Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #20341
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    i'll be in vegas the next few days, post these mlb plays n i'll tail.

  2. #20342
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Huge sharp action in the SF over. Opened at 9.5 and it’s 10.5 and pushing higher.

  3. #20343
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Huge sharp action in the SF over. Opened at 9.5 and it’s 10.5 and pushing higher.
    Hamels might be hurt

    Beede is no longer hiding in a West Coast Park. Did I mention he’s trash in his rookie year

    Wind out 10mph atm

    Late on the move maybe. A run ain’t such a big deal any more. So maybe not a deal killer. Your option

    Bigdick would want me to mention Cubs bullpen

    It’s interesting

  4. #20344
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    LAA/Tex - Druff came back from from 7-1 in the 2nd to win 7-8 in the 11th

    These 2 teams are playing now in the afternoon 100 degree heat after a few hours of sleep

    They play game #2 this evening.

    Here’s a fun look:

    Bats will be sleepy. Take the under 12 -115

    Bullpens are smoked and all that - it’s a non analytics bet

    Uh oh...worst case .... starter gets pulled after 1 2/3. I’m bailing and eating the juice.

    Shit happens
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 08-20-2019 at 10:43 AM.

  5. #20345
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Huge sharp action in the SF over. Opened at 9.5 and it’s 10.5 and pushing higher.
    Hamels might be hurt

    Beede is no longer hiding in a West Coast Park. Did I mention he’s trash in his rookie year

    Wind out 10mph atm

    Late on the move maybe. A run ain’t such a big deal any more. So maybe not a deal killer. Your option

    Bigdick would want me to mention Cubs bullpen

    It’s interesting
    Yeah it's all these reasons. Hamels bombed in last 2 starts. Wind blowing directly out. Beede has given up 4-5 ER in 5 straight starts.

  6. #20346
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well lets go with the sharps on that one, plus I'll do 2 others, including a big dog:

    Detroit (Turnbull) +240 at Houston (Aaron Sanchez) - Sanchez had been doing better with his new team, but got hit hard last time out. Turnbull is better than his 3-11 record indicates.

    Colorado (Freeland) at Arizona (Young) - Under 10 -120 - Freeland's horrid numbers are mostly a product of the fact that he has mostly started at home, where he gets killed

    SF (Beede) at Cubs (Hamels) - Over 10.5 -115

  7. #20347
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    san, talked to my pops today...he knows I like to fire...asked me if I was firing on my boy X in the tour championship...told him I reserve that for majors...he sent me an article and seems that the winner of the tour championship will take into account the "handicap" going into it...was wrong on brooks, he's in 3rd, he'll be 3 back of Justin and 1 back of cantlay...so you're taking brooks at +550 with the "handicap"...tough call...I probably wouldn't fire any more than what you got, but what the hell do I know?

  8. #20348
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Geez Simpdog.... I’ve seen 3 changes for starting pitcher vs Kershaw

  9. #20349
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Geez Simpdog.... I’ve seen 3 changes for starting pitcher vs Kershaw
    Baby Jays never heard of this old guy on the mound

    Lol 1st pitch from Kershaw .... good bye

    Lol Toronto station showing Kershaw HRs from 2014 NLDS. That harsh Simp.

  10. #20350
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I feel like I’m being deceptive.

    I have a dozen more Dodger dogs but I think most of them cancelled with the pitching changes by Jays. I kept refreshing but got sidetracked.

    Ripping Kershaw ... I mean he’s still a risk

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  11. #20351
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    daly you playing week 0 CFB?

    having trouble with my 2nd RB position...have a decent amount of perine and Brightwell (little bit over minimum) and a sprinkle of furtura...lessening my furtura exposure due to their depth chart with all 3 RBs having the starting designation with 'OR'...so basically have a pass heavy team with no clarity on the RB spot...don't know what the hell else to do...if I can get 50 yards and a couple of catches outta Brightwell it won't hurt me...

  12. #20352
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Ugly 0-3 day yesterday.

