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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #29421
    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post
    Rays walk 5 times in the 9th to win their 10th straight. Alerted you weeks ago that Rays are best AL Team. When you are on a streak like this ďthings just go your wayĒ, like when you canít miss a draw in poker. Rays should crush the Royals at home this week, Iíve been playing Rays every series and ever game! Many doubted and did not believe, Pipes always knew!
    What odds will you give me on the series?
    Rays will be massive favorites maybe like minus -220 or more, their pitching lines up well for series maybe

  2. #29422
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post

    You scared me. I grabbed Rays at -110 at 7am, you made me think my bet was cancelled. It was not, playing on bookmaker.

    Also took Marlins -126 tonight with Rogers on the hill. Complete stud! Possible best young pitcher and prices have been very reasonable for his starts!

    Aight Nicky, the Rays autobet was just a warm up.

    ChiSox vs a lefty is still an autobet.

    Might I suggest sprinkling a parlay consisting of ChiSox, Marlins, Brooklyn Nets tomorrow for +235?

    Edit
    Oakland -165 full game
    You are on Chi Sox -180? I respect Cardinals a lot this year but lost on this Kim guy so I might fade him with you. Agree with Sox vs LHP though, Iíve been on that as well this year. Cubs also good vs LHP Iíve done well there, Chicago thing I guess

  3. #29423
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Coming up at 4:40 PT...

    Milwaukee -5 vs. Miami
    Milwaukee/Miami - Over 223.5

    Oladipo is still out

  4. #29424
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    PGA Tour - Justin Thomas 12-1. Call me ploppy, I donít give a shit. Last cut he missed was the Genesis and two weeks later he won the players. Played well here last year. Jumped on him at 12-1.

  5. #29425
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    Just want to give a fuck you to NASCAR. I didn’t post it because I bet him early. I had Kyle Larson at +1400 for a nickel. He had the best car. Chase Elliot for some weird reason short pitted where he could not make it to the end on fuel. Larson pitted four laps later and had enough to the end. Chase gets in front and NASCAR calls the race early with Larson in second.

    Chase would of had to pit and Larson would overtake if they go to the end. Fuckery at its finest. No way Chase short pits unless he knows there’s a good chance he gets the lead and they call it. Another fucking second place. Fucking NASCAR! Cock suckers.

    Was raining just as hard when Larson had the lead.


  6. #29426
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    tough bet jeff, but donít let them keep u down bro

     
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      JeffDime: TY

  7. #29427
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    btw anyone here bet on ponies? I signed up on TVG recently knowing full well that handicapping horses is not the gambling hill I want to die on, but hey they were offering a risk free bet and you can stream all the international races for free. Iíve been a fan of european turf racing since I was a little kid, but iím getting my ass handed to me trying to handicap this shit.

  8. #29428
    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post

    What odds will you give me on the series?
    Rays will be massive favorites maybe like minus -220 or more, their pitching lines up well for series maybe
    Iíd like $100 @ +250 Royals win series. LMK
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  9. #29429
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Coming up at 4:40 PT...

    Milwaukee -5 vs. Miami
    Milwaukee/Miami - Over 223.5

    Oladipo is still out
    Well, I said I wouldn't be betting the NBA playoffs much, but both of these were gold, so glad I took the shot today.

    I'll post other plays here and there during the postseason, but I just don't typically think there's much value in it.

  10. #29430
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Krypt View Post
    btw anyone here bet on ponies? I signed up on TVG recently knowing full well that handicapping horses is not the gambling hill I want to die on, but hey they were offering a risk free bet and you can stream all the international races for free. I’ve been a fan of european turf racing since I was a little kid, but i’m getting my ass handed to me trying to handicap this shit.

    I gave up ponies a few years ago and it’s just been way better for me. The TVG promos, like the risk free bet, are great and all. If you just bet when they offer promos then it’s probably okay.

