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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #14501
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker View Post

    Most people thought the Cavs would get much better when IT2 started playing and it's been the opposite of that.
    Iím sorry you felt that way and missed the ATM.

    Anyone who saw IT play in Boston knew the defensive disaster that awaited. It has almost exceeded expectations.

    Cleveland is dead last in the NBA against the spread. The consistency of their awfulness defies description

    Got a little spooked with the 33 point loss and then seeing a -7 tonight. Autobet, autobet, autobet. Donít think.
    yup. Oddly I wasnít even that upset after first Q. I figured the bet was done. But with value and fading Cleveland Iíll take it all day. Not a mystery that Cleveland is fked so I assume we will start seeing lines adjust a lot more.

  2. #14502
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Charham View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    I’m sorry you felt that way and missed the ATM.

    Anyone who saw IT play in Boston knew the defensive disaster that awaited. It has almost exceeded expectations.

    Cleveland is dead last in the NBA against the spread. The consistency of their awfulness defies description

    Got a little spooked with the 33 point loss and then seeing a -7 tonight. Autobet, autobet, autobet. Don’t think.
    yup. Oddly I wasn’t even that upset after first Q. I figured the bet was done. But with value and fading Cleveland I’ll take it all day. Not a mystery that Cleveland is fked so I assume we will start seeing lines adjust a lot more.
    Thats what got me. How could the Cavaliers be -7 against the Magic after this last 2 weeks capped off by getting smoked by 33? Is -7 some discount? Would it have been -10 earlier in the year?

    I don’t really watch NBA and really don’t know who the Magic are and didn’t look at the numbers. Just seeing Cavaliers favored like that spooked me.

    Clearly they haven’t adjusted yet. Or there are still suckers for LeBron.

    But all this is a distraction and noise. Trust the numbers. I think Daly taught us you autobet til it doesn’t work.

    BnP, Boston radio was seriously giggling with anticipation of IT coming back for the Cavaliers. Cav’s improve? They were gonna implode. And they have.

    Danny Ainge is a motherfucking god

    Edit:
    Here’s some ATS porn. I should spoiler cause you’ll be touching yourself at work.
    Go to betting view
    https://www.teamrankings.com/nba/tea...land-cavaliers
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 02-06-2018 at 07:29 PM.

  3. #14503
    Silver varys's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Charham View Post
    yup. Oddly I wasnít even that upset after first Q. I figured the bet was done. But with value and fading Cleveland Iíll take it all day. Not a mystery that Cleveland is fked so I assume we will start seeing lines adjust a lot more.
    Thats what got me. How could the Cavaliers be -7 against the Magic after this last 2 weeks capped off by getting smoked by 33? Is -7 some discount? Would it have been -10 earlier in the year?

    I donít really watch NBA and really donít know who the Magic are and didnít look at the numbers. Just seeing Cavaliers favored like that spooked me.

    Clearly they havenít adjusted yet. Or there are still suckers for LeBron.

    But all this is a distraction and noise. Trust the numbers. I think Daly taught us you autobet til it doesnít work.

    BnP, Boston radio was seriously giggling with anticipation of IT coming back for the Cavaliers. Cavís improve? They were gonna implode. And they have.

    Danny Ainge is a motherfucking god
    No doubt ainge is an elite exec but just to be clear...no one ďin the knowĒ thought IT was going to produce like he did last year. He was an extra trade chip in the kyrie for a lottery pick trade, thats all. We will see a lot of players in the coming years play out of their minds for brad stevens. Hes already up there with pop and carlisle, possibly the #1 coach right now.

     
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      Sanlmar: Truth
    Quote Originally Posted by Tyde
    you're more consumed with accumulating wealth than achieving spiritual enlightenment

  4. #14504
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by varys View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    Thats what got me. How could the Cavaliers be -7 against the Magic after this last 2 weeks capped off by getting smoked by 33? Is -7 some discount? Would it have been -10 earlier in the year?

    I don’t really watch NBA and really don’t know who the Magic are and didn’t look at the numbers. Just seeing Cavaliers favored like that spooked me.

    Clearly they haven’t adjusted yet. Or there are still suckers for LeBron.

    But all this is a distraction and noise. Trust the numbers. I think Daly taught us you autobet til it doesn’t work.

    BnP, Boston radio was seriously giggling with anticipation of IT coming back for the Cavaliers. Cav’s improve? They were gonna implode. And they have.

    Danny Ainge is a motherfucking god
    No doubt ainge is an elite exec but just to be clear...no one “in the know” thought IT was going to produce like he did last year. He was an extra trade chip in the kyrie for a lottery pick trade, thats all. We will see a lot of players in the coming years play out of their minds for brad stevens. Hes already up there with pop and carlisle, possibly the #1 coach right now.
    You have written this before. I think you went so far as to say IT perhaps shouldn’t be in the league ATM. Bold line.

    I know there will be a trade and Cavs will get better. They can’t get worse.

    In the meantime, the damage that was inflicted by the Celts on a rival is pretty cool stuff.

    As good as you think Opie is as coach - a review of what he got out of IT was better than we thought.

    I get the lingering hip issue. It’s all still true. Stevens had a defensive liability on the floor and still made a name for himself as a defensive genius.

  5. #14505
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Live bet warriors -1.5

  6. #14506
    Silver varys's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by varys View Post
    No doubt ainge is an elite exec but just to be clear...no one “in the know” thought IT was going to produce like he did last year. He was an extra trade chip in the kyrie for a lottery pick trade, thats all. We will see a lot of players in the coming years play out of their minds for brad stevens. Hes already up there with pop and carlisle, possibly the #1 coach right now.
    You have written this before. I think you went so far as to say IT perhaps shouldn’t be in the league ATM. Bold line.

