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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #20801
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    I agree. Wake gonna run all over BC.

    Daly - did you remove wake for any particular reason??

    Lol - I think San is putting words in my mouth. Now if I was going to put something out on that game it would read as follows.....

    I try and post good leans from sharps I respect. The following is from an industry insider.

    NCAA - 115 WAKE FOREST - Over 69.5 -110 FOR GAME
    (vs Boston College)

    Do what you will.

    O/U Iím showing is 71. Same strong opinion here?

     
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      Daly: 70 fairly key number..... don’t seem like much but that’s a big 1.5 points

  2. #20802
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Can one of you Basketball nerds tell me if itís posible that Zion doesnít win ROY?

    I mean itís -200 but my uninformed ass would have guessed -500

  3. #20803
    Quote Originally Posted by DJ_Chaps View Post
    I’m all in. Love my degen runlines

    How great is that? Real time progress report. That will lock you into the app all night instead of ESPN, for instance.

    Pulling for your win.

    I have never done so many parlays. I don’t approve of that lifestyle but a couple of hits and I’m an addict chasing.

    I miss the GA meetings with Simp.

    With the playoffs near I have to exercise the “Fade Dodgers” (+160 Padres) muscle. Atrophy and all that

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    Last edited by Sanlmar; 09-25-2019 at 07:10 PM.

  4. #20804
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Can one of you Basketball nerds tell me if itís posible that Zion doesnít win ROY?

    I mean itís -200 but my uninformed ass would have guessed -500
    Oh, I think I know this one

    Injury

     
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      BCR: Bingo. I’d set o/u on 41 games played.

  5. #20805
    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post


    Daly - did you remove wake for any particular reason??

    Lol - I think San is putting words in my mouth. Now if I was going to put something out on that game it would read as follows.....

    I try and post good leans from sharps I respect. The following is from an industry insider.

    NCAA - 115 WAKE FOREST - Over 69.5 -110 FOR GAME
    (vs Boston College)

    Do what you will.

    O/U Iím showing is 71. Same strong opinion here?
    I shouldn't post this picture because I don't want to sway opinion because I don't cap...

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    kansas' offense isn't on the same planet as wake's...

     
    Comments
      
      Sanlmar: Intriguing but 66-71 now and I’m more certain with sides

  6. #20806
    Quote Originally Posted by DJ_Chaps View Post
    I’m all in. Love my degen runlines

    Beautiful. A work of art.


    So far, I believe environments change and there is an approach that suits each most favorably. I thought in this incredible September favorite run parlays would be the right tool.

    However, I fundamentally avoid parlays and now I am just bleeding units. I am quick to adapt and I’m done.


    wtg chaps. you got the touch or the balls or both.

  7. #20807
    Platinum Krypt's Avatar
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    random donk bet

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  8. #20808
    Just came through Case Keenum is now questionable for the Redskins vs Giants Game . Line moved to Giants -3 in a flash. Not sure this is much of a positive though? I have heard the rookie backup might be decent.


    My current wagers are

    Miami + 17
    Giants -3
    Chicago -1
    Steelers -3


    College

    New Mexico +7
    Ohio State vs Nebraska OVER 66 1/2
    Kentucky +3

  9. #20809
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by DirtyErnie View Post


    Truthitude. I own a piece of a local, heavy with par-cards. The Shitbirds are crushing. Stocking up on govt cheese and hardtack to get me through this season.
    If a par-card is a Parlay Card I would imagine today will be remembered as Black Tuesday by you guys.

    EVERYONE is doing a parlay to avoid the heavy numbers with the favorites

    Teams that care vs teams that donít is the theme, I guess.

    We will see
    You got that right. Grading cards on Monday Nights have been a bit rough. All the VFW/American Legion/Dive bar players are taking New England, Dallas, Miami Opponent, and of course the home chalks (Badgers, Packers).

  10. #20810
    Quote Originally Posted by Krypt View Post
    random donk bet

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    Favorites 12-3 yesterday. (I had to use one of the 3 - I can’t believe that shit)

    Oakland has been winning at an ungodly rate.

    This does not qualify as a donk bet.



    Consider the sharps and the perceived dog value and the resulting carnage. Digging holes that only long shots cure.

    Your results have been pretty good for some time. Keep it up


    Edit:

    It just occurred to me that you bet tennis and soccer etc. you have a familiarity with big numbers that the American public generally does not. They live for the big hits from long shots. They’ve never seen a plus price they did not like.

     
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      Krypt: top poster
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 09-26-2019 at 12:32 PM.

