Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #35241
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Wow... that Phoenix under pick looking great so far. 21 points in 10 minutes.

    Here are two more picks, this time on sides:

    Portland -1 at Minnesota
    Miami -8.5 -109 at Lakers (Lebron, Walker, and of course still Davis OUT)

  2. #35242
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    These first two under picks are among the best I've ever made -- at least so far.

    38-30 with one minute left in the HALF for Phoenix/Cleveland.

    Toronto/Milwaukee is a 7-3 game through the first 8 minutes.

    Wow!

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    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Some whispers that Xander Schauffele is hurt.

    His matchups vs JT and Finau were both very much 50/50 going into this. Might be worth taking a stab at a fade.

    Rham or Finau for me
    Finau vs X went from +115 when i posed the above to -140 now.


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  4. #35244
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    This Bucks game is insane. They were up 95-79 with 1:18 left in the 4th. Game over, right?



    Raptors came back 16 in those 78 seconds.

    This sent the game into a 97-97 OT, and threatening my under if it goes to 2OT. If I lose this somehow, it will be among my worst beats ever. Right now 104-101 Bucks near the end of OT.

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well fortunately the Bucks pulled it off in OT, 104-101, so crisis averted. Bucks -5.5 people gotta be furious though.

    Anyway, Portland blew their comeback at the end of the 4th and ultimately lost by 7.

    Lakers somehow are off to a 32-23 start sans Lebron, Walker, and Davis, but that may not last, so I'm not panicking yet.

  6. #35246
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    LOL.

    I early bet the Charger -3 next week with the perfectly reasonable assumption they would play it side by side with the Ravens game, so they would be playing for the 5 seed.

    However, they decided to play Raven game in the morning, so Chargers could very likely be playing for nothing and know it, and the line instantly moved to +2 to compensate. So I have -3 on a +2 bet. Talk about the opposite of closing line value.

    Why would the NFL schedule to make a game possibly meaningless when it doesn't have to? Is there a Taylor Swift concert that night?

     
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      Tellafriend: just hadn't made it to lac yet. sorry

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I don't think Miami is gonna cover here. They erased the 10-point deficit but have been unable to pull away. Every time they pull into a tie, they fall behind again, and then catch back up to a tie.

    Right now 80-79 MIA. They're just not playing well against this shorthanded Lakers. But maybe they'll turn it on here in the 4th.

  8. #35248
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    Haven't even bothered to look at Ravens spread, but they are going to get SMOKED you can bet your life on that.

    This will be over by halftime. And they have nothing in the tank to backdoor cover even in that scenario. The only weapon they have on offense is Dobbins and he will be irrelevant by the end of the 1st quarter with them down 10-0. This could get real ugly, real quick.

     
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      country978: The Bengals sure do look like contenders too. Burrow to Chase is deadly.

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    NCAAB

    Long Island +8.5 at Central Connecticut

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    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    @Simp

    KrashWagers Twitter for NHL props … I’m not props myself but juicy info


    David Portnoy (Barstool) on Joe Rogan. I haven’t listened but I’m told I must. I think Portnoy is a clown but he tells his origin story which is god.

    He cashed out (Penn) at the top.

    Penn Gaming went from $140 —> $30 in 2 years …. but who hasn’t?

    If anyone has this clip I’d love the link. I really don’t wanna listen to the whole show if I don’t have to

     
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      simpdog: Will check it out
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 01-05-2023 at 05:22 PM.

  11. #35251
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    @Simp

    KrashWagers Twitter for NHL props … I’m not props myself but juicy info


    David Portnoy (Barstool) on Joe Rogan. I haven’t listened but I’m told I must. I think Portnoy is a clown but he tells his origin story which is god.

    He cashed out (Penn) at the top.

    Penn Gaming went from $140 —> $30 in 2 years …. but who hasn’t?

    If anyone has this clip I’d love the link. I really don’t wanna listen to the whole show if I don’t have to
    Sort of Portnoy related:

    Some of the Barstool guys played at the 2022 WSOP, and one of them was at Allen Kessler's table. Kessler was being Kessler, and I guess they got into some argument. The Barstool guy went onto Twitter to shame him, and it went really, really badly. The poker community wasn't having it.

