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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #31221
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by gut View Post
    I'm in tonight on

    Bills -6
    Knox o38.5
    I’m same way as you. Bet it early as it was 6.5 on my book and came back to -6, so I bet it early. Every prediction and betting guy likes the opposite. I tried to see it, but can’t. Titans have no pass rush, give up most sacks, and I have to ride with Buffalo, but feels like a trap.

    I bet an NBA game two days in advance for first time ever. Bulls -3.5 on Wed. Don’t even think the Bulls experiment will work, but I like that number at Pistons and think it likely goes up.
    Yeah. Was weird how they stalled in the red zone so much. Josh Allen actually wasn't very accurate and a lot of his throws didn't look very good.

    Also really hurt they didn't seem to have an answer for AJ Brown going down the middle over and over and over and catching that 10 yard pass.

    But the combination of Brown and Henry (2 giant, physical guys for their position) isn't something most teams can duplicate; so probably not something other teams are going to be able to copy.

  2. #31222
    Quote Originally Posted by Sandwich View Post
    Dodger biases aside please…
    What is the best out of these ML bets for today? Braves +162, Astros +115 or Red Sox -125?
    Braves +162

     
    Comments
      
      Sandwich: Thanks. I agree, but I’m having trouble believing Dodgers will go 0-3 in this series.

  3. #31223
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    Bets for Oct 18-Oct 24(Week 12)

    Settled

    Euro Mallorca Open - Sam Horsfield $700 at +2500 (MGM) WD- VOID

    Current

    LPGA BMW - Lydia Ko $1,000 at +1600

    Start $50,000 Remaining $67,700 Current Week $0 Last Week $-2,000

    Total Win/Loss +$18,700

    ————

    Horsfield withdrew. Universally a bet on the week of the tournament and withdraw before the start is a refund. Future bets for the Masters or US Open, etc is where you get fucked. Some books like Bet MGM are a pain in the ass and may not grade the VOID until after the tournament. But your money will be returned. Got booster today and gave blood so may just be the Lydia bet this week. She’s floated up to +1800 on BOL.

  4. #31224
    Quote Originally Posted by Sandwich View Post
    Dodger biases aside please…
    What is the best out of these ML bets for today? Braves +162, Astros +115 or Red Sox -125?
    I made a lot of money on Dodgers and Dodger parlays. My annual and accurate Dodger disparagement has been significantly moderated this year. My credentials are beyond dispute.

    Here is my vaccination paperwork from last night.
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    If I had a lean it is Braves 1st 5 +140. The difference between Morton & Buehler is very small. You have value. I’m still working on it.

    Freddie Fucking Freeman is a giant black hole for the Braves. He is their Bellinger before Bellinger adjusted

    The difference is the bullpens. Some of that is negated by Andrew Friedman wanting to be the Tampa Bay Rays and doing dumb shit. Lot of damage has been wrought. Trienen and Jansen are kinda burnt. But let’s not get involved in the unknown and stick with the starters.

    Sawks team total over 4.5 -135
    I always loved you Greinke you nut but this is how it has to end.
    Can’t pick a side. Pivetta was great in relief and late in the season but I can’t trust him. It me not him.

     
    Comments
      
      JeffDime: Like the subtle humor in your posts San
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 10-19-2021 at 11:52 AM.

  5. #31225
    I need hockey.

  6. #31226
    Betting on opening day nba is probably ill advised but im taking warriors +3.5 and bucs -1.5
    Im also splashing a little on giannis over 30.5 and harden over 9.5 assists

  7. #31227
    Took Edmonton to win their division +250.

    Vegas is hurting (Pacioretty/Stone) and I don't believe in Anaheim, Seattle, San Jose, Calgary or LA.

    I believe it's a two horse race and I'll take +250 when the other horse is wounded for the next month or two.


    Don't love giving the books money for that long, but it will return more than my 0.8% savings account.

  8. #31228
    Hockey tonight I like

    Col/Was over 6. The return of the Mac(kinnon)

    NJD -155 is a bit harsh would prefer it a lot if you can find better. -1.5 +160 may be more appealing to some.

    Hawks +105 at home. I still believe in the Hawks.

    Draisaitl assist -190 odds are bad but I like it a lot tonight.

     
    Comments
      
      Sanlmar:

  9. #31229
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I meant to come in here to tell everyone how bad the Braves +163 bet looked to me, and now I'm glad I kept my mouth shut.

    Yeah, it's far from a done deal, but wow, what a meltdown in the 4th.

  10. #31230
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sandwich View Post
    Dodger biases aside please…
    What is the best out of these ML bets for today? Braves +162, Astros +115 or Red Sox -125?
    If I had a lean it is Braves 1st 5 +140. The difference between Morton & Buehler is very small. You have value. I’m still working on it.

