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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #33001
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Jays bounce back game. -125

  2. #33002
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Might be my least bet golf weekend this year

    P Rodgers
    D McCarthy
    JT Poston
    My goodness. McCarthy missed top 5 by a stroke.Poston!. Nice one! Free roll for radio coming up.

  3. #33003
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tigerpiper View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Might be my least bet golf weekend this year

    P Rodgers
    D McCarthy
    JT Poston
    My goodness. McCarthy missed top 5 by a stroke.Poston!. Nice one! Free roll for radio coming up.

    Yeah thought we had DMc in there as well.

    Canít wait to throw my whole wad at the open and brick.

    Glad you made some coin

  4. #33004
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    If you want to know who is going to win the Scottish this weekend ask someone else. I have no idea.


    Got Fox KY Lee Herbert and Hatton at better than the

    Other than that I may try and beat this live

  5. #33005
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Added a little Fitz and some Meronk

  6. #33006
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Miami (S. Alcantara) -142 vs Angels (Syndergaard)

  7. #33007
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I wouldn’t do it with my money but Pittsburgh +200 vs NYY is definitely a Druff kinda play. Huge value.

    I’m on Mia too. I’m even full game like him and I rarely do that. Saving the 10% derivative premium cause these are difficult times. Prolly false economy.

    Toronto gave me another black eye this weekend Simpdog. I keep promising to ban their ass and I get punished for cheating. Every single time.

    I didn’t know about the first base coach losing his 17 year old daughter and casting a pall over a team which isn’t much older than 17 themselves. Sad shit for me. Sad shit for the family.

  8. #33008
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tigerpiper View Post

    My goodness. McCarthy missed top 5 by a stroke.Poston!. Nice one! Free roll for radio coming up.

    Yeah thought we had DMc in there as well.

    Canít wait to throw my whole wad at the open and brick.

    Glad you made some coin
    $100 sent to Druff. Daly use it however you want, free roll, contest of some sort, or keep it and ask Druff to send to you. All are fine. Thanks for the pick.

  9. #33009
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tigerpiper View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post


    Yeah thought we had DMc in there as well.

    Canít wait to throw my whole wad at the open and brick.

    Glad you made some coin
    $100 sent to Druff. Daly use it however you want, free roll, contest of some sort, or keep it and ask Druff to send to you. All are fine. Thanks for the pick.
    Iíd have said hang onto it and fire at a Colin M repeat for the open

  10. #33010
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Starting in a few

    St. Louis (Mikolas) +149 at Atlanta (Fried)

  11. #33011
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Going Gotterup and cook at the barbasol

  12. #33012
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Slowly getting caught up on the upcoming college season.

    There is a reason why Ohio state over 10.5 is now -210. I donít think they lose one game let alone two. Like the bet even Still but hate being late to the party and having to lay more juice.

    I donít see Utah losing 4 games and in fact I think 11-1 is a real possibility and they are not only to win the pac 10 +300 but I think itís worth a gamble to buy some +5000 for the NC (with the intention to lay off).

    Donít see Michigan losing 4 games either, Iíll take over 9.

    Pitt made us some good cash last year winning the conference. Yes they lost the QB and the WR just transferred but the rest of the core team is still in tact and they brought in a lot of talent. Over 8.5 and +1000 for the conference.

  13. #33013
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Someone is going to have to explain this to me using small words.

    Right now on some very popular PPH sites on offer is a Lucas Herbert vs Jordan Smith matchup for the Scottish Open (which tees off in 4 or so hours).

    You can buy Herbert for +105 straight up or lay -135 and take him +1.5 strokes.

    Currently at bookmaker.ahgee for outright odds on offer

    Jordan smith is +11050. Heís approximately the 60th choice by odds.

    Lucas Herbert is +4250 or the 14th favorite with shorter odds than Victor Hovland, Joaquin Neimann and Tyrrell Hatton.

  14. #33014
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    daly or jeff?

  15. #33015
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post


    daly or jeff?

    53 weeks ago I took Mrs Daly for a long weekend to Vegas. Waking up at 6AM local and going down to the Caesers sportsbook and watching the open while the better half got a chance to sleep in was absolute GOD.

    It was the same group of 6-7 of us. I was the only one with Colin so at the end of it I bought a roundÖÖ it ended up a great time.

     
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      BCR: Fantastic l.

  16. #33016
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    Bc -2í tonight over Winnipeg. At bc, bc on long rest and whooping butts, Winnipeg on road w short rest.

