Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #20281
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Thanks for the picks yesterday San. You're keeping the lights on during the summer.

    Over is 15-3 in NYY last 18 overall.
    Over is 46-13-2 in NYY last 61 road games.

    Yankees -1.5 and over 10.5 today against the young gun Jays. Jays need a little spanking today to remind them they are just kids.


    Atlanta -200. Not taking RL here.

    Col/SD under 8.0 -105.

  2. #20282
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I have my slate for tonight pretty much all built out. I did it without peeking at you but agree with your 3. They are amongst my favorites.

    Padres under (wink)

    San Diego 1st game back from a road trip, F5 and Full Game Under is combined 15-0-1

    Don’t know if you saw that too stat too. Padres crummy bats 2nd half of order is so lame. Cost me a bet last night. Not a favorite but it’s just good wagering.

    You can sell my picks or we can post them here .... if you answer the following:

    Do we fade Sale? +225.

    What’s odd is that Sales peripherals like fip are pretty good. The eye test just wins though. He’s becoming mentally unwound too.

    Sawks walk away in the rain last night tied with KC 4-4 10th. Come from behind to tie ? Lol. Sawks -350 last night?

    We built our roll fading big Kershaw years ago. Sale still draws similar stupid money. Don’t we have to make even a token bet fading Sale? Poutine & fries bet?

  3. #20283
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I have my slate for tonight pretty much all built out. I did it without peeking at you but agree with your 3. They are amongst my favorites.

    Padres under (wink)

    San Diego 1st game back from a road trip, F5 and Full Game Under is combined 15-0-1

    Don’t know if you saw that too stat too. Padres crummy bats 2nd half of order is so lame. Cost me a bet last night. Not a favorite but it’s just good wagering.

    You can sell my picks or we can post them here .... if you answer the following:

    Do we fade Sale? +225.

    What’s odd is that Sales peripherals like fip are pretty good. The eye test just wins though. He’s becoming mentally unwound too.

    Sawks walk away in the rain last night tied with KC 4-4 10th. Come from behind to tie ? Lol. Sawks -350 last night?

    We built our roll fading big Kershaw years ago. Sale still draws similar stupid money. Don’t we have to make even a token bet fading Sale? Poutine & fries bet?
    Sale got pounded by the Yankees twice. (well the Sawks all got pounded by them).

    Boston also owned them in June at home. I'm staying away.....feels like +225 is +EV but if I had to pick something I'd take Sawks -1.5 and not watch a single pitch.


    Had to point out this injury....LOL.....Price has been placed on the 10-day injured list due to a triangular fibrocartilage complex cyst in his left wrist.

  4. #20284
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    aight boys im with you tonight, hope this doesn't mean the kiss of death for you...

    san I fired small on LAA...the sale thing is interesting...strange shit...still averaging 1.5K/inning, whip is up from last 2 years, but still a very respectable 1.14...FIP/xFIP not horrid, but not dominant like years past...BABIP struggling...letting me bet on mr. new jersey, why the fuck not...ill owe you another bourbon if you're right...

  5. #20285
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Here. Fish around for ideas

    682 Winnipeg Blue Bombers -7 -115 for Game L

    270 Los Angeles Chargers/Arizona Cardinals over 38 -110 for Game L

    951 Atlanta Braves -1½ -135 for Game L

    951 Atlanta Braves -188 for Game L

    954 Cincinnati Reds +113 for Game L

    958 Colorado Rockies/San Diego Padres under 8 -120 for Game L

    959 New York Yankees over 6½ +107 for Game W

    959 New York Yankees -192 for Game W

    959 New York Yankees -1½ -138 for Game W

    965 Cleveland Indians -106 for Game W

    Tennis - WTA - 202024 Swiatek, Iga +252 for Match L
    Fade Osaka

    I passed on Sale per advice of counsel. Don’t like to have too many bets.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 08-09-2019 at 12:18 PM.

  6. #20286
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Here. Fish around for ideas

    682 Winnipeg Blue Bombers -7 -115 for Game

    270 Los Angeles Chargers/Arizona Cardinals over 38 -110 for Game

    951 Atlanta Braves -1½ -135 for Game

    951 Atlanta Braves -188 for Game

    954 Cincinnati Reds +113 for Game

    958 Colorado Rockies/San Diego Padres under 8 -120 for Game

    959 New York Yankees over 6½ +107 for Game

    959 New York Yankees -192 for Game

    959 New York Yankees -1½ -138 for Game

    965 Cleveland Indians -106 for Game

    Tennis - WTA - 202024 Swiatek, Iga +252 for Match
    Fade Osaka


    I passed on Sale per advice of counsel. Don’t like to have too many bets.
    It is Very Bad to fade Sake on Hard Court. Very Bad

    LOL

  7. #20287
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by badguy23 View Post

    It is Very Bad to fade Sake on Hard Court. Very Bad

    LOL
    Did I get value so far?

