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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #31261
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    Bets for Oct 18-Oct 24(Week 12)

    New

    Euro Mallorca Open (Current Odds For the Weekend)- L. Canter $1700 at +900 (MGM)

    Current

    LPGA BMW - Lydia Ko $1,000 at +1600

    Start $50,000 Remaining $66,000 Current Week $0 Last Week $-2,000

    Total Win/Loss +$18,700

    ————

    I was a bit titled by Lydia just always finding away to put herself behind the 8 ball. Originally I was not going to play Canter as he did shit bed last week. However, it is now or never. I would fully expect the leader to come back to the pack at this course. I see him +850 BOL & +800 Caesar’s. Obviously I like the play.

     
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      simpdog: not sure how books still let you bet

  2. #31262
    Red Flops -105

     
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      Sanlmar: Sharps are on red

  3. #31263
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    @Simp. I app that compliment. Part of it is I have had over a dozen 2nd and 3rds in the last year or so and those just count as Losses. They took time off my life span but that’s about it. For the most part they don’t track when you are close. If I cashed 33% percent of those than I guess maybe it would be a different story. But I would have a lot more money in the bankroll so I wouldn’t give a shit.

    In general the belief is that golf has so many variables and the outright market is essentially impossible to beat long term. The tracking software for these apps to detect “sharp” bettors is by and large tracking those who consistently beat the line on straight wagers. Those people will have their bet maximums cut down to a nominal amount eventually, essentially making the platform useless to them. At least that is how the Apps abuse the laws in Jersey now.

  4. #31264
    Jersey 1st state to take in $1b
    Sportsbooks in New Jersey won a net $82.4 million during a September that featured the start of football seasons. All told, a record $1.01 billion was bet in the state.
    Please remember those offshore books and all they have done for us.

    Can I take Edmonton +109 vs VGK or would that be a charitable donation to an offshore book?
    Wanna fade Bruins too but that’s prolly a nervous disorder.

    Help

     
    Comments
      
      JeffDime: Good point. The losses to offshore books should be able to be written off as charitable donations to third world countries.

  5. #31265
    Quote Originally Posted by BlunderMaker View Post
    Red Flops -105
    I got 8.5 small last night just knowing it would hit 9. Beating the line is not as important as winning the bet though.

    I wonder about a YRFI.

  6. #31266
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Started out really hot in the NBA, so I知 sure I値l jinx myself here. Have Pacers ML +102 tonight, and Pacers -4 +143. Beal is a little banged up and this is dropping fast. When I went to bet it I had to approve odds changes twice moving against me before I got it in. I assume he will go, but I liked Pacers before it became more questionable. Any of these alternate lines I知 always at maybe a quarter of a unit at most on. As I said, Wizards are probably a lock now that I知 posting it, but ok straight up NBA games I知 at five straight and 2-3 on the alternate lines.

    Bradley Beal out. No guarantee, but you can still get Pacers -2 as of a moment ago.

  7. #31267
    Phoenix Suns preparing to counter against forthcoming ESPN report with accusations against owner

    The next owner is set for the sexual and racism chopping block. Bombshell 3,2,1

    ftpjesus

    This is great cause I have Suns even vs Lakers from previous …. Why why do I do NBA

  8. #31268
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Started out really hot in the NBA, so I知 sure I値l jinx myself here. Have Pacers ML +102 tonight, and Pacers -4 +143. Beal is a little banged up and this is dropping fast. When I went to bet it I had to approve odds changes twice moving against me before I got it in. I assume he will go, but I liked Pacers before it became more questionable. Any of these alternate lines I知 always at maybe a quarter of a unit at most on. As I said, Wizards are probably a lock now that I知 posting it, but ok straight up NBA games I知 at five straight and 2-3 on the alternate lines.

    Bradley Beal out. No guarantee, but you can still get Pacers -2 as of a moment ago.
    Yup, I like this one as well.

    Indiana -2 at Washington

     
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      BCR: Sorry I dragged you along for what appears to be first loss of year. Fuckers at 65% from 3 and 100% on FTs through 3.

  9. #31269
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BlunderMaker View Post
    Red Flops -105
    I got 8.5 small last night just knowing it would hit 9. Beating the line is not as important as winning the bet though.