    I know you get how shitty pari-mutuel betting is for everyone but the track. The problem with the European racing in the morning and the Australian racing at night, is the American pools are not co-mingled with the Euro pools. So any bet you make is going to go into a small ass pool and will effect your odds a greatly. It’s been a few years for me but I believe we only share pools with Canadian Tracks (Woodbine) and Hong Kong (Sha Tin).

    It is possible somethings have changed. But when you watch the Euro racing in the morning and listen to the odds the announcer is giving on track, check the pool numbers on your TVG account, I think you will see what I’m talking about.

    So if you are good at handicapping these European races, unfortunately you are just not going to get value when you hit. If I’m wrong and someone has a solution where Krypt is getting track odds, god bless. I guess short of a betting proxy in England who you can trust, I don’t see a solution.

  11. #29431
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Super frustrating with S Y Kim. She almost always improves her scoring throughout the tournament. Opening round 67 really put her in the cat bird seat. Then she let the field all catchup and some overtake with even par yesterday. Then lost more ground with a 3 putt bogey on the first today. Playing the last 19 holes in +1 is really fucking annoying.

    She needs to get her shit together today. She has 4 3 putt bogeys. I am guessing they are majority come backers after taking an aggressive birdie putt. That kind of goes with the territory with her. Hopefully they start dropping.

    If not Iím going to have to take a hard look at these LPGA golfers at short odds. The problem is at 6-1 - 8-1 you need to have a big hit rate to just tread water. May have to reevaluate if there is much value in the LPGA right now.
    You'd think that SY Kim and J KO would be good bets for the match play this weekend but who knows. Should be interesting.

     
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      JeffDime:

  12. #29432
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoeD View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Super frustrating with S Y Kim. She almost always improves her scoring throughout the tournament. Opening round 67 really put her in the cat bird seat. Then she let the field all catchup and some overtake with even par yesterday. Then lost more ground with a 3 putt bogey on the first today. Playing the last 19 holes in +1 is really fucking annoying.

    She needs to get her shit together today. She has 4 3 putt bogeys. I am guessing they are majority come backers after taking an aggressive birdie putt. That kind of goes with the territory with her. Hopefully they start dropping.

    If not Iím going to have to take a hard look at these LPGA golfers at short odds. The problem is at 6-1 - 8-1 you need to have a big hit rate to just tread water. May have to reevaluate if there is much value in the LPGA right now.
    You'd think that SY Kim and J KO would be good bets for the match play this weekend but who knows. Should be interesting.
    On J Ko but I got her at +1100 Seeing her all the way down to +600 after the draw

  13. #29433
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    Correction. The Bet MGM app, where I bet J Ko at +1100 on, has dropped her to +550. She is still +1000 - +1200 other places. I’m supposed to cash it out and rebet her on another site, but the stupid laws mean that is probably going to be a hassle. You don’t only need to be in the state of NJ to bet, but even to accept a cashout, you need to be in the state.

    Justin Thomas appeared to be a great line on Bet MGM at +1200. He opened at +1100 on the offshore books. He has floated the wrong way. Not nearly as drastic as Ko, but you can get him at +1400 now on William Hill, +1300 on DK & +1200 offshore.

    If you like Sei Young it would be wrong of me to not point out she has moved to +1500 on Bet MGM. She is around +1000 in most places. It’s like Bet MGM is trolling me. But I am going to let the chips fall where they may. Tremendous value on SY if you have access to MGM.

    Here is the current MGM-

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    Current WH. You can see SY Kim 50% more value on MGM. This is a head scratcher. These odds are more representative of most sites. Almost impossible for me not to drive my ass back to Jersey for this.

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  14. #29434
    I like Ko at +1100, not sure of the risk/reward at +550. GL though.

    I'm going to put a little bit on S Kim on Bovada, I dont like going too crazy on that site. There should be separate Sunday odds as well when it gets down to the final 4.