    Basically the attitude was that you earn the right to talk shit about Kessler by being one of us. You can't come in as an outsider, pretend you belong, and then bash him on Twitter. The response was fast and harsh, and the Barstool guys backed down after initially trying to band together and stand up to the poker players criticizing them.

    Unfortunately the whole thing took a woke turn when people started linking articles about Barstool being sexist, blah blah blah, and I lost interest, as did most other people.

  12. #35252
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I've done poorly on these big dog spreads in college basketball. I might have to quit them. 8.5 isn't huge, but it's still big. This was a battle of two shit teams which I thought would be close.

    Long Island held close throughout most of 1H, but has just melted down. Amazing how these dog college teams never seem to come back when down at 1H. I might take advantage of that going forward. Seems like almost a lock that the underdog team behind at the half is going to get killed in 2H.

  13. #35253
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well I'm going to fire on 2 more games at 6pm PST.

    NHL
    NY Islanders +139 at Edmonton

    NCAAB
    Loyola Marymount -110 vs BYU

  14. #35254
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Some whispers that Xander Schauffele is hurt.

    His matchups vs JT and Finau were both very much 50/50 going into this. Might be worth taking a stab at a fade.

    Rham or Finau for me

    Im legitimately at a loss for when the last time i placed a bet this +EV (JT first round vs X) that didn't cash (it pushed).

    Xander was clearly a shell of himself today and held up his end of the bargain being in last place through the last hole. The first round matchup was vs JT the third favorite. On top of shitting the bed all day he decided to put a ball in the ocean on 17 and take a double. This is on top of missing a few very makable puts

    Still very very +EV for the tournament long bets esp vs Finau.

    I mean its called gambling for a reason but this is the sports equivalent of getting it in set over set and having hin river quads

  15. #35255
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    1-6-23

    NCAAB -
    Fairfield ML - 165 Fairfield has won 6 in a row at home vs Niagara. I do not like laying 3.5 points in this game.
    Marist +12.5. Iona is defintely the better team but I think that Marist covers the spread.

    ATP Tennis - Adelaide Tournament 1-7-22
    Medvedev vs Djokovic - Medvedev + 1-1/2 sets - 165.
    Live Betting - I doubt that I will be awake at 5:00 am tomorrow morning. But if I was awake and Medvedev wins the first set, I would bet on Djokovic to win the match at very good odds.

    Good luck.

  16. #35256
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    @Simp

    KrashWagers Twitter for NHL props … I’m not props myself but juicy info


    David Portnoy (Barstool) on Joe Rogan. I haven’t listened but I’m told I must. I think Portnoy is a clown but he tells his origin story which is god.

    He cashed out (Penn) at the top.

    Penn Gaming went from $140 —> $30 in 2 years …. but who hasn’t?

    If anyone has this clip I’d love the link. I really don’t wanna listen to the whole show if I don’t have to
    I can't even make sense of this but literally everything you said is wrong. He still has a ton of Penn stock.

    He aint your type of guy, and it was quite possibly the worst interview I have ever seen. They talked about MMA for 3 hrs of the 3:20 run time. Literally nothing business related.
    Last edited by NaturalBornHustler; 01-06-2023 at 03:31 PM.

  17. #35257
    Nova Scotia's #1 Party Rocker!!!!11 DJ_Chaps's Avatar
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    ARLAY (2 TEAMS)
    NHL | ICE HOCKEY
    Nashville Predators Vs. Washington Capitals
    Washington Capitals (-1.5) Handicap (Incl. Overtime And Penalties) +138
    Game Date: Jan 6, 2023 - 07:00 pm
    NBA | BASKETBALL
    Chicago Bulls Vs. Philadelphia 76ers
    Philadelphia 76ers (-4) Handicap (Incl. Overtime) -110
    Game Date: Jan 6, 2023 - 07:00 pm

     
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      thesidedish: lol
      
      OK2: Run it UP
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Chaps' 2017-18 NFL $$ Thread

  18. #35258
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Ship the chips

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      Starbucks Spunk Bucket: Hero

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    NBA:

    Milwaukee vs Charlotte - Under 230 (Hayward OUT)

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    Horrible Charlotte just put up 33 in 7 minutes in Milwaukee. Not 33 in a quarter, not 33 both teams combined. 33 themselves.


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