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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #33061
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    Guy with a man purse filled with perfect 5 K wrappers at Borgata just fired 36K worth of golf matchups. He put 10 K on Henley over Horschel. All I know is he does this a lot and it may just be a good number at Henley +115 or he may have heard Billy is not feeling well. Either way he was trying to bet 20K on that one. Was able to get 10 in.

    Typically would say this is 99.9% a good number bet. But trying to get 20K on a golf matchup makes me think it's possible Billy may have the shits or something.

  2. #33062
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Guy with a man purse filled with perfect 5 K wrappers at Borgata just fired 36K worth of golf matchups. He put 10 K on Henley over Horschel. All I know is he does this a lot and it may just be a good number at Henley +115 or he may have heard Billy is not feeling well. Either way he was trying to bet 20K on that one. Was able to get 10 in.

    Typically would say this is 99.9% a good number bet. But trying to get 20K on a golf matchup makes me think it's possible Billy may have the shits or something.
    I can’t figure out why the love for Billy this weekend…… but lot of people do


    By the numbers the fellas think it’s a virtual coin flip between them with a slight lean towards Billy, so at +115 it’s a good price. I see +104
    Last edited by Daly; 08-03-2022 at 12:42 PM.

  3. #33063
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    Since this thread has been kind of quiet, got me some Alison Lee at 90:1 at the womens British open.
    She’s definitely a long shot but should be closer to 30:1 imo.

    She’s been playing well, has a LET win last year, got 5th place last week and should have done better + the weather this weekend appears to be mild.

    Most likely will never see my $$ again n this one but gives me a good reason to go into the office very early the next 4 days

  4. #33064
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    I see why I never bet Zalotoris outright. These putts don’t even have a chance.

  5. #33065
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Let’s try not to go bankrupt on night 1 of NFL but most of the Jax starters aren’t playing tonight…..

    I got some bets in on the raiders

  6. #33066
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Adding Auburn over 6 and Louisville over 6.5 to my season long totals.


    If you can find a Virginia under 7.5 that’s at -160 or better that’s a bet. It’s probably a bet up to -300 becuase I don’t see that team getting to 8 wins but things can and will go wrong from time to time.

    For those that care Auburn Over 6 -120ish has quickly become this upcoming seasons “main play” for me. I’ve got it maxed at every out I got.

    Most likely scenario in my mind is they start 5-0. If that happens (or even 4-1) that opens up a lot of other bets that can be made. Figure the play Georgia in week 6 you can fire a ML bet on Georgia knowing that you are covered if auburn pulls a big upset, as an example of the “bets on bets”

     
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      country978:

  7. #33067
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Let's jump back into some MLB.

    Battle of NL East titans.

    Atlanta (I. Anderson) +120 at NY Mets (T. Walker)

  8. #33068
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    Question

    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Live semi-long shot would be Joohyung Kim 35-1. Guy is trending really well. Took him in a matchup Sunday (Something I am focusing more on) and he won that by 7 strokes. Gonna put a saver bet on him for the week. Not gonna pile.
    I’m a fucking idiot. 4-1 co-favorite going into the weekend and I decide to pile on Nelly. Just foolish of me really. I need him to win to save my weekend though. I wish I bet more but I need to see my good plays actually finish the job. Really soon.

    Minjee Lee is playing great tee to green. She got the shit draw with Nelly and J Ko (Not that it mattered for them). If Minjee makes a few putts she has a good shot. I think 7-1 is more than fair. Remember Chun really did collapse down the stretch in the PGA but Lexi collapsed even worse. Given how tough the back nine is I really don’t mind Minjee’s position going into the weekend.

    BTW the sharp I saw bet 10 K Henley over Horshel is in good shape. Again, I should of fucking piled. Never seen a guy trying to bet 20 K Matchups at the window like that. Obviously just didn’t wake up and decide to do that. Henley figured to be contending for the win on Sunday.
    Last edited by JeffDime; 08-05-2022 at 04:33 PM.

  9. #33069
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Atlanta had an 8-0 lead in the top of the 2nd with nobody out.

    Now it's 8-5 in the 7th. Mets actually had tying run at the plate in the 6th, but didn't score.

    If I lose this one, it will be horrendous.

     
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      Sanlmar: Nice. Now back to Padres Dodgers over

  10. #33070
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    We have officially hit the part of the story when you manage to get someone to get you an account and the book is telling the guy “this guy better not be sharp…. Tell him I’m going to watch him like a hawk and better not be that sharp shit”….. so you send in the chalkiest three team -EV parlay you can muster and 1-2 other heave chalk first five bets and manage to scoop them all….

