Quote Originally Posted by ftpjesus View Post
Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

The rainout threw all the cards in the air.

I’m off this game - at least overnight.


I’m about to unload a clip on Astros to win the AL @ -185.

Whoever wins has to fly to Houston and play the next day against a rested Astros. It’s like spotting the Astros 1-0. This expanded playoffs is so messed up.

Astros are def greater than 65% against either NYY or Cleve in that spot.

The only fly in the ointment would be a blowout especially by Yankees. They are more prone to using their starters in relief - up to and including Cole in a tight game. Maybe Cashman prohibits using Cole, idk. You get my point.

I love the Guardians and this bet will mean I don’t bet anymore AL til the World Series but I have to.

If I wanted to get cute I could live wager the inevitable Astros slow start in game 1. This has less to do with too much rest than a season of falling behind and finishing strong by a Astros. They were a hemorrhoid to wager in the regular season.
Yankees vs Houston makes for better storylines for the ALCS clearly. Expect Yankees to smash Cleveland in short order tomorrow to allow them to just coast most of the game. (if the fix is in possibly). Truthfully if it is Cleveland I dont give them a snowballs chance against Houston, Astros in 5 easy. See other thread I somehow have this gut feeling MLB wants a Judge vs Harper slugfest for the WS but we shall see and it would be a rematch of 2009 when the Yankees last won it all.
Fixing games is an NBA thing in recent history. Much easier to do. It’s like judging figure skating. All fouls are subjective.

I was remiss in not advising taking the pitchers as ACTION if you are on Cleveland. If Bieber goes instead of Civale then you will pocket a smooth 25 cents on the line (it’ll drop to +125). I did.

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I reaaaally want Cleveland to start Bieber. I know it screws you with Houston but you gotta get there first. If the thought is to have Bieber come in if Civale gets in trouble then those 2 runs early might be too late.

A short rested Cortes is worse than Taillon imo.

An elite bullpen supersedes a starting pitcher coming in off bench. Karinchek or Clase trump Taillon to use an example.