*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Dan Druff]

First 4-pick day.

Mets (Carrasco) -0.5 -115 at Washington (Corbin) - FIRST 5 INNINGS
Corbin is pretty much a lock to have a bad game every time he goes out. Carrasco has been brilliant, aside from one horrendous start against the Cardinals. Near even money for the (better) Mets to be ahead after 5 is a great buy here.

Toronto (Kikuchi) at Yankees (Severino) - Over 7.5 +100
Kikuchi shut down the Yankees last time out, but it was his only good start of the year, and he has a 20/14 K/BB ratio, and in fact had down velocity in that one good game! Note that the wind is blowing in at 10mph, thus depressing this total, but we are looking at two pitchers with not-so-good WHIPs, to where that matters less.

Cleveland (Quantrill) at White Sox - Over 8 -115

Baltimore (Bradish) at St. Louis (Naughton) - Over 8.5 -105 (over 8 -120 ok)
Wind blowing out for this one. St. Louis doing a bullpen game.

[Sanlmar]

Mia/Az 1st 5 under 4 is baiting me

Neither team hits. Both team strikeout a lot.

Madbum gonna be a mad and rested bum.

Wish I caught the 4.5 earlier

[Dan Druff]

Welp... I get the one game of the season where Corbin isn't a complete trainwreck. So far he's looking dominant. Game 0-0, so at least I still have a shot at the Mets having the lead by the end of the 5th.

Blue Jays hitting Sevy pretty hard. Up 4-0 in the 2nd. Now I just need Kikuchi to be Kikuchi.

[Dan Druff]

Wow. I actually lost a run. Toronto went from 4-0 to 3-0. Of course in a game where I have the over. Home run overturned.

I would laugh if I wasn't crying so hard.

[Dan Druff]

Bad day for NY baseball so far.

Mets shut out for 5 innings and blew a few chances. That one loses OUTRIGHT for me.

Yankees can't hit a bad pitcher.

[Sanlmar]

Every time I bet like a ploppy, I lose.

Then you might not want to read further. Overnight CLV on ploppie bets credits you ploppie betting dispensation.

Milwaukee Brewers/Cincinnati Reds over 8 -125 W
Reds Hunter Greene
Reds are hitting some now
I am violating my feelings about the baseballs by betting totals here. I blame hubris. I am self aware.
Trashy bullpen
Consider Brewers RL


Dodgers -1½ -135 W
Dodgers were all sleepy and strung out after Sunday Night Baseball. It happens. Did you see Urias get abused (squeezed) by the umpire? I felt bad and I don’t care for Urias. He was a man bottom of 6th. Props. His team mates let him down

Every Dodgers win has been by RL, I believe.
Let’s beat the Dodgers ploppies money tomorrow

I have some dog ideas like Arizona but I want 1st 5 lines

2-1 (I lost ATL vs BOS)

Dig into those Dodger Run Line results, Druff. You won’t believe it.

Reds and Dodgers are a peculiar pair to trust

Speaking of trust & totals. I do not think a wise man can trust the baseballs. Who knows. You won’t see me on totals very often.

[MrTickle]

Lock of the year. Ukraine to win Eurovision 2022. The odds have shortened massively in recent days so get on it asap. -159 (1.63) at the moment

[Sanlmar]

12:35p
New York Yankees -133 FAVORITE PLAY TODAY
Yanks Taillon is elite. Yankees bullpen is rested and the team is rolling. As much as I love the idea of the Jays as a fun team Berrios has a barrel rate problem

Marlins/Arizona Diamondbacks under 4 -110 for 1st 5 Innings
Great pitching & no hitting
Can’t resist this retard totals play

Cleveland Guardians/Chicago White Sox over 8½ -108
Cleveland Guardians/Chicago White Sox over 4½ -115 for 1st 5 Innings
Either/both/neither. Choose your dice.

Brewers RL is autobet. I have no control of the machine

Lotta deliciousness today

[Sanlmar]

I’m into the Jamesons Whisky already. Thanks taillon. Thanks simp

[Dan Druff]

Lock of the year. Ukraine to win Eurovision 2022. The odds have shortened massively in recent days so get on it asap. -159 (1.63) at the moment

I can't find this on BOL, unfortunately, and the other books I use don't carry stuff like this.

Sad!

[Dan Druff]

This one is starting soon.

Chad Kuhl is a different pitcher since leaving Pittsburgh. He's had 5 great starts, including two at home in Denver, one of which was against the Phillies. Last game, the average exit velocity off opposing bats was 82mph! Wow!

Alex Cobb of the Giants has not been all that good since 2016, and this year he's been inconsistent thus far.

I'll take the big dog money here.