  17. #33017
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    A year ago we perused the Heisman trophy board and uncovered CJ Stroud. Simply put he was one of 5-6 QB who played for a team that could make the playoffs which also had 2 first round (WR and as it turned out another one #3 on the depth chart). He was available widely at 30-1 and the early buyers got as high as 40-1.

    We had two legitimate cracks to put the nail in the coffin and land a mid five figure prize in the final two weeks of the season. Final week of the season a win over Michigan would have sent him from -250 to -99999 to win the award but Michigan wouldn’t have it. It was widely speculated that stroud was still the favorite over eventual winner over Eventual winner Bryce young but Alabama would have to lose in the iron bowl. Late in the 4Q auburn RB Tank Bigsby could have gone down in bounds after picking up a first down which would have allowed them to run out the clock…… stroud was -400 on the love line at Draftkings……. And the rest was a disaster which saw Bama win the game and my +4000 bet go up in flames.

    Close doesn’t pay……. But I stand by the play.

    This season I have another conviction play. I’d say it’s not as strong as last years but I like it enough to bet it strong.

    *** dinner time be back later tonight to finish ***
    Name:  
Views: 
Size:

    William Anderson Jr +4000 Edge Alabama

    Name:  
Views: 
Size:

    “BuT HeS a DeFeNSIVe PlAyEr”

    Let’s start off by saying it would be a absolute certainty that if he came out this year he would have gone #1 and it wouldn’t have been one of these last minute draft day surprises. He absolutely destroyed teams last year. Led the nation with 17.5 sacks. He finished fifth place in the Hiesman last year when his QB won the award. There were many saying he should have at the min been invited to NY. Yes Hutchinson EDGE Michigan finished second for the award ahead of Anderson last year. There were many who felt it was a nod to the overall Michigan year as a whole and that it was Anderson who was the best defensive player in the game.

    It’s been parroted many times over the past few years that if the best defensive player X in any given year has zero chance to win the award then WTF are we even bothering….. the voting has caught up to this concept and put two very worth players in the top 5.

    “Anderson was so dominant in Alabama’s spring game in April against a makeshift offensive front limited by injuries that head coach Nick Saban had to bench him at one point to give Heisman-winning quarterback Bryce Young time to throw.”

    Baring a plane crash Alabama is going to win the SEC this year and be a playoff team. The QB already has the award and and you may already know it’s historically next to impossible to win the award twice.

    Now you have the best most dominant player in the country returning to the best most dominant team in the country with the most influential coach in the country with top top media members with their noses so far up said coaches ass.

    There is a lot of chemistry at play here - but I’m calling for the first defensive Heisman Trophy since Charles Woodson.

    Edit: he was fifth in last years voting…….. but he was #3 if you only counted first place votes.

    So I’m standing by this play as my primary lean.

    But

    For some reason Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR OSU can be found as high as 50-1. OSU is the other team who it will take a plane crash for them not to make the playoffs.

    There is a path here where stroud has a monster year but J-S-N catches 130 for 2000 and 20. Stroud locked onto him at times last year including the rose bowl where he finished with 15 for 347 and 3!

    Anything above 30 to one is too high and anything 40 or 50 to one is an absolute insult to the probability of him winning the award.

    Same could be said for Gibbs and Henderson as the two primary RB for Bama and OSU but it’s a passing game.

    Btw - Anderson can still be found in the 20/25 range but the 30/40 range stuff is long gone. He’s +1200 at BOL!

  18. #33018
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Is this thing on?



    I think the market is telling us one of the top 12 players is going to win this and I think I agree with the market.

    X, Fitz, Speith, smith, Colin, Lowry and to a lesser extent Zal and Fleetwood are all in play for me.

    The only longshot on the board I truly like at odds is Kurt Kitayama. The fact that he was second at the honda and second last week at the Scottish and the correlation to Performace at the open itís completely ridiculous that heís on offer at 200-1 (and 100-1 FRL)

    Webb FRL considering he goes off an hour before any other stars at 90-1 is attractive.

    Colin at near 30-1 is a total mistake by the market.

    Hubbard and Laird for the other event

    Glgl

  19. #33019
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Are you saying that Colin at 30-1 is good for the bettor, or bad?

  20. #33020
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Are you saying that Colin at 30-1 is good for the bettor, or bad?

    Good - I think he should be in the 20-1 range

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