Originally Posted by shoeshine box
At that price KJ def worth a play. Going to try to join you. My sleep schedule gets all fucked up when I got bets going in Europe. Good luck Box! KJ to the hoop!
At that price KJ def worth a play. Going to try to join you. My sleep schedule gets all fucked up when I got bets going in Europe. Good luck Box! KJ to the hoop!
It’s sucks that Horsefield had another even par 2nd round. This has been a trend with him that unfortunately he didn’t buck this week. He got none of the par 5s today. This course is playing to a lot of pars but this has been a strange week for him. It’s very disappointing, but if things stay relatively compressed on the leader board we just have to wait and see if he can put a mid 60s round together tommorow and where we stand.
Would of been nice to just shoot a couple under. He has had low weekends so I am hoping he gets aggressive and they have more accessible pins for moving day.
Trying to take it in stride but it is a deflating round for sure. I loved him this week.
Lydia Ko needs to wake her ass up during this back 9. She is single-handedly killing my Draftkings entry this week.
Which big fave is most likely to suck a dick today?
Sawks
Jays
Braves
I could absolutely see Tony Finau winning this.
Course is Taylor made for his game. Only thing is he痴 just like Oost except instead of always finishing second he always finishes sixth.
On Jays -1.5 -140
Jays/Reds parlay +115
Jays are out of time. 8-2 next 10 games (and even that might not be enough).
JT is the new Rory BTW
-1 total with 3 biridies and no bogeys on the back nine is the best you could ask for given the start Joe. For my outright bet still most likely an expensive napkin.
Sometimes a little begging helps.-1 total with 3 biridies and no bogeys on the back nine is the best you could ask for given the start Joe. For my outright bet still most likely an expensive napkin.
Sounds like the weather will not be a factor this weekend and Ko most definitely has the skills to go low. The problem will be all of the talent ahead of her.
Should be a good watch as always.
Good way to put it. Incredible how he finished up today. Most likely winners are Rahm & JT. Pretty tilting and I知 upset at myself for not dismissing DJ. I think you were right about his motivation. It痴 so hard to tell with him because he almost always looks so apathetic. But it痴 time for me to move on. If he finds his game it is what it is.
After being on JT for 2 straight events seeing him in this position is tough. He痴 always a good outright bet because he seems to be in the mix or not. No real middle ground. The grinding middle ground is always the most tilting with the outright bets.
The Northern Trust appears to be a total bust for me. I値l be routing for Tony but I won稚 have any money on him.
Think at the end of the day it would of been as easy as firing the chalk on Rahm.
Jays
Jays
Yeah, I’ll go with the Jays.
I made some bets early last night. I was inspired to beat the lines. I don’t usually bet that way. Getting the best price is optimal but solely aiming to beat a closing line is a fools errand. I’m that fool with these tickets but these are unusual times. Guilty of wanting action, I guess.
I beat the Jays by 40 points.
I beat the Dodgers by 15 so far. I am surprised that is all. It’s Buehler and he gives you length and is the likely NL Cy Young guy now. Carrasco has cratered very quickly in his recent outings. 2 pump (innings) chump. Lengthy hamstring IL. Only 5 abbreviated outings this year. Did he get a papal blessing or something?
Now the Todgers had a bullpen day yesterday and a lot of relievers took the hill. Dodgers aren’t strong in that department to begin with. But it’s Buehler and he ought to limit shitpen exposure. It is all too simple a handicap to me and that is usually how one ends up broke.
Braves are flat since yesterday.
Now I am guilty of taking full games here. That is because my shitty book Betanysports is getting smarter by the day. Everything I loved about them is gone now. No 1st 5 team totals. They are not first to offer line like BOL. They are starting to shut off 1st 5 overnight.
Whether I’m being targeted or they are just getting killed by 1st 5 action generally, IDK.
I haven’t handicapped since last night and will look in a few minutes.
Last edited by Sanlmar; 08-20-2021 at 10:28 AM.
Seems like lots of value on the UFC underdogs this weekend.... (1 unit each)
Palatnikov +120
Bahamondes +125
Cherant +150
Nunes +130
Royval +150
I also got...