Colorado (Kuhl) +193 at San Francisco (Cobb)

[Sanlmar]

12:35p
New York Yankees -133 FAVORITE PLAY TODAY W
Yanks Taillon is elite. Yankees bullpen is rested and the team is rolling. As much as I love the idea of the Jays as a fun team Berrios has a barrel rate problem

Marlins/Arizona Diamondbacks under 4 -110 for 1st 5 Innings
Great pitching & no hitting
Can’t resist this retard totals play

Cleveland Guardians/Chicago White Sox over 8½ -108 Covid
Cleveland Guardians/Chicago White Sox over 4½ -115 for 1st 5 Innings
Either/both/neither. Choose your dice.

Brewers RL is autobet. I have no control of the machine L

Lotta deliciousness today

1-1- COVID

The Reds over was the play. They suck and they hit. We learn

This Giants fsde by Druff… looking. It sure would be cool

Reds are far below the chart. Lol. Doesn’t account for recent performance and that is how we handicap. That be the edge son. Old data is the other side of the trade

[Kalam]

Damn. Potential brutal beat coming.

I had JJJ O17.5 points for the game. He has 13 points in the 2nd Q and hurts his elbow diving for a ball. No clue if he comes back into the game or not, but they could definitely play it safe and keep him out seeing as they are up by 27 at halftime. Absolutely brutal.

I also had Tyus Jones O13.5 -140. He has 12 and probably good for 8 minutes in the 3rd before scrubs come in for whole 4th Q. So just need one basket. I am favorite, but not a lock by any stretch.

[Kalam]

Damn. Potential brutal beat coming.

I had JJJ O17.5 points for the game. He has 13 points in the 2nd Q and hurts his elbow diving for a ball. No clue if he comes back into the game or not, but they could definitely play it safe and keep him out seeing as they are up by 27 at halftime. Absolutely brutal.

I also had Tyus Jones O13.5 -140. He has 12 and probably good for 8 minutes in the 3rd before scrubs come in for whole 4th Q. So just need one basket. I am favorite, but not a lock by any stretch.

JJJ is back in for 3rd, but I am not sure it matters. Desmond Bane has taken like 15 shots in a row and has taken every shot in the 3rd so far. Looks like they are just going to let him eat the whole Q and then put in scrubs. Lame.

Edit: LOL. Jackson scores two 30 foot 3 pointers (I am not exaggerating, look at the box score) in the 3rd for the over. Oh yeah, I had Warriors -4 for game too. They are losing by 50, so that one probably isn't going to happen.

[Sanlmar]

1:00p

Bad pitching & decent hitting

New York Mets/Washington Nationals over 4½ -120 for 1st 5 Innings

[Sanlmar]

Yo Tickle

The more I look at this Mets game I’m certain the pitchers are gonna be calling mom to see if their childhood bedroom is still as they left it.

It’s the MLB baseballs so who knows

[Sanlmar]

Damn. Potential brutal beat coming.

I had JJJ O17.5 points for the game. He has 13 points in the 2nd Q and hurts his elbow diving for a ball. No clue if he comes back into the game or not, but they could definitely play it safe and keep him out seeing as they are up by 27 at halftime. Absolutely brutal.

I also had Tyus Jones O13.5 -140. He has 12 and probably good for 8 minutes in the 3rd before scrubs come in for whole 4th Q. So just need one basket. I am favorite, but not a lock by any stretch.

JJJ is back in for 3rd, but I am not sure it matters. Desmond Bane has taken like 15 shots in a row and has taken every shot in the 3rd so far. Looks like they are just going to let him eat the whole Q and then put in scrubs. Lame.

Edit: LOL. Jackson scores two 30 foot 3 pointers (I am not exaggerating, look at the box score) in the 3rd for the over. Oh yeah, I had Warriors -4 for game too. They are losing by 50, so that one probably isn't going to happen.

Curry still has his morning shift at Subway?

[Sanlmar]

1:00p

Bad pitching & decent hitting

New York Mets/Washington Nationals over 4½ -120 for 1st 5 Innings

Nats Adon was spectacularly awful….. and lucky. 50 or so pitches in the 2nd. 2 inning ending double plays with at least 2 men on. Base running errors on both sides. Just stupid.

Right bet wrong result.

MLB has never been so hard. 9 projected 100 win teams and on the other side teams like a Cubs and Reds. Nothing in between and the lines to match. Stupid baseballs too

[Sandwich]

Betting these before weigh ins, mostly underpriced dogs on this Saturday’s May 14 UFC card (1 unit each):
Andre Petroski +310
Carlos Candelaria +210
Viviane Araujo +105
Manuel Torres -125
Ryan Spann +195

[Dan Druff]

1:00p

Bad pitching & decent hitting

New York Mets/Washington Nationals over 4½ -120 for 1st 5 Innings

Nats Adon was spectacularly awful….. and lucky. 50 or so pitches in the 2nd. 2 inning ending double plays with at least 2 men on. Base running errors on both sides. Just stupid.

Right bet wrong result.

MLB has never been so hard. 9 projected 100 win teams and on the other side teams like a Cubs and Reds. Nothing in between and the lines to match. Stupid baseballs too

Yeah this has been a very tough month to bet MLB. Kinda feels like everything is so unpredictable. The dead balls have been a killer.