The analytics guys say momentum isnt a thing, but Ima test it anyway. BYU had no business getting a TD at end of 1st half and I think that punch to the gut affects Baylor.Originally Posted by padre33
The analytics guys say momentum isnt a thing, but Ima test it anyway. BYU had no business getting a TD at end of 1st half and I think that punch to the gut affects Baylor.
How that BYU coach plays for a FG after the guy misses at end of regulation is beyond me. They deserve to lose now. Reverse jinx activatedThe analytics guys say momentum isnt a thing, but Ima test it anyway. BYU had no business getting a TD at end of 1st half and I think that punch to the gut affects Baylor.
Max sweat value. Scooper! Good thing them silly Mormons were at home, they got ALL the calls..How that BYU coach plays for a FG after the guy misses at end of regulation is beyond me. They deserve to lose now. Reverse jinx activated
NFL week 1
Carolina -1
Bengals -7
Did one of my teaser-like parlays. Don’t take the full 6, but better odds and if you push one, drops down into straight bet. Obviously you run the risk of your team winning by 1.
Parlay (2 Picks)0 of 2 settled
Sep 11 • 2022
Ticket ID: 4956
Point Spread: SF 49ers -2.0 @ -230
SF 49ers @ CHI Bears
Point Spread: BAL Ravens -2.0 @ -220
BAL Ravens @ NY Jets
Odds:
+110
Reason I like these if I’m going to tease a game and just info for thread as it’s good to know how often games land on a number.
https://www.businessinsider.com/nfl-...art-2013-7?amp
This was of 2013, it’s possible coaches going for 2 and shit has slightly skewed it, but it’s largely accurate.
Like the probability for a game ending at 1 or 2 is roughly 3% for each. So since you have two lines of 6.5 and I like both favorites, I still need to pick the winner on each for traditional tease, and there is no probability argument that with 2 independent events each with a 3% chance of occurring, that the probability of one occurring is greater than the difference between +110 and -112(teaser line offered)- it doesn’t occur anywhere close to 22 per $100. And in this case, 2 pushes if my team wins by 2. I don’t feel like doing the math, but iirc, the chance of one or both occurring is like one might happen less than 10% and both happen some minuscule number. . Certainly not 22/100$
Feel free to correct any faulty math assumptions. I’m getting old and forget exact equation for figuring probability of one event occurring with two independent variables.
Guaranteed one of my teams win by one today after this post
Last edited by BCR; 09-11-2022 at 09:11 AM.
No gamble no future.. 1st week ritual.. Bookies will never drop you after seeing this.
Have some baseball action as well I need to post later.
Baseball action?
Okay
Minnesota (Winder) +130 vs Cleveland (Bieber)
Texas (M. Perez) +106 vs Toronto (T. Richards)
Druff quit fading the jays when they are hot
Hernandez also back to the team today too.
One more. Keep in mind it's on rain delay.
Yankees (German) -125 vs Tampa (Patino)
Sorry but Trevor Richards sucks.Druff quit fading the jays when they are hot
Hernandez also back to the team today too.
Probably should've done first 5 but whatever.
Bonus NFL pick.
Sorry aajay.
NY Giants +210 at Tennessee (+5.5 spread ok)
Decided to split NYG bet half ML half +5.5 -106.
I'm not a great NFL guy so keep that in mind.
i did
A
C (so so public)
E
and Miami big
uh, where the hell is Verm? It's game day, son.
The Twins are just so bad.
They lured me into this +130 but they just look horrible at the plate.
I had a pretty big Raven/Bungle teaser where I teased Bengals down to -.5. 5 turnovers, missed extra point at end of regulation, and then missed 29 yard FG at end of OT.
It is what it is.
I have a bet on almost every game, but never got online to post them. My bad.
Took some brutal beats, with the most spectacular being needing the Bengals to win and Carolina PK.
I also have Houston and Atlanta O4.5 season win totals, and they both found a way to snatch defeat (tie in Houstons case) from the jaws of victory.
Last edited by Kalam; 09-11-2022 at 12:37 PM.
I have a bet on almost every game, but never got online to post them. My bad.
Took some brutal beats, with the most spectacular being needing the Bengals to win and Carolina PK.
I also have Houston and Atlanta O4.5 season win totals, and they both found a way to snatch defeat (tie in Houstons case) from the jaws of victory.
Good to have you back in action, pal.
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