    And the guys pissed because they were sharp parlays.

    Yup folks….. we got “sharp parlays” being called out

  11. #33071
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Very last minute:

    Texas (Dunning) +105 vs Chicago (Kopech)

  12. #33072
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    Another last minute... fading former Dodger Mitch White:

    Minnesota (Bundy) +100 vs Toronto (White)

  13. #33073
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Rangers up 7-0 late, so that one is pretty much done.

    Twins up 4-2, so if that one holds, it will be my third in a row.

  14. #33074
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Live semi-long shot would be Joohyung Kim 35-1. Guy is trending really well. Took him in a matchup Sunday (Something I am focusing more on) and he won that by 7 strokes. Gonna put a saver bet on him for the week. Not gonna pile.
    I’m a fucking idiot. 4-1 co-favorite going into the weekend and I decide to pile on Nelly. Just foolish of me really. I need him to win to save my weekend though. I wish I bet more but I need to see my good plays actually finish the job. Really soon.

    Minjee Lee is playing great tee to green. She got the shit draw with Nelly and J Ko (Not that it mattered for them). If Minjee makes a few putts she has a good shot. I think 7-1 is more than fair. Remember Chun really did collapse down the stretch in the PGA but Lexi collapsed even worse. Given how tough the back nine is I really don’t mind Minjee’s position going into the weekend.

    BTW the sharp I saw bet 10 K Henley over Horshel is in good shape. Again, I should of fucking piled. Never seen a guy trying to bet 20 K Matchups at the window like that. Obviously just didn’t wake up and decide to do that. Henley figured to be contending for the win on Sunday.

    Bag man knew what he was doing….. should have got his phone number.

    None of the syndicate golf plays had this in it that i was aware of, so maybe the guy is independent

     
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      JeffDime: Bag man knew it.

  15. #33075
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Bag man knew what he was doing….. should have got his phone number.

    None of the syndicate golf plays had this in it that i was aware of, so maybe the guy is independent
    Yea I hate myself today. The amount I put on J Kim is just disgraceful. I over thought it. Yes it was the best putting final round I’ve seen in years, but it was a hollow victory for me. The Henley matchup I just dropped the ball. Supposed to take the rubber band off the bankroll when I see something like that. This should of been a winning weekend. I just about broke even. No one to blame but myself. Think the heat fried my fucking brain.

    The LPGA & Euro Tour outrights have been unbeatable pre-tournament for the most part all year long. PGA has had some opportunities as of late and I have failed to really capitalize on them. Every fucking putt I saw from Minjee in the telecast came up short. Surprised she didn’t get more aggressive over the weekend. Fuck it.
    Last edited by JeffDime; 08-08-2022 at 02:19 PM.

  16. #33076
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    Last minute:

    Baltimore (Lyles) +115 vs. Toronto (Kikuchi)

  17. #33077
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Bag man knew what he was doing….. should have got his phone number.

    None of the syndicate golf plays had this in it that i was aware of, so maybe the guy is independent
    Yea I hate myself today. The amount I put on J Kim is just disgraceful. I over thought it. Yes it was the best putting final round I’ve seen in years, but it was a hollow victory for me. The Henley matchup I just dropped the ball. Supposed to take the rubber band off the bankroll when I see something like that. This should of been a winning weekend. I just about broke even. No one to blame but myself. Think the heat fried my fucking brain.

    The LPGA & Euro Tour outrights have been unbeatable pre-tournament for the most part all year long. PGA has had some opportunities as of late and I have failed to really capitalize on them. Every fucking putt I saw from Minjee in the telecast came up short. Surprised she didn’t get more aggressive over the weekend. Fuck it.

    Don’t have to remind you jeff that betting golf is different than other sports. It’s about winning as much in a weekend that most other sports make in a season. It’s boom or bust.

    Keep your finger on the pulse.

    That said i have no idea what im doing this weekend. I know I’ll have small amounts on Finau to repeat.

  18. #33078
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    6-2 in the 8th, you'd think it's little sweat. But this is the Orioles, and they almost blew it in the 8th, and now it's 7-4 in the 9th with 2 runs on nobody out for Toronto.

    Never easy.

  19. #33079
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    Power of negative thinking.

    Within a minute of my post, it went from 0 outs to 3 outs. Strikeout and DP.

    4th win in a row for me.


  20. #33080
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Power of negative thinking.

    Within a minute of my post, it went from 0 outs to 3 outs. Strikeout and DP.

    4th win in a row for me.

    Excellent work.

    Plus money Orioles was your best pick. Toronto (banned list) just keeps taking public money and Orioles are so profitable as a rule. What do folks see in the Jays?

    Sweet money

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