenyan Open. Prob is rest of the world does too. You can get him 18-1 worth a bet. Maybe small 35-1 frl. Guy can play. No killers in the field.

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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Always liked Rozner for the Kenyan Open. Prob is rest of the world does too. You can get him 18-1 worth a bet. Maybe small 35-1 frl. Guy can play. No killers in the field.
    Im in for some. Hes clearly the guy to beat by the fellas betting on the exchange

  19. #35919
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    So Ive looked at the players a few different ways. Ive read up on others with thoughts I value. Ive watched the exchange and made my pick(s).

    No other way around it - experience is a major factor here. You dont have to be a bomber here to win but you damn well better know where to hit it and be able to execute once you hit it where it needs to be. I see Tom Kim being a winner here in time, but not for a few years (i did find a 50-1 i sprinkled on).

    Lot of repeat names in the top 15 over the years and its been quite a while since someone who here and it was a total shock.

    Rham and Scottie don't have that winning profile here, as such. Rory does as a former winner. None of the three are worth the shot at a 10-1 or less price.

    Don't think we going to have a Kurt situation where someone priced 100-1 or greater is going to win…. Kind if extension if the experience rule. Id fancy Molinari as a past champion over Kim, to beat the point to death. There arent many players with a good past here priced that high.

    I do see a handful of players priced between 25-1 and 40-1 who i like, with - few between 40-100 who might be worth a stab. Put a gun to my head and of course Im taking Rory or Rham. But “at the number”……

    1. J Day 32-1 is very very live

    2.A Hatton 30-1 checks every box and great form
    2.B Hovland 29-1 see above

    3A Im 32-1
    3B Lowry 58-1 one or both of Lowry and Im is going to bink a big one soon / Ill be here for it

    4A Bradley 43-1 on the leaderboard every year here / has been there at majors recently…. Worth the stab
    4B SW Kim 63-1 won me my first 50-1 bet so I love the guy - but also great record here

    5 Fleetwood 90-1 quietly extremely experienced plays great in wind and also has a sneaky good history. NOBODY on tour is as overdue for a big tournament win as fleetwood

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