Easy win in today's under.
2-0 after the 1st.
2-0 final.
I knew Scherzer would crush the Braves.
Gained +0.952 units.
7-2. +4.649 units in this young season.
Will my early season NBA talents transfer to MLB early season?
Easy win in today's under.
2-0 after the 1st.
2-0 final.
I knew Scherzer would crush the Braves.
Gained +0.952 units.
7-2. +4.649 units in this young season.
Will my early season NBA talents transfer to MLB early season?
Dogs for Tuesday:
Braves +198
Reds +190
Tigers +178
Milwaukee (Suter) at St. Louis (C. Martinez) - under 7.5 +105
Anyone who doesn't think I run bad, look at how I lost this tonight.Originally Posted by Dan Druff
2-1 in the bottom of the 9th, 3-2 in the bottom of the 10th, 3-3 in the bottom of 11th.
Lose 5-3 to a 2-run walk off HR.
Poor baby, Druff.
I sat in 38 degree weather for 3 hours watching the Red Sox hammer the Yankees 14-1.
The fucking beer vendor refused to ever look my way.
Judge is still god. Another bomb. Not only at bat but in the field.
Cora has brought the Astros aggressive batting approach to Boston and replaced the take every pitch (and drive up a starter’s pitch count) until you are facing 1-2, 2-2.
Not enough for me to forgive the Sawks but 9-1 is putting pressure on my happiness
I haven’t even looked at any MLB lines. Have the Indians run totals been like 5.5? They gave up 13 runs in one game and only 33 through 11 while struggling to score 2 themselves. I don’t think a single starter is hitting .200, yet they’re in first because everyone has sucked so far. I would guess they’ve had to be under 9 of 11 thus far. The weather is warming up though in a few days.
Honestly, I haven't found many dogs I've liked this year.
It's always tempting to fire on them, but the ones with value tend to be the unheralded good pitcher on the bad team, or alternatively the unheralded good pitcher on an okay team facing a great team and another very good pitcher.
But the ones I've been seeing so far really have the appearance of having little chance to win.
I did want to fire on Lucchesi of the Padres, because he's legit good, but the Colorado factor scared me. Would have won.
Still pissed about the downright robbery on that under.
so TOR is +170 against MIA tonight...
MIA/WSH are tied right now for 7th with MIA having the tiebreaker (I believe)...WSH is playing ORL tonight which you would think would be a walkover win...
the question is whether or not to hedge the MIA game...I got off around 20% of my bet live against OKC and MIA will make or break my profitability...after an 82 game slog i'd like to at least be able to go out to dinner...
seems just like a spot not to hedge especially if theres no lowry, derozen, valenchunis...
Small dog to start the day:
Kansas City (Duffy) +120 vs. Seattle (Paxton)
Game starts 11:15am PDT
Good luck with that. What are you thinking of hedging? A win total? Those bottom 3 spots in East are a tangled mess. All 3 would prefer to land 7th, but none of them know best way to end 7th, plus Milwaukee might need to win to retain draft pick. Not sure about that, but seemed to read something like that the other day, but they’re playing a team that also needs the win in Philly as Cleveland has tiebreaker. True clusterfuck. Like it wouldn’t shock me to see Spoelstra was watching the scoreboard and coaching accordingly if there’s any doubt about the Bucks game. It’s why the NBA moved all the start times to 8 for those games.
McCullers u 7.5k
yeah I have MIA at O 43.5 for the year...its not the amount of money, but like I said I've slogged through 82 fucking games of this year and would like to at least get a steak outta the whole thing...
Good luck with that. What are you thinking of hedging? A win total? Those bottom 3 spots in East are a tangled mess. All 3 would prefer to land 7th, but none of them know best way to end 7th, plus Milwaukee might need to win to retain draft pick. Not sure about that, but seemed to read something like that the other day, but they’re playing a team that also needs the win in Philly as Cleveland has tiebreaker. True clusterfuck. Like it wouldn’t shock me to see Spoelstra was watching the scoreboard and coaching accordingly if there’s any doubt about the Bucks game. It’s why the NBA moved all the start times to 8 for those games.
Goddamn it, thanks for point that out BCR...only thought it was MIA/WSH for 7th, didn't realize MLW was in the mix too...
already put another 20% hedge on it...probably will try to do some live hedging as well...
think you are totally right about spoelstra pulling the strings like a puppet master...they were beating OKC and then absolutely bedshit in the 4th to get hammered...don't think that was an accident...
Glad to see these back.
In 2016 Daly ran off something sick like 14 consecutive wins on his K props.
On wizards -5.5 for 2 units today.
I looked at the permutation and it is pretty much +EV for every team to lose. Basically, any team that wins will jump into 6th if the other 2 teams lose. I haven't checked my book yet, but according to ESPN both the Heat and Wizards are pretty big favorites. I don't get that at all. The Wizards I can kind of see, just because the Magic are so bad it will be hard to play bad enough to lose, but I don't see any reason why the Heat would be favored against Toronto, even backups, who have no motivation to play poorly and are pretty good.yeah I have MIA at O 43.5 for the year...its not the amount of money, but like I said I've slogged through 82 fucking games of this year and would like to at least get a steak outta the whole thing...
Goddamn it, thanks for point that out BCR...only thought it was MIA/WSH for 7th, didn't realize MLW was in the mix too...
already put another 20% hedge on it...probably will try to do some live hedging as well...
think you are totally right about spoelstra pulling the strings like a puppet master...they were beating OKC and then absolutely bedshit in the 4th to get hammered...don't think that was an accident...
I think betting both the Heat and Bucks to lose would be +EV bet. Especially the Heat, who are favored and you are getting odds.
Washington is a complete wildcard because the Magic are so bad and are tanking.
So my KC pick lost, and the worst thing was the fact that I woke up from a nap confused, believing I had the Seattle side, and was thrilled to see they won.
Oops.
Here are 3 more picks:
NY (Wheeler) at Miami (Jar. Garcia) - Under 8.5 -105
Miami +125
Cincinnati (L. Castillo) at Philadelphia (Pivetta) - Under 7.5 -105
cool thanks for the insight...seeing TOR at +170 now...might fire a little more off pregame and try to get the rest off during the game, hoping MIA gets out to a lead and I can get +200 or better...I looked at the permutation and it is pretty much +EV for every team to lose. Basically, any team that wins will jump into 6th if the other 2 teams lose. I haven't checked my book yet, but according to ESPN both the Heat and Wizards are pretty big favorites. I don't get that at all. The Wizards I can kind of see, just because the Magic are so bad it will be hard to play bad enough to lose, but I don't see any reason why the Heat would be favored against Toronto, even backups, who have no motivation to play poorly and are pretty good.
will be very impressed if WSH can find a way to lose to ORL...
Yeah I'm happy to see them back too. Last year many books didn't even offer them.Glad to see these back.
In 2016 Daly ran off something sick like 14 consecutive wins on his K props.
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