    Here are two today:

    Angels (P. Sandoval) +113 at Texas (Minor)
    Miami (C. Smith) +171 at Atlanta (Teheran)

    Both start soon

  13. #20353
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Favorites quiz

    Astros v Tigers
    -550 Bovada
    -530 BOL

    If I offered you a coupon for a 100 pt discount would you take it?

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    Last night. Felt it would go for a 100 pt run. It still climbing. The market thinks it’s a value.

    Is this how craters are formed?
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 08-21-2019 at 03:27 PM.

  14. #20354
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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  15. #20355
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    *your pitcher throws a 2 hitter
    *those 2 hits are HRs
    *he fans 11
    *and is fucking kate upton

    put that one in the ol' parlay calculator....

     
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      Sanlmar: 16.26% theoretical. Actual? 1.6%

  16. #20356
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Ugly 0-3 day yesterday.

    Here are two today:

    Angels (P. Sandoval) +113 at Texas (Minor)
    Miami (C. Smith) +171 at Atlanta (Teheran)

    Both start soon
    Ugly again

  17. #20357
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I was a part of history GBCP. I printed that one out and will buy a nice frame. Your post was hysterical.

    What is your position in golf right now GBCP

    You like 1st inning degeneracy... I’ll trade

    SF/Cubs 1st inn NO -135

    SF 1st 5 +170

    Samardjzia is a bit hot and cold but that’s my play.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 08-22-2019 at 08:57 AM.

  18. #20358
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Does anyone use a bet tracker?

    I want to enter my bets and have the application pull scores and track my progress.

    I like the process of handicapping. I make a decision then move on. I might bet a game several ways.

    I may have had a lean at noon but didn’t act. At 9pm I often can’t recall my decision on that issue. Did I bet it? How’s it doing?

    Financial trading software is fully built out & fantastic with alerts and real time of course. Someone must have done something similar with sports

  19. #20359
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I was a part of history GBCP. I printed that one out and will buy a nice frame. Your post was hysterical.

    What is your position in golf right now GBCP

    You like 1st inning degeneracy... I’ll trade

    SF/Cubs 1st inn NO -135

    SF 1st 5 +170

    Samardjzia is a bit hot and cold but that’s my play.


    no position in golf man...full CFB DFS focus...you should join me and daly on that one...you wanna talk about degeneracy...try betting on the performance of 18-22 year old males every week with their raging hormones, roid rage, booze/drug consumption, etc...

    I think this kinda betting would be OSA approved...

  20. #20360
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I was a part of history GBCP. I printed that one out and will buy a nice frame. Your post was hysterical.

    What is your position in golf right now GBCP

    You like 1st inning degeneracy... I’ll trade

    SF/Cubs 1st inn NO -135

    SF 1st 5 +170

    Samardjzia is a bit hot and cold but that’s my play.


    no position in golf man...full CFB DFS focus...you should join me and daly on that one...you wanna talk about degeneracy...try betting on the performance of 18-22 year old males every week with their raging hormones, roid rage, booze/drug consumption, etc...

    I think this kinda betting would be OSA approved...
    The only consistent success I had in college football was a couple of years ago. I saw Chinamaniac make some consistently good picks in this area too at the time.

    It was small college.
    * I would watch the games using the college internet feed
    * I would religiously watch the college coaches weekly broadcasts on both sides. On radio or internet. The revealing and honest shit they would say was amazingly useful. Big time coaches making millions were more reserved, of course. These guys were talking to the students, parents and alumni... or so they thought.

    * I would follow the players twitter
    This merits deeper explanation. Couple of years ago, players twitter was more candid. There had yet to be repercussions from saying stupid shit.

    The stuff the kids would say about their activities. Like, to the moment, you knew who was doing what.

    This is where I made my cash. I had a kid in school. I coached his friends who went to other schools. I knew their friends.

    Kids would talk shit about the other teams at their school. The baseball kids were jealous of the attention the football kids got, for instance. Their takes were incredible. Shit they wouldn’t even say on Twitter.


    No one ever knew I was using this as actionable intel. A golden window.

     
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      GambleBotsChafedPenis: Motherfucking Brilliant Rep
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 08-22-2019 at 10:08 AM.

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