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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #29601
    BOL is becoming more like Bovada every day.

    A once proud brand. I was a shameless shill and now I am entitled to trash.

  2. #29602
    I am not entitled trash, lol wow.

  3. #29603
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Those who want RHE bets, they also exist on Bovada and Betanysports.

    Betanysports is former 5Dimes (think Bovada when Bodog left the US market, similar thing), and they seem pretty reliable. But they're somewhat "new" so take that with a grain of salt.

    Given that these lines move easily when people bet them (and the sharps are pretty good at finding the good RHE bets early), it's helpful to have a few books which accept these, and of course go with the best lines.

    BOL seems most action-sensitive with RHE bets. Even a single $250 RHE bet can move the line greatly.

    On Betanysports, you can find RHE bets under "MLB Game Props". On Bovada, it's on the dropdown near the top, and you select "Total Runs, Hits, and Errors".

  4. #29604
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Okay, so lets look at NBA tonight.

    MiCon (that is, Michael Conley) is out. Serge Ibaka also out.

    I think the Clippers win this one OUTRIGHT.

    I've been light on the NBA playoff betting, as I already explained before the postseason started, but I like the Clips tonight.

    Clippers +130 at Utah (+3 ok)

  5. #29605
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well, that's what I get for opposing the sharps (and backing the awful Rockies).

    I was mesmerized by the +170 against the Marlins, what can I say? Also, Senzatela has looked good in his last few starts -- far better than his overall numbers indicate.

    They started off 1-0, but now trail 4-1. I don't see them coming back from it. Oops.

    On the plus side, Detroit has broken out to a 3-0 lead in the first, and the Orioles just erased a 2-0 deficit, and now lead 3-2.

  6. #29606
    I had LAD PIT no runs first inning tonight...

    I might have to pull a costanza and leave on a high note and never bet on another sporting event ever again...

     
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      Dan Druff: wow
      
      Sanlmar: The PM title: Loan Request is from me. TIA
      
      Daly: Absolutely amazing

  7. #29607
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    For those who donít get the joke


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      GambleBotsChafedPenis: One Of The Most Beautiful Screen Grabs I Have Ever Seen Rep

  8. #29608
    I am aware NRFIís are a lifestyle choice this year

  9. #29609
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Gonna have to stay away from Carlos Martinez in the future, except when betting overs or against him. He's been awful the past 2 starts, including this one.

    I took a bit of a risk on an RHE bet with him, but I knew Bieber was gold, and I thought Carlos would at least be solid enough to keep RHE under 24.5.

    Well, Bieber has been fairly good so far (0 R, 2H in 2.3 innings), but Carlos has given up 5 runs and 7 hits through 3, so that's a disaster. So unless it's 10 RHE the rest of the way (which isn't likely), this one's a loser for me.

    On the bright side, Baltimore is blowing out the Mets 8-2, Detroit still up by 3. Marlins probably going to get by Colorado, currently up 4-2 in the 7th.

     
    Comments
      
      Sanlmar: Bieber ain’t the old brand name Beiber we used to buy

  10. #29610
    Buehler going 7 is allowing me to unclench my sphincter.

    No bullpen

    Complete game shutout? I’ll risk it vs the pen.

    FML... Machine Gun Kelly. badguy would go for a walk in this spot. If I had any cash available I’d be betting 8th inning 3-way or live total

    Sparking 7.00 ERA.

    I can’t listen to this homosexual Joe Davis. He is a blind homer. He brings nothing.

    I’ll gladly settle for 4 batters and 1 allowed by Kelly. That’s a good outing for him.

    Arghhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh....... He’s worse than even I describe.

    Pittsburgh announcers literally said, “Buehler looks nervous”. You guys should see me.

    You think 8th inning 3-way was +275 Pitts. I didn’t even look. An easy smash and grab.

    Who is Nate Jones. 1 pinch / 1 run. That’s who. Good closer Druff. No better solution than Kenley Jansen. He actually looks good compared to this motley crew.

    Last place Pirates with a negative differential. Still too much for this bullpen.

    badguy would prescribe Fentanyl.

    5-3. Oh, why not make it a save opportunity. We’ve come this far. Pirates so powerful. Bring on Jansen. Testing my shower rod for strength.

    We knew this bullpen would be trouble at 4pm but you still can never fully prepare for the awfulness
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 06-08-2021 at 06:30 PM.

  11. #29611
    I hope everyone is watching Avs vs Vegas.

    Insane action. Both teams playing like itís game 7.

     
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      Sanlmar: Tuning in.

  12. #29612
    Any thoughts?

    I thought my futures closed at 11pm. I’m gonna buy some Astros in the morning.

