Quote Originally Posted by IAmProfessionalTalk View Post
Trump is the only possibility you have. Winning elections is about getting non-voters to vote. When the leftist candidate doesn't get anyone's dick hard then the old crusty GOP turns out and wins with their 18% majority of the total populace. With Trump you can actually turn the tables for once and be the party to capture a piece of that silent mass.

Granted there will be a lot of people showing up just to vote against Trump but at least he raises the variance which is how upsets happen.
The polls say otherwise.

And as much as you can claim that Trump will get usual non-voters out to vote for him, I believe the flip side will occur even more (as you even acknowledged).

Republicans don't need variance here because beating Hillary won't be an upset.

Hillary is the favorite to win next year. I'll admit that. I'll even go as far to say that she's a favorite over the entire Republican field.

However, she is not a huge favorite.

Obama versus McCain was a huge favorite.

That's why I supported Palin as the VP choice, because at that point he had nothing to lose. Either Palin was going to energize people to vote for him, or she was going to be an embarrassment and a net negative. Turned out it was the latter, but had he gone with a "safe" VP choice, it would have been a guaranteed loss.

But Republicans do not need to throw the Hail Mary pass this time around.

Hillary is very flawed and may very well beat herself. This is why Republicans should actually go with "safe" this time, and go with the candidate with the fewest gotchas, and then hope Hillary implodes. That's the best strategy at this point, because Hillary has enough holes to where Republicans may beat her simply because Hillary is Hillary.

What Republicans DON'T want is to make people vote for Hillary because they see her as the lesser of two evils. That will happen if Trump is the nominee.