Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
Quote Originally Posted by Texter View Post

The funny thing is this is going to be 2016 all over again. Dems pushing Trump against seemingly more daunting challengers, but if successful and he emerged, trouble as Biden is still incredibly weak and unpopular.

I have watched the Trump die hards around here.I’ve been surprised at how many instantly flipped to Desantis after mid term rejection of everything Trump, but it’s still 60/40 Trump if I had to hazard a guess.

The thing is I know these people and they love the show. If Trump starts pounding on Desantis and is effective, looks stronger, they’ll flip back. I’d be preparing for a slew of short jokes if I were Desantis and how to respond to the constant mockery Trump will deliver. Appear strong and laugh it off and he’ll be fine. He’s not Ted Cruz, so I think he may have it in him, but it’s going to get bloody. For GOP, you can sustain losing a good portion of your new Trump base and probably still do better by traditional conservatives and crossover Dems who would vote for Ron, but never Donald.

It’s like a big boxing match where you don’t know what it’s going to look until you see it. Trump coming out trying for an early KO with insults and haymakers once it gets serious and Desantis trying to get through first few rounds and win the fight in the end on the judges card.
Trump endorsed candidates went 174 and 9 in the polls. That's not exactly a repudiation of Trump. Republicans outpolled Dems by 6 million votes. Redistricting, failing to work the mail in/early voting, and McConnell stiffing certain senate candidates with PAC money caused the lack of performance.

But the predictions for the Senate were way out of line anyway. 20 republican seats were up for grabs compared to just 14 Dem seats. And the prediction was to show a net 4 to 6 seat gain? No chance. But 2024 will be different. 20 Dem seats up for grabs while just 13 republican seats.