    Is over 4.5 +145 insane? They are gonna pull out all the stops
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 06-08-2021 at 06:55 PM.

  13. #29613
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Any thoughts?

    I thought my futures closed at 11pm. Iím gonna buy some Astros in the morning.

    Is over 4.5 +145 insane? They are gonna pull out all the stops
    2-2 / worked out

    3rd periods in playoffs has been nuts for overs

  14. #29614
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Bieber was good. Carlos Martinez was trash, as was the Cards bullpen. It was actually 23 RHE going into the 9th, so I had a small chance to still win. But nope.

    Detroit almost fucked up a 5-1 lead, being Detroit and all, but they held on. So I went 2-2 today in MLB, with a slight loss because Detroit was -126.

    Clips looking good so far.

  15. #29615
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    I had taken Detry at +1000 going into the final round last week on the Euro Tour. Iím glad I didnít post it. He came in tied for 2nd and lost to a guy who was destined to win at a big number sooner or later, Armitage. Armitage shot 7 under and it was all over. Detry & Pieters are two young Belgium guys who have beautiful swings and just canít seem to break through.

    Kicking myself for not taking Larson on the road course +850. Figured too much could go wrong. It didnít. Not going to be much value on him going forward. Heís the top driver with the top team right now.

    As for the PGA this week, this is a tough venue. I put some money on Brooks at 10-1. I see him around 8-1 in most places. I have concerns. He is in the late wave and I can see if he doesnít play great to start him taking a quick jet out of there after the morning wave Friday. But if he plays well and sticks around, you know he will be playing to win. I wouldnít take him at less than 9-1.

    Trendy pick, but I had to put a few bucks on Higgo at 50-1. The courses he won on in the Euro Tour are not even close to what heís dealing with here. But I donít want to miss the boat if he really is becoming a special player.

    I have SY Kim at 9-1 on the LPGA. Sheís won here before and I just feel likes itís time.

  16. #29616
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I took today off after that Clippers collapse.

    Boy that team just perpetually has found a way to lose.

  17. #29617
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    I had taken Detry at +1000 going into the final round last week on the Euro Tour. Iím glad I didnít post it. He came in tied for 2nd and lost to a guy who was destined to win at a big number sooner or later, Armitage. Armitage shot 7 under and it was all over. Detry & Pieters are two young Belgium guys who have beautiful swings and just canít seem to break through.

    Kicking myself for not taking Larson on the road course +850. Figured too much could go wrong. It didnít. Not going to be much value on him going forward. Heís the top driver with the top team right now.

    As for the PGA this week, this is a tough venue. I put some money on Brooks at 10-1. I see him around 8-1 in most places. I have concerns. He is in the late wave and I can see if he doesnít play great to start him taking a quick jet out of there after the morning wave Friday. But if he plays well and sticks around, you know he will be playing to win. I wouldnít take him at less than 9-1.

    Trendy pick, but I had to put a few bucks on Higgo at 50-1. The courses he won on in the Euro Tour are not even close to what heís dealing with here. But I donít want to miss the boat if he really is becoming a special player.

    I have SY Kim at 9-1 on the LPGA. Sheís won here before and I just feel likes itís time.

    Few bucks on Keith Mitchell at 40-1Ö.. no real conviction plays this weekend

  18. #29618
    NHL

    Avs/Vegas over 1.5 first period -103

    It is 3-2 in the series, and Avs have their backs up against the wall. I fully expect them to come out guns blazing. You could also go with Avs first period ml for +105 if you would prefer.



    Jays -115
    I'll take Ryu at -115. Keuchel gives up runs and ideally the Jays knock him out by the 4th or 5th.

  19. #29619
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    Enjoy your early weekend Brooks. Gas up the jet. JFC.

  20. #29620
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    NHL

    Avs/Vegas over 1.5 first period -103

    It is 3-2 in the series, and Avs have their backs up against the wall. I fully expect them to come out guns blazing. You could also go with Avs first period ml for +105 if you would prefer.



    Jays -115
    I'll take Ryu at -115. Keuchel gives up runs and ideally the Jays knock him out by the 4th or 5th.
    It’s prolly a bargain too. There seem to be a lot of folks who haven’t gotten a newspaper in a week or two and don’t know that the ChiSox vs lefty gravy train is no longer running.

    Trust me, I have first hand experience giving back some of that ATM $ back. Was a god run and a good run too.

    I’m out of touch with the Jays and Ryu. Just have zero feel. New ballpark and I got some questions I’d like to ask about the sticky icky and ex-Dodger Ryu.

    These are the bets to avoid on Thursday Jun 10

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    3rd Period do or die playoff hockey live total overs if you are a serious person. Can’t push the buttons for you on the ATM.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 06-10-2021 at 11:22 AM.

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