**Official Worker's Party Thread -- Nov 27-Dec1**

[simpdog]

Let's get it started in here.

My only suggestion right now is Seattle/San Fran over 39.5

Why? How about why not instead. I typed up a paragraph of why this over would hit, then realized. Fuck off. You don't need reasons this year in primetime games. Just take the over, sit back, relax, drink a beer and cash that money.

[JUSTIFIEDhomicide]

Those are two offenses and Defenses I could see that would mean the exact opposite of primetime, normally.but as you said this year, fuck it

[simpdog]

Those are two offenses and Defenses I could see that would mean the exact opposite of primetime, normally.but as you said this year, fuck it

Seattle over/under 7-4
San Fran over/under 4-7

Last 4 meetings totals 40,36,32,55

Moral of the story all signs point to a 16-12 game with 6 fgs or so.

But primetime games are absolutely retarded. One team is going to go off for 27 pts++ and the other just needs 13 to make this a winner.

Final score 27-20.

[BeerAndPoker]

I like it for the simple theory I have playing on a few days rest hurts defenses more then offenses.

9 of 11 Seahawks games have gone over 39.5 this year.

It could always go under but no way would I ever bet that way in this game while I will fire on the over.

TCU -6.5 and over 55 vs. Texas are bets I'm considering too.

[BCR]

I'm with Simp. I wouldn't bet anyone else's money on it with the Thursday over streak, but I don't see how this game goes over 30, let alone 40, without multiple defensive scores. These offenses can't get out of their own away against bad defenses. I don't know how they score more than td against a good defense.

[Hockey Guy]

I'd also have no issues with taking the over on this game.

I'll be watching anyways & could use the sweat.

[adamantium]

this is a coin toss, leave this game alone

[DRK Star]

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
SEATTLE is 17-9 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO since 1992
SEATTLE is 15-11 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO since 1992
14 of 25 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 5-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-2 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons

4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at SAN FRANCISCO since 1992
SEATTLE is 7-5 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO since 1992
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-5 straight up against SEATTLE since 1992
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Key Player Injuries
SEATTLE
[G] 11/27/2014 - James Carpenter probable Thursday vs. San Francisco ( Ankle )
[LB] 11/27/2014 - Brock Coyle probable Thursday vs. San Francisco ( Gluteus )
[CB] 11/26/2014 - Jeremy Lane "?" Thursday vs. San Francisco ( Groin )
[TE] 11/26/2014 - Cooper Helfet expected to miss Thursday vs. San Francisco ( Ankle )
[LB] 11/26/2014 - Kevin Pierre-Louis expected to miss Thursday vs. San Francisco ( Shoulder )
[C] 11/26/2014 - Max Unger expected to miss Thursday vs. San Francisco ( Knee )
[DT] 11/11/2014 - Brandon Mebane out for season ( Hamstring )
[DE] 11/06/2014 - Greg Scruggs IR ( Knee )
[FB] 10/23/2014 - Derrick Coleman expected to miss 4-6 weeks ( Foot )
[DE] 10/17/2014 - Cassius Marsh out indefinitely ( Foot )
[TE] 09/23/2014 - Anthony McCoy IR ( Achilles )
[LB] 09/23/2014 - Heath Farwell IR ( Groin )
[DT] 09/23/2014 - Jesse Williams IR ( Knee )
[DT] 09/23/2014 - D'Anthony Smith IR ( Undisclosed )
SAN FRANCISCO
[TE] 11/26/2014 - Derek Carrier expected to miss Thursday vs. Seattle ( Foot )
[NT] 11/26/2014 - Glenn Dorsey expected to miss Thursday vs. Seattle ( Forearm )
[T] 11/26/2014 - Anthony Davis expected to miss Thursday vs. Seattle ( Concussion )
[CB] 11/23/2014 - Tramaine Brock "?" Thursday vs. Seattle ( Hamstring )
[WR] 11/23/2014 - Bruce Ellington "?" Thursday vs. Seattle ( Knee )
[TE] 11/23/2014 - Vance McDonald "?" Thursday vs. Seattle ( Back )
[NT] 11/20/2014 - Ian Williams IR ( Ankle )
[S] 11/13/2014 - Jimmie Ward IR ( Foot )
[LB] 11/11/2014 - Patrick Willis out for season ( Toe )
[CB] 10/25/2014 - Chris Cook IR ( Hamstring )
[G] 10/20/2014 - Daniel Kilgore IR ( Knee )
[CB] 09/23/2014 - Kenneth Acker IR ( Undisclosed )
[T] 09/04/2014 - Brandon Thomas out indefinitely ( Knee )
[LB] 09/04/2014 - NaVorro Bowman out indefinitely ( Knee )
[FB] 09/04/2014 - Trey Millard out indefinitely ( Knee )
[CB] 09/04/2014 - Keith Reaser out indefinitely ( Knee )
[RB] 09/04/2014 - Kendall Hunter IR ( Knee )
[RB] 09/04/2014 - Marcus Lattimore out for season ( Knee )