  11. #20811
    Just saw a dreadful movie. Lay the Favorite with Bruce Willis & Catherine Zeta-Jones

    The movie is a true story based on Beth Raymer's memoir who in real life goes to college and becomes a writer.

    I’ve only skimmed her book where she ends up running an off shore book. So encouraged by the 18% Rotten Tomatoes audience and public score I sat in.

    There is one scene where she and the other guys who run bets for a sharp get fired when the sharp (Bruce Willis) runs bad and has a rage fit. She’s devastated. They other two guys inform her that this is what eventually happens to all sharps. You just move on to the next one.


    Unless that sharp is Harolobob. Then you become a maid in his new Monaco villa.

  12. #20812
    Platinum Krypt's Avatar
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    I honestly don't know what to make of sports betting.. iíve never really taken it seriously. I do however consider it much more viable than online poker ever was or will ever be. The path to legalization is crystal clear and the espns/barstools have done their part in normalizing sports wagering. And since it seems like a multi billion enterprise waiting to happen, I figure it doesnít hurt to familiarize oneself with the prediction markets. I personally dedicate more time to focusing on the financial markets, but this is a fun way to shoot off.

  13. #20813
    Platinum Krypt's Avatar
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    initial thoughts re GB vs PHI and Memphis/NAVY:

    1) Public all over gb is concerning, yet -4 at home is so enticing

    2) I donít ever do this, but possibly Memphis first half -6.5

    thoughts?

  14. #20814
    NCAAF spread & total prices depicted in candlestick form for the week?

    Is that something I could interest you in?

    Eagles Packers feel like a flip. Two crap teams on a Thursday.

    Thursday’s are big for unders. Are the refs really going to chill out on the offensive holding flags as I’ve read? Then the under might not be as easy.

    Packers coach doesn’t know about the subtlety and difficulty of Thursday’s.

    To that end, I’m intrigued by the discussion about the crap NFL this year. Lotta hurt QB’s. Tanking. Record breaking number of huge spreads. LOTS OF NEW AND AWFUL COACHES.

    There was a stat that correlated superior coaches to ATS that got my attention recently. If Belichick was the Dolphins coach what would the line be now?

    Edit
    Tablet - Football - NFL - 101 Philadelphia Eagles +170 for Game
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 09-26-2019 at 01:56 PM.

  15. #20815
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I donít like venturing outside this thread around here now days so Iíll ask you degenerates. With the weather turning over here in South Florida Iím gonna start to watch football outside at night anybody have any advice on setting up speakers in the backyard Iím assuming Bluetooth is the way to go at this point

  16. #20816
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Krypt View Post
    I honestly don't know what to make of sports betting.. i’ve never really taken it seriously. I do however consider it much more viable than online poker ever was or will ever be. The path to legalization is crystal clear and the espns/barstools have done their part in normalizing sports wagering. And since it seems like a multi billion enterprise waiting to happen, I figure it doesn’t hurt to familiarize oneself with the prediction markets. I personally dedicate more time to focusing on the financial markets, but this is a fun way to shoot off.
    Even if you are good the 10% eats away at you over time. The game of being a prop or future sharp only lasts so long and that is where the $$ is to be made...... but just like poker if you a good player the house only let you take from them for so long (in this private game world)

    When people ask me about sports betting and making money at it I tell them if it’s something you enjoy treat it as entertainment and when you have some good weeks you’ll feel like $1 million dollars. If you wanna make money on sports betting though you have to join the Darkside and take the bets or be an agent (that doesn’t take sharp action)

  17. #20817
    Inaugural Spring Classic Champion HoodedN's Avatar
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    I like the eagles tonight. Take the points.
    #ToddsPlan

  18. #20818
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Just saw a dreadful movie. Lay the Favorite with Bruce Willis & Catherine Zeta-Jones

    The movie is a true story based on Beth Raymer's memoir who in real life goes to college and becomes a writer.

    Iíve only skimmed her book where she ends up running an off shore book. So encouraged by the 18% Rotten Tomatoes audience and public score I sat in.

    There is one scene where she and the other guys who run bets for a sharp get fired when the sharp (Bruce Willis) runs bad and has a rage fit. Sheís devastated. They other two guys inform her that this is what eventually happens to all sharps. You just move on to the next one.


    Unless that sharp is Harolobob. Then you become a maid in his new Monaco villa.


    Watched this film last year. While I found it a bit cheesy I did enjoy it . Shout out to Laura Prepon and the topless scene .

  19. #20819
    Quote Originally Posted by HoodedN View Post
    I like the eagles tonight. Take the points.


    Should I ask why? And I am a die hard Eagles Fan

  20. #20820
    Platinum Krypt's Avatar
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    iíll be a square and on GB -4 tonight

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