Kelleher -175
Saldana -125
Pichel -110
Cannonier -140
Bets for August 16 - Aug 22 (Week 4)
Current
LPGA -Lydia Ko to win AIG Women痴 Open $1000 at +1400
Euro Tour - Sam Horsfield to win D & D Czech Majors $1000 at +1100
Settled
PGA - Dustin Johnson to win Northern Trust $950 at +1800 (L)
$50 Lydia Ko/Horsfield/D Johnson +341900 (L)
Start $50,000 Remaining $50,000 Current Week $-1,000 Last Week +$7000
覧覧覧覧覧覧覧覧覧覧覧覧覧覧覧覧覧覧覧覧覧
Mercifully DJ three putted to MC and we can settle this wager. Golf can make you look foolish pretty fast. Not proud of this one. +1800 odds seems to be a sucker pin sometimes. The chapter of me taking DJ in hopes he turns it all around is over. He will win again, maybe sooner than later. But I am not going to have him.
The other two we are going to need a big Saturday from at least one of them and no one to run away in front of them.
As for the Northern Trust, the oddsmakers are clearly tempting people to try and beat Rahm. A lot of guys played well today. Think I知 inclined to just steer clear of this one at this point. The odds are pretty decent on most of the guys behind him and it痴 tough to take Rahm at his current price.
@Pipes
We致e swapped spit with Wacha Wacha this year.
Here痴 a Wacha hate bet.
CWS (Giolito) vs Rays (Wacha)
Chicago White Sox team total over 4ｽ -108 for Game
I知 too big a pussy to bet against them cause I don稚 want to constantly wonder if that dark sedan out front is one of Pipe痴 associates.
Bets for August 16 - Aug 22 (Week 4)
New
PGA Weekend Odds- Brooks Koepka $600 to win Northern Trust at +1800
Current
LPGA -Lydia Ko to win AIG Women’s Open $1000 at +1400
Euro Tour - Sam Horsfield to win D & D Czech Majors $1000 at +1100
Start $50,000 Remaining $49,400 Current Week $-1,000 Last Week +$7000
——————————————————————————————————————————
Funny I said +1800 is a sucker pin sometimes but I just keep coming back to this one. High variance play, but I believe it’s an overlay at +1800. You know Brooks doesn’t give a shit about second place. I expect him to go for it. Stats over the first two days are good.
If we brick we will be basically even(down a bit). Plan is to have a better setup going forward and posting matchups/three balls and other lower variance plays. But for this week…. Let’s give Brooksy a shot. He was +2200 preflop. Where he sits for his price to still be close to that is nice.
He will have to play really well but whoever wins this will have to play well. Before Rahm got everything sorted out he had a habit of posting his worst rounds on Saturday. This play is price dependent. I see him at 18-1 in most places. Wouldn’t be worth it at much less than that.
GL
Jays totally squandered the game last night. Poor execution and some questionable decisions by the manager.
Now they need to go 9-1 next 10 IMO.
If Jays can’t hit a home run they don’t win. I don’t expect they will get another nickel of my money this year.
Jays
They marred an otherwise great night anchored by the Dodgers. I feel like such a whore… cause I am
I am destined for the 7th circle of hell after parlaying Dodger games. The books have got to be getting wrekt.
Trea Turner plays like no Dodger I can remember recently. Not even Mookie. Painful at 2nd base but Dodgers don’t care about defense.
It may be all I do today. Taking a look now.
Last edited by Sanlmar; 08-21-2021 at 07:07 AM.
Drawing live with Horsfield. Hopefully no one gets too far out in front. As usual he had that poor second round. I’m hoping this isn’t the week it will cost him. Leaders have tough holes ahead of them so let’s hope it stays compressed.
To look on the bright side, basically this course has no real birdie holes after 12. So in general, this puts more stress on the last few groups/leaders. So being in the third to last 3 ball isn’t a bad thing at all.
I am officially Lydia’s 3K simp. If she played the front nine like she has the back….If’s and nuts.
Live horse is Horsfield.
Last edited by JeffDime; 08-21-2021 at 08:13 AM.
Good morning all
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