    Both Kim and Ko should have no problem getting out of their groups into the final 16. From there, a crapshoot as usual.

    LPGA with the poor marketing once again - it sucks how limited the TV time is going to be for this. On Saturday the Final 16 will play down to a Final 4 (36 holes for some), yet it looks like there will be only 3 hours of late day TV coverage. Sunday same thing - the Final 4 play to a winner yet only 3 hours at the end again. The US Amateurs Championship (men and women) get way more coverage.

    Seems like Golf Channel and LPGA could do much better than that or at least stream it on the App.

  15. #29435
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoeD View Post
    I like Ko at +1100, not sure of the risk/reward at +550. GL though.

    I'm going to put a little bit on S Kim on Bovada, I dont like going too crazy on that site. There should be separate Sunday odds as well when it gets down to the final 4.

    Both Kim and Ko should have no problem getting out of their groups into the final 16. From there, a crapshoot as usual.

    LPGA with the poor marketing once again - it sucks how limited the TV time is going to be for this. On Saturday the Final 16 will play down to a Final 4 (36 holes for some), yet it looks like there will be only 3 hours of late day TV coverage. Sunday same thing - the Final 4 play to a winner yet only 3 hours at the end again. The US Amateurs Championship (men and women) get way more coverage.

    Seems like Golf Channel and LPGA could do much better than that or at least stream it on the App.
    GL Joe. Of course can’t bet J Ko at +550. Not sure what the hell MGM is doing. Some of their lines are just meant to catch the occasional drunk ploppy at the casino. I was at the Borgata the other day and a guy was betting 1k Parlay like he was ordering fast food. “I’ll take a 902, 807 and that 554 looks good”.

    My quandary is they are offering me about 67 percent profit on my money to cashout out because of the odds change. The right play would be to do so and the bet her at+1100 on William Hill or whatever. Logistically they got me because I drove to the sticks in NY today. So they must have a gps on my phone and just like needling me.

    You would figure most betting LPGA would check odds on different sites. So they are just basically saying we want nothing more on her. The cut her odds literally in half.

    Anyways, good luck either way.

     
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      JoeD: lol I confess to having been "fast food order" betting guy in Vegas many times in my life during football and basketball season. Something about those 3 team parlays that get you to 6:1

  16. #29436
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post

    Tight site. This awesome thread and then straight up putrid garbage
    Maybe when those threads reach close to 1500 pages they can get the same treatment. Not sure they got much legs passed a week or so.

    Name:  
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    Trying to avoid making the right turn...

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    Last edited by JeffDime; 05-25-2021 at 12:44 PM.

  17. #29437
    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post

    Rays will be massive favorites maybe like minus -220 or more, their pitching lines up well for series maybe
    Iíd like $100 @ +250 Royals win series. LMK
    You whine and bitch like a woman! I donít play penny stakes, letís bet 4 figures or is that above your cry baby bankroll?

  18. #29438
    jsearles:

    wanna go to the indy 500? ur the only one thats ever shipped me money and obv my credit score is still a million, only person i can think of in this place to give it away too[/QUOTE]



    that said im prolly down 5k at least lifetime taking picks outta this putrid thread lol.... mostly daly picks ... he can have em too, tryin to switch up and get some karma points here i needs that sheeeit

  19. #29439
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Something Iíve been toying around with of late are RHE bets. Really low tech system - find a total of 23 or more and find a game with a ace in a decent situation and go under. Iíve done well so far this year with it.

    Tonight Iím going
    Baltimore U27.5
    Cardinals U26.5
    Marlins U23.5 (stepping out a bit here but both low whip pitchers)
    Rough 15c juice on these on BOL

    Where else do you find these?

  20. #29440
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    What the hell though, I'll throw in a RHE bet which I really like, given the pitchers going

    Milwaukee (Burnes) vs. San Diego (Musgrove) - under 22.5 R+H+E -125



    Also a straight bet
    Milwaukee -124

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