Refball.
Mid 50’s FG or flag.
One or two NFL a year is all I can take. Nearly as gay as NBA became
We middle tho
Tony Romo just came on air
He compared Mahomes to MJ at one point. Twitter is gonna roast him good.
Cinci only have themselves to blame. KC didn’t show up for 3 Qs
Ossai was idiotic at the end but it was his plays that kept Cinci in it in the first place
BALLIN'!!
Had Cinci and the Over. It is what it is.
That being said, game goes over easy without every big play in the 2nd half being called back due to penalty. Horrible.
That last play with the laterals though. WTF. Thought I was going to get a KC TD for sure. Do we even know why the ref blew the play dead when the KC guy was running it in?
Early money piling in for the Eagles already. Started -1
BALLIN'!!
If you can find -130 and under 50 thats where the “value” will be
This afternoon’s game was a shit show. 4th string qb. Ouch. I bet some high schools could have put on a better show.
Tonight’s game was flag football.
Somewhat ironic that on Friday I was asking a ref to use his whistle more while coaching. Maybe I can’t have it both ways
destined to become a classic
https://twitter.com/#!/x/status/1619895297299353605
I bought up under 50 and -130 last night. See where the market takes us from there.
I think the one bet Ill add, if I can find it, will be Under 24.5 1H and 10 1Q. Who knows for game but there has been a distinct tightness to super bowl games as teams get their legs under them.
As a in general guideline you will start to see all sorts of ridiculous props come out. The value is almost always that something wont happen over that it will. This is the flagship broadcast for the NFL and there isn't a whole lot of clowning around.
Under and No’s
Dont be that guy who bets yes on a safety at +750. Lay the 1000 to win 100 on No…. As an example.
Why would you buy an under 2 weeks before the most public game in America?
That’s not right, man.
tbf, your handicap has merit but it’s akin to fundamental stock market analysis vs stock market sentiment when forecasting price. Sentiment wins short term.
The Super Bowl hype machine will whip the all these fresh legal punters into a frenzy. You remember your first time? Did you go under?
Every ploppy will have a stain on the front of their trousers like Tony Romo last night. “Mahomes is MJ” and all that. Precious
Embrace the spectacle. Let it work for you.
Last edited by Sanlmar; 01-30-2023 at 11:35 AM.
NBA
Toronto +2 at Phoenix
NCAAB
Texas Tech -1.5 vs Iowa State
Because the public has little to no impact on the super bowl line.
“not to be a dick”
But if Limitless, Badguy, tyde, cmoney and 100 other PFA regulars show up at the super book and bet 1000 each on the over 50 the line would still be at 50 for customer 101.
If the 101 customer is Krack and he bets 10K on the under they take notice.
If customers 102-148 are Tine and Todd and Zod and they all bet the over 50 for 1K each they it will be 50 for customer 150.
If customer 150 is Billy Waters and he bets 10K on the under there is a good chance the line fir customer 151 will be 49.
It sounds counter intuitive but the SB line is the most anti public line there is.
If anyone wants to bet yes on “the octopus” let me know and Ill do better than 14-1 for you. Ill even escrow with todd. Lmk
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Toronto had a nice 3rd quarter comeback, took a 5-point lead. They were 1 point ahead going into the final 2 minutes, then collapsed. I always lose betting on the Raptors.
On the plus side, Texas Tech was getting obliterated in the first half, down 39-22. They came back and tied the game, sending it to OT, then squeaked ahead by 3 at the very end. 80-77 final and somehow I won that one. Would've been super pissed if I had the other side.
Closing in on 50,000 PFA posts for me.
This is #49,992. I'm averaging about 12.5 posts per day, which is more than I would have guessed.
Here are two picks:
Chicago vs Clippers - Under 225.5
West Virginia +2 at TCU
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