    I wonder about a YRFI.
    I know we say don't be results oriented when we take a beat. But in all honesty. life is too short to not be somewhat results oriented. Doesn't just apply to gambling.

  10. #31270
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post


    Bradley Beal out. No guarantee, but you can still get Pacers -2 as of a moment ago.
    Yup, I like this one as well.

    Indiana -2 at Washington
    I mean I guess we are lucky to be tied at half considering they shot 77% from 3 on 13 attempts and 100% on FTs. Wish we had the over. Not a lot of defense out there.

    Their starters haven’t missed a 3 yet. Thank god we are shooting good also, but not that good.

    Tempted to make a play on the second half as that’s not sustainable, but have enough on this one already.

  11. #31271
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post

    Yup, I like this one as well.

    Indiana -2 at Washington
    I mean I guess we are lucky to be tied at half considering they shot 77% from 3 on 13 attempts and 100% on FTs. Wish we had the over. Not a lot of defense out there.

    Their starters haven稚 missed a 3 yet. Thank god we are shooting good also, but not that good.

    Tempted to make a play on the second half as that痴 not sustainable, but have enough on this one already.
    Pretty bad play at the tail end of the 4th, where they had a 123-120 lead. Going to OT 123-123, and had to fade a last-second shot by Washington to do it.

    Never easy.

     
    Comments
      
      NickyPipes: Scared to bet MLB PLAYOFF

  12. #31272
    I normally always stay away from outrageous spreads in college. But Kansas is so bad, and the freshman QB for OU is red hot, I see a fantastic blowout, OU -38.5. I normally would do the over but I don't think Kansas will get above 14 points. I could easily see one of those 59-7 games.

  13. #31273
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    I normally always stay away from outrageous spreads in college. But Kansas is so bad, and the freshman QB for OU is red hot, I see a fantastic blowout, OU -38.5. I normally would do the over but I don't think Kansas will get above 14 points. I could easily see one of those 59-7 games.
    Obviously this bet is a whiff. Only solace is it was $100. Fuck OU has burned me twice this year.

  14. #31274
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    I normally always stay away from outrageous spreads in college. But Kansas is so bad, and the freshman QB for OU is red hot, I see a fantastic blowout, OU -38.5. I normally would do the over but I don't think Kansas will get above 14 points. I could easily see one of those 59-7 games.
    Obviously this bet is a whiff. Only solace is it was $100. Fuck OU has burned me twice this year.
    I do have $200 on the under for MI - NW, 44.5. this one is tricky. Hopefully Harbaugh does not air it out and sticks to the run.

  15. #31275
    @simpdog


    Can you look at Toronto in regulation -110 & rested Kraken -140?

  16. #31276
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    BCR: You didn't drag me to anything. I had already selected Indiana, and went to post it here. Then I saw you had picked it already, and said, "Oh cool, BCR agrees." Wasn't a bad pick, just fell on the wrong side in a close game.

    PIPES: I am not just betting to shoot off. Part of the enjoyment of my sportsbetting is attempting to do what many say can't be done long term -- beating the house juice and being a winning sportsbettor in spread/moneyline/totals picks. All playoffs have significantly more attention and the lines tend to be sharper. Due to the global nature of sportsbetting, there's a lot less of a homer effect on the lines. It's just too hard. Not interested, especially with another sports (NBA) starting anyway.

  17. #31277
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Ploppy time

    Minnesota -7.5 vs. New Orleans

  18. #31278
    Quote Originally Posted by Sandwich View Post
    UFC Fight Night 196 on ESPN+ at Apex in Las Vegas. Prelims start at 1pm Eastern Saturday.

    Zviad Lazishvili -125, 1u
    Livia Renata Souza -125, 1u
    Jeff Molina -160, 1u
    Khama Worthy +155, 1u
    Tabatha Ricci -240, 2u
    David Onama +360, .75u
    Gregory Rodrigues -105, 1u
    Parlay Villanueva, D. Grant & M. Vettori +950, .5u
    My book didn稚 have the first bet luckily. I tailed the rest. I believe I win .75 unit and you lost .5
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  19. #31279

  20. #31280
    Quote Originally Posted by BlunderMaker View Post
    Atlanta, again.
    Someone smashed the total under. Fell to 8 just before first pitch

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