[abrown83]

Bears money line for a hundo.

There are a few truths in sports and the Lions shitting the bed is one of them.

They need this game which means bed shitting will happen.

Also like the over in this game.

[Hockey Guy]

this is a coin toss, leave this game alone

It's definitely a coin toss but we're talking about betting the over which has been 11-1 on primetime games this year & also a short week for both teams. I wouldn't advocate a huge bet but something in the range of what we'd been doing $200-250. 11-1 is hard to ignore IMO.

[DRK Star]

some info that might make a difference here is that last week, before the seahawks played AZ, they had about a dozen of the team leaders have a "come to Jesus" meeting with the head coaches. they were very frustrated about their play this year and realized that they had to come together and put a lot of the silly bullshit that prevented them from focusing aside, and they they went out and beat AZ 19-3, a team that was looking like a sure pic for superbowl. Granted, AZ's starting qb is out, but the back up doesnt look too bad.

SEA might be back and focused.

[simpdog]

this is a coin toss, leave this game alone

It's definitely a coin toss but we're talking about betting the over which has been 11-1 on primetime games this year & also a short week for both teams. I wouldn't advocate a huge bet but something in the range of what we'd been doing $200-250. 11-1 is hard to ignore IMO.

EXACTLY this.

[adamantium]

this is a coin toss, leave this game alone

It's definitely a coin toss but we're talking about betting the over which has been 11-1 on primetime games this year & also a short week for both teams. I wouldn't advocate a huge bet but something in the range of what we'd been doing $200-250. 11-1 is hard to ignore IMO.

I vote no more than a hundred on this game this could easily be like a 14-10 score

[JUSTIFIEDhomicide]

this is a coin toss, leave this game alone

It's definitely a coin toss but we're talking about betting the over which has been 11-1 on primetime games this year & also a short week for both teams. I wouldn't advocate a huge bet but something in the range of what we'd been doing $200-250. 11-1 is hard to ignore IMO.

Uhhh, if that is the record you're throwing around for primetime games than this is not a primetime game. Because Thursdays don't have as good of an over record.



Also I believe BRC is confused. He says agree with simp and says no way it goes over...

I like bears ML for a good sweat and good ML +260. I posted it last night too

[BeerAndPoker]

this is a coin toss, leave this game alone

It's definitely a coin toss but we're talking about betting the over which has been 11-1 on primetime games this year & also a short week for both teams. I wouldn't advocate a huge bet but something in the range of what we'd been doing $200-250. 11-1 is hard to ignore IMO.

The 11-1 is on Sunday Night Football games but the Thursday night record overs have a very good record too.

[NaturalBornHustler]

Bears +7 +280
Lions -7 -335
Total - 45.5

Eagles +3 +143
Cowboys -3 +163
Total - 56

Seahawks +1.5 +105
49ers -1.5 -125
Total - 40

[adamantium]

I like Bears ML, 50-100$

[Hockey Guy]

Yes, you guys are correct & I was quoting the Sunday primetime game. I still think, as B&P pointed out, that it still seems like a decent play for a small bet.

Also like the Detroit-Chicago under for something small.

[BCR]

Clearly I misread the thread. I thought Simp liked under. I bet under personally, but I'm aids lately, so there's that.

I also bet Detroit -7

[JUSTIFIEDhomicide]

I feel like That Bears ML is just a good of a shot as the O tonight.

Let's face it. You're saying 11-1 on primetime games. What does that even mean? Between monday and sunday night there have been 12 games? Well it's thursday so none of that really matters.

Another possible solution and not very consequential would be 50 on the O(SEA/SF) and 50 on ML Bears