    7 3 Sake
    6 4 Iggy

    Edit
    Value is horse shit

    Gg badguy
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 08-08-2019 at 06:55 PM.

  8. #20288
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Here. Fish around for ideas

    682 Winnipeg Blue Bombers -7 -115 for Game

    270 Los Angeles Chargers/Arizona Cardinals over 38 -110 for Game

    951 Atlanta Braves -1½ -135 for Game L

    951 Atlanta Braves -188 for Game L

    954 Cincinnati Reds +113 for Game L

    958 Colorado Rockies/San Diego Padres under 8 -120 for Game

    959 New York Yankees over 6½ +107 for Game W

    959 New York Yankees -192 for Game W

    959 New York Yankees -1½ -138 for Game W

    965 Cleveland Indians -106 for Game

    Tennis - WTA - 202024 Swiatek, Iga +252 for Match
    Fade Osaka

    I passed on Sale per advice of counsel. Don’t like to have too many bets.
    youre getting closer to wagering on aussie rules football...I like where this is going..

  9. #20289
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Yankees/Jays under 11win

    Braves -145win

    Grabbed Washington last night -125, still like -130tight loss
    Last edited by simpdog; 08-10-2019 at 09:14 AM.

  10. #20290
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Sake to me -110 Time to take out the BBB once again.

    U got to be on Pills to bet Serena. LOL some who read this are and will have to sell them if they go against Sake to me tonight.

    U no who u r.

    Tic Toc Tic Toc

    Times Up.

    Will save that for radio though!!!

    U all no wtf to do.



    Last edited by badguy23; 08-09-2019 at 11:59 AM.

  11. #20291
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    My tennis dog of the day.

    TENNIS - ATP - 201016 MONFILS, GAEL +141 FOR MATCH

    I don’t chase dogs but I am experimenting here. Men’s tennis is generally useless.

    The old dump truck Serena. I must be truthful, here. She does have bigger guns than me.

    I’m going to be out, If I bet - I would be on the phone and that’ll just get me in trouble. This would good match to live wager. I have no idea Preflop.

    We need more badguy wagering. The showmanship hides a smart sports handicapper. That you don’t bet NBA and focus on sports with less attention paid to them. Less sharp lines. Boss
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 08-09-2019 at 12:42 PM.

  12. #20292
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by badguy23 View Post
    Sake to me -110 Time to take out the BBB once again.

    U got to be on Pills to bet Serena. LOL some who read this are and will have to sell them if they go against Sake to me tonight.

    U no who u r.

    Tic Toc Tic Toc

    Times Up.

    Will save that for radio though!!!

    U all no wtf to do.



    WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#:
    STRAIGHT BET Aug 09 MU [8924] OSAKA, NAOMI -110 (WILLIAMS, SERENA vrs OSAKA, NAOMI) 220.00 USD / 200.00 USD 123636112

  13. #20293
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Shit the pills r safe

    Sorry Guys. Once again I get beat by the BBC LOL

    Or so they think.

    Wink

  14. #20294
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Yankees/Jays under 11

    Braves -145

    Grabbed Washington last night -125, still like -130
    2 outta 3 ain’t bad.

  15. #20295
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    My tennis dog of the day.

    TENNIS - ATP - 201016 MONFILS, GAEL +141 FOR MATCH

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  16. #20296
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    hey daly tate martell didn't win the starting job in MIA, is that an upset?

  17. #20297
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Hey Salty

    MOBILE - TENNIS - ATP - 201145 KHACHANOV, KAREN +122 FOR MATCH

    MOBILE - TENNIS - WTA - 202132 SWIATEK, IGA +104 FOR MATCH

    Both saw big moves in their direction. Not reason for the handicap but just an observation. Wish I handicapped earlier

  18. #20298
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Todd is on a wagering sabbatical to contemplate the lessons we have tried to teach him.

    In that vein, this made me laugh. A little East Coast West Coast. A little lesson concerning the role of big favorites and being alert and flexible when wagering.

    We were shocked to see Dodgers are tied with Yankees. Jk. I made far more money on Dodgers than Todd. Painful. Practical

    80-41 Yankees
    80-41 Todgers

    Guess who the top 2 Teams were ROI. Not close. Look up.

    What do you think was common between them?
    Yup, big favorites every day from first pitch in the Spring.

    Minny was 3rd. Daly and I rode that wave.

    Todd tried to be instructive during NHL. He was wrong there too. Historic season. You must be limber and adaptable

    Thought for day:
    The lines are ridiculous to the favorite presently. It’s a phase. When football rolls around in September the $ will run over there and the MLB lines will get softer.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 08-14-2019 at 09:09 AM.

  19. #20299
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Simpdog’s sick multi year run continues btw

    I am always impressed with his judgement and ideas

  20. #20300
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Simpdog’s sick multi year run continues btw

    I am always impressed with his judgement and ideas
    Did you see the freeroll?

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