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    Got an 8.5 over live

    You are free to win the second half Druff.

  11. #31231
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Hockey tonight I like

    Col/Was over 6. The return of the Mac(kinnon) W

    NJD -155 is a bit harsh would prefer it a lot if you can find better. -1.5 +160 may be more appealing to some. W

    Hawks +105 at home. I still believe in the Hawks. L

    Draisaitl assist -190 odds are bad but I like it a lot tonight.W
    3-1

    Don’t be discouraged. There is always tomorrow.

  12. #31232
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by gut View Post
    I'm in tonight on

    Bills -6
    Knox o38.5
    I’m same way as you. Bet it early as it was 6.5 on my book and came back to -6, so I bet it early. Every prediction and betting guy likes the opposite. I tried to see it, but can’t. Titans have no pass rush, give up most sacks, and I have to ride with Buffalo, but feels like a trap.

    I bet an NBA game two days in advance for first time ever. Bulls -3.5 on Wed. Don’t even think the Bulls experiment will work, but I like that number at Pistons and think it likely goes up.
    I have a disturbing amount of money on the Bulls for an early season game when I don’t even like the team, but just a hunch. Line moved to -5, so got value on opening line. Had a free bet I had to use and have plans later on some Suro soccer tournament. Just fired a +150 team to win as I couldn’t find any long shot except the team playing Chelsea I had never heard of. That free bet probably costs me a few hundred extra as I fired another shot at Bulls -8 +144. Hope my hunch is correct. No Cade, which should take the piss out of the crowd.

    When you’re firing random EURO soccer games and creating your own lines for NBA openers at 9 AM on a Wed, it may be time to call that 800 number they give me every time I log in.
    Last edited by BCR; 10-20-2021 at 05:47 AM.

  13. #31233
    Can anyone get behind either Bengals or Panthers to win the Super Bowl at 100/1?
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  14. #31234
    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Can anyone get behind either Bengals or Panthers to win the Super Bowl at 100/1?
    not the panthers but yes the bengals.

  15. #31235
    First day of nba went well for me, 2-0 picks and 2-1 in player props (ended up taking giannis over for both points and points, assists, rebounds)

    Today I have a wide slate of games.

    Hawks -2
    nugs vs suns over 224.5
    kings ml +215
    spurs -6.5
    rockets v twolves over 232
    twolves -6
    76ers v pelicans over 223.5
    griz -7
    knicks -2
    hornets -1

    gl

  16. #31236
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    That's a big card, matos. GL

    Here's a small card.

    San Antonio vs. Orlando - Under 212


    My first NBA bet of the season.

  17. #31237
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    Really? A fucking snowman? Thank God for cashing J Ko 3 times because Lydia Ko has been just torture. Sorry anyone tailing. Just going to take it easy this week. That red box on the scorecard essentially a knockout.

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  18. #31238
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Shoulda gone with Matos' Spurs -6.5 instead of my fancy under play.

    Actually the under looked decent. 6:13 left in a blowout game with 185 points, meaning I just had to fade 27 trash time points. Was about 50/50 to cover that, but it ended up losing by 8.

    And so my battle with unders in 2020s NBA doesn't get off to a good start. I did too many of these last season which looked good for me on paper but kept losing.

    Not gonna worry after one lost pick, but I'm going to be watching closely.

    I started off 1-5 last year, then started doing better.

  19. #31239
    Quote Originally Posted by matos View Post
    First day of nba went well for me, 2-0 picks and 2-1 in player props (ended up taking giannis over for both points and points, assists, rebounds)

    Today I have a wide slate of games.

    Hawks -2 (tomorrow)
    nugs vs suns over 224.5 L
    kings ml +215 W
    spurs -6.5 W
    rockets v twolves over 232 L
    twolves -6 W
    76ers v pelicans over 223.5 L
    griz -7 W
    knicks -2 W
    hornets -1 Push

    gl
    hit every side and moneyline pick today (with one push) but lost every total. Probably should have realized that shooters haven't warmed up yet. Will have to reevaluate total strategy and wait and see what develops. I think there will be lots of opportunities later there. Might just go blanket under all for now until the totals come down. Or just go under for all totals over 125.

  20. #31240
    NFL ploppy stories

    Teaser
    Football - 309 Denver Broncos +7˝ for Game
    Football - 309 Denver Broncos/Cleveland Browns under 47 for Game

    It checks all the ploppy boxes
    X Teasing points
    X Same game teaser
    X Public as fuck Cleveland injury fade
    X NFL

    Thats 4X just like my condom size. Yeah, right. Totally a cuck bet.

    Gonna need some more hockey Simp if I am to stay liquid. None of that 3-1 stuff. Sharpen your skates

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