    I know there will be a trade and Cavs will get better. They can’t get worse.

    In the meantime, the damage that was inflicted by the Celts on a rival is pretty cool stuff.

    As good as you think Opie is as coach - a review of what he got out of IT was better than we thought.

    I get the lingering hip issue. It’s all still true. Stevens had a defensive liability on the floor and still made a name for himself as a defensive genius.
    IT in his best days topped out at a poor mans kyrie. Kyrie was never the best fit for lbj at the 1 but they both snuck 4 games in of playing out of their damn minds vs GS and got rings. Switch out kyrie for CP3 for that trilogy and i think the cavs win 2/3 (they most likely werent beating the durant version)

    I hopped on the IT train for a minute last year when i saw that he was scoring 28 ppg and had a better PER than iverson in his best years. When i started watching closely it was obvious that he was in the perfect system and most likely wouldnt be that effective elsewhere. Add in this injury and id rather have reggie jackson.
    Quote Originally Posted by Tyde
    you're more consumed with accumulating wealth than achieving spiritual enlightenment

  7. #14507
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    What a shitty time of year for betting if you don't like basketball.

    I envy you guys.

  8. #14508
    Diamond hongkonger's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    What a shitty time of year for betting if you don't like basketball.

    I envy you guys.
    The 6 weeks between the Super Bowl and March Madness is the long dark tea-time of the soul.
    HILLARY WON

  9. #14509
    Gold MrTickle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    What a shitty time of year for betting if you don't like basketball.

    I envy you guys.
    Why don't you bet on the world's biggest sport which has a tonne of games every day?

  10. #14510
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Lakers saved day from being a disaster, but still went 1-3.

    As mentioned in an earlier post, I think I am starting to see some problems with my betting strategy which didn't transition well from early-season to mid-season.

    I'm going to make some adjustments. To be honest, I think the Knicks would have won if Porzingis didn't go down in the 2nd quarter, but that doesn't matter in the grand scheme of things.

    Adjustments will start tomorrow. The overall strategy will be the same, but I am going to change a few factors which have kept me both staying away from some good picks and making some bad ones.

    Analysis of today's 4 picks:

    Knicks: Good but lost due to injjury
    Lakers: Good and won
    Both unders: Bad

    I'm not just saying this because of the results. I would have stood by the Knicks pick even if Porzingis didn't get hurt, and they just lost.

    Still feeling my way through all of this.

  11. #14511
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    Ok 2 and 1 yesterday on my value nba picks and another NHL push. I donít have anything for today value wise. Some value on suns but without Booker Iíll pass. Of course we all have to be eyeing t wolves. Will they feast on the cavs carcass? I think I will auto bet it but after this humiliation doesnít Labron respond with everything in his fiber ? Not enough. Line seems correct though.

  12. #14512
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Houston under 207.5

    Starting in 20-25 min

    More soon

  13. #14513
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Actually I think that's it for tonight.

    Agree with Charham that Phoenix +9.5 is tempting, but they're missing both Booker and Chandler, so screw that.

  14. #14514
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Charham View Post
    Ok 2 and 1 yesterday on my value nba picks and another NHL push. I donít have anything for today value wise. Some value on suns but without Booker Iíll pass. Of course we all have to be eyeing t wolves. Will they feast on the cavs carcass? I think I will auto bet it but after this humiliation doesnít Labron respond with everything in his fiber ? Not enough. Line seems correct though.
    You seem ambivalent.

    Autobet.

  15. #14515
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Charham View Post
    Ok 2 and 1 yesterday on my value nba picks and another NHL push. I donít have anything for today value wise. Some value on suns but without Booker Iíll pass. Of course we all have to be eyeing t wolves. Will they feast on the cavs carcass? I think I will auto bet it but after this humiliation doesnít Labron respond with everything in his fiber ? Not enough. Line seems correct though.
    You seem ambivalent.

    Autobet.
    Sorry but you guys are wrong. +140 Cavs ML tremendous value

     
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      Sanlmar: Sizzle - you know I know - gg
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  16. #14516
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    You seem ambivalent.

    Autobet.
    Sorry but you guys are wrong. +140 Cavs ML tremendous value
    Well you may be right. I did like a half unit on t wolves.

  17. #14517
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Ugh.

    Houston under had terrible first half (118 points), but great 2nd half, and was going to be close whether it won or lost.

    James Harden hit a pair of 3s to hurt me, but the dagger came from a steal with less than a minute left (Miami was careless), allowing an uncontested layup for Houston to bring it to 207 points.

    With about 30 seconds left, Miami got fouled while scoring a basket, and that was that. Ended up losing by 2.5, with a 210 total.

    On the "picks I considered making but decided against, due to my adjustments" front, Miami +4.5 would have lost (sharps loved this one btw), and Brooklyn +9.5 would have squeaked by with a 0.5-point win.

    Actually still considering San Antonio under. Will post update shortly.

  18. #14518
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Decided to fire on San Antonio under.

    Game starts in about 20 min.

    San Antonio under 202 -105 (you can get 203 on Bovada on some accounts)

  19. #14519
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Donny Osman and IT tag team solves a problem

    Like that Donny Osman kid.

    Cavs show up. Hmmm

  20. #14520
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Donny Osman and IT tag team solves a problem

    Like that Donny Osman kid.

    Cavs show up. Hmmm
    What a game. 2 OT?

    Already 276 points nearing the end of OT.

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