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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #32061
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    Yes, I am the one dummy who was watching the Jets-Bills game because I had Jets +16. And yes, they were down by 3 going into the 4th and managed to lose by 17.

    In brighter news I had 7 player prop unders and they all won. Nick Chubb was the only one I even had to sweat, and he still missed by ~80 yards. I am pretty sure if someone just blanket bet all the under props available before season they would have crushed, even with -115 or -120 juice. Whatever the books did to adjust for the 17 game season didn't seem to work (although the books probably made $$ anyways because square bettors general take overs).

  2. #32062
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    In other news the Saints are the one team I feel really should have made the playoffs and didn't. They beat Green Bay and Tampa twice and didn't get in. Rough.

    Looking back it really came down to the stupid Giants loss. I remember because it crushed a big teaser I had, but they were up by 11 halfway through the 4th driving already in FG range, and then a complete meltdown and they eventually lost in OT.

  3. #32063
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Okay... I'll stay on the Cleveland train... even though it got derailed some (until the last 2 games).

    Cleveland +8 at Golden State

    Starting shortly

  4. #32064
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    Kings/Portland O223.5

    --Seems low. I really expected this to be in the 230's.

  5. #32065
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Hot streak continues

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      Dan Druff:

  6. #32066
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Okay... I'll stay on the Cleveland train... even though it got derailed some (until the last 2 games).

    Cleveland +8 at Golden State

    Starting shortly
    I took the over. Same result. Just a beat down. Cavs just had nothing offensively the whole game. We move on.

  7. #32067
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    If Raiders chargers ends in a tie the sports books will lose millions.

    Herbert is Brady-esque

  8. #32068
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    If Raiders chargers ends in a tie the sports books will lose millions.

    Herbert is Brady-esque
    This game is literally insane.

  9. #32069
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    I have no idea how you let your QB throw the ball at this point.

  10. #32070

  11. #32071
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    If Raiders chargers ends in a tie the sports books will lose millions.

    Herbert is Brady-esque
    This game is literally insane.
    Best thing I’ve seen in ages

    Legendary

  12. #32072
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post

    This game is literally insane.
    Best thing Iíve seen in ages

    Legendary
    Did the timeout cost the Chargers?

    Why do the Raiders kick the FG when they are guaranteed in the playoffs if they don't. Would have been great to see them let time expire.

  13. #32073
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    Best thing I’ve seen in ages

    Legendary
    Did the timeout cost the Chargers?.
    That time out was a fuck you … and The Raiders said fine … Fuck YOu

  14. #32074
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post

    Did the timeout cost the Chargers?.
    That time out was a fuck you … and The Raiders said fine … Fuck YOu
    I think the timeout was for defensive personnel reasons. The play clock was about to expire. They were trying to prevent exactly what happened on third down. Didn’t work out. But I think way too much was made out of it by Micheals & Colinsworth. If they stuffed the third down run the game ends in a tie most likely.

  15. #32075
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Remember the good ole days before covid when books would list lines as soon as the playoff matchups were set?

    I'm out. Let me know if they boot Novak out of the country....was hoping the hearing would be done by now.

  16. #32076
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Remember the good ole days before covid when books would list lines as soon as the playoff matchups were set?

    I'm out. Let me know if they boot Novak out of the country....was hoping the hearing would be done by now.
    Here is Bookmaker's lines. At first glance I like:

    Dallas -3
    Raiders +6.5
    O49 in Bengals/Raiders


    --Truth be told I wouldn't mind betting all of those overs as long as weather is ok.

    NFL WILD CARD - PLAYOFFS
    01/15
    13:30
    Las Vegas Raiders
    Cincinnati Bengals

    +6.5
    -113
    -6.5
    -103
    o49
    -108
    u49
    -108
    +232
    -271


    NFL WILD CARD - PLAYOFFS
    01/15
    17:15
    New England Patriots
    Buffalo Bills

    +4.5
    -113
    -4.5
    -103
    o43
    -108
    u43
    -108
    +173
    -197


    NFL - JAN 16
    NFL WILD CARD - PLAYOFFS
    01/16
    10:00
    Philadelphia Eagles
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    +9.5
    -113
    -9.5
    -103
    o49.5
    -108
    u49.5
    -108
    +345
    -418


    NFL WILD CARD - PLAYOFFS
    01/16
    13:30
    San Francisco 49ers
    Dallas Cowboys

    +3
    -101
    -3
    -115
    o50.5
    -108
    u50.5
    -108
    +148
    -165


    NFL WILD CARD - PLAYOFFS
    01/16
    17:15
    Pittsburgh Steelers
    Kansas City Chiefs

    +13
    -114
    -13
    -102
    o46.5
    -108
    u46.5
    -108
    +528
    -687
    NFL - JAN 17
    NFL WILD CARD - PLAYOFFS
    01/17
    17:15
    Arizona Cardinals
    Los Angeles Rams

    +4
    -106
    -4
    -110
    o50
    -108
    u50
    -108
    +164
    -185

  17. #32077
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    lol 82 points

  18. #32078
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    Best thing I’ve seen in ages

    Legendary
    Did the timeout cost the Chargers?

    Why do the Raiders kick the FG when they are guaranteed in the playoffs if they don't. Would have been great to see them let time expire.
    I could be wrong, but I think if they tied they would have had to play KC, and the win gave them Cinci. Raiders have already lost by 40 points twice to KC, so pretty clear they should be playing to win on last play of game, which is what they were doing.

    I don't get why Michaels/Collinsworth made such a big deal about calling the timeout. Raiders weren't going to kneel down. They were always going to run the ball there to try to get in FG range while keeping the clock running. So Chargers called a timeout to get ready on D. And they still failed. Nothing wrong with the timeout though IMO.

  19. #32079
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    .

    I don't get why Michaels/Collinsworth made such a big deal about calling the timeout. Raiders weren't going to kneel down. They were always going to run the ball there to try to get in FG range while keeping the clock running. So Chargers called a timeout to get ready on D. And they still failed. Nothing wrong with the timeout though IMO.
    I’ll repeat my position.
    That time out was a fuck you … and The Raiders said fine … Fuck YOu

    Post game Derek Carr was asked by that milf reporter, “Did the timeout change your mindset?”

    Carr responded, “yes”

    I could hunt this down but this will be all anyone will talk about tomorrow and they’ll do it for me. My Twitter game is not on fleek

    Great fun

    I collected a few teasers for tomorrow. Are you a Georgia man? You look like a a Georgia man. I broke a few few rules but ya gotta crack a few eggs to make an omelet

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  20. #32080
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Druff, you knew Klay was back tonight? You were fading him? Maybe the Warriors feed him the ball and he isn’t ready but they give him the work regardless?

    It was an interesting line if you did. Might have worked.

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