Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #31181
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Dark times:

    Had a brutal Saturday and made a giant bet on Nevada -14 just to get half of it back. Halfway through the 4th Q Nevada is up 5-0 in turnover margin and is only up 17. And the backdoor is WIDE open. Seriously, how can you be up 5-0 in turnover margin, and barely be covering a football game. Talk about not showing up to play, and kickboxing into a win anyways.

    This is absolutely brutal, because they stopped trying to score a long time ago, so it is just a matter of whether the Hawaii QB can put in one drive without throwing an INT.

    Edit: Nevada just had a WR who was tackled while the ball was in the air and the refs didn't even bother to call the most obvious pass interference of all time. Refs want Hawaii to backdoor cover. This is so brutal.
    I was eyeing this game but I always feel like a degenerate with the weekly get right game. I liked Nevada.

    Your post made me turn this on

    Hawaii is garbage …. Unwatchable. You good.

  2. #31182
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I have not won a single Hockey bet so far this young season. I don’t even know how I’m doing it. I’m gonna fade myself and become fabulously rich. Yeah, that’s the ticket.

  3. #31183
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Oh fuck.

    So sweet Kalem.

  4. #31184
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Oh fuck.

    So sweet Kalem.
    Insane. That Hawaii coach wanted to cover so bad. His QB is getting hit almost every drop back, gets hit hard on 3rd and 23 and comes up limping, and the coach is going for it on 4th and 23 (where his QB gets sacked hard again). I am not sure I have ever seen that before.

    Still lost my ass on the day. But if Nevada hadn't covered the way that game played out that would have been the ultimate soul crush. 5-0 in turnover margin and barely covered. Pathetic.

  5. #31185
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    As long as I am here this is what I got for tomorrow so far:

    Jags +3 -110
    Chargers +9.5/Rams -2.5 7 point teaser (-130 odds)
    Colts -2.5/ Chiefs PK 7 point teaser
    Bills/Titans O54
    Browns -2.5 -115

  6. #31186
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    One of the games I lost was Tennessee +1. They were actually down 5 points and driving late when they maybe converted a 4th and 24 that would have set them up in the Ole Miss redzone. The only problem was the refs marked the ball down about half a yard short, and the shoestring budget SEC TV setup didn't have any cameras that had an angle on where the ball was when the guy was tackled, so there was no way to even really review the call.

    So the call stands and the Tenn fans are pissed and start throwing stuff on the field and Kiffin actually got hit with a golf ball (not very hard). It was actually pretty wild. Too bad Tennessee has sucked for so long. Because there really is something special about Rocky Top in a night game rocking with over 100K fans.

  7. #31187
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Well since you started Kalem. It appears none of our games intersect so you should sleep real peaceful tonight. Oops we do have shit in common. Sorry buddy

    The Syracuse (win) teaser makes me laugh…. until some referee takes my money and I cry. If I do hit that middle though.

    Astros series is a hedge on a 16:1 Dodgers Red Sox World Series prop. Astros are going down

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    Last edited by Sanlmar; 10-16-2021 at 10:55 PM.

  8. #31188
    Silver Sandwich's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sandwich View Post
    Slim pickins this weekend @ UFC Fight Night 195. Thin value, but value nonetheless....

    Carnelossi -155, 1u W +.65
    Batgerel -155, 1u W +.65
    Sanchez +135, 1u L -1
    Felipe +100, 1u L -1
    Dumont by decision +275, 1u W +2.75
    Back on track, Up 2.05 units

     
    Comments
      
      JeffDime: Well done! I would of joined in but the golf sweats have all my attention. Glad to see you doing well and thanks for posting!

  9. #31189
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    So much fail Jacksonville. This is one of the problems with taking 0-5 teams, is that there is normally a reason they are 0-5.

  10. #31190
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I have not won a single Hockey bet so far this young season. I don’t even know how I’m doing it. I’m gonna fade myself and become fabulously rich. Yeah, that’s the ticket.
    I stopped posting picks and started winning.

    I will start posting again and will start losing. Easy fade material!

  11. #31191
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    Wow Miami. So much fail.

    So it is tied at 20 and 4th and 5 around midfield with 5 seconds left and Jacksonville is lining up for a last play of game Hail Mary. Except instead they do a quick pass, and Shenault (the WR) makes the diving catch and is rolling and inexplicably the Miami defender rushes up to touch him and Jacksonville calls an immediate timeout and kicks the winning FG. If the defender just lets him roll and waits the game ends and OT. That is literally the only way that play works is for the player to be immediately touched and an immediate timeout called, and then the kicker making a 54 yd fg. I'll take it the way things have been going.

    I actually have season bets of Miami U9.5 wins and Jacksonville U6.5 wins. Obviously I want to win both bets. Not sure if Jacksonville winning is the best outcome. Probably not.

  12. #31192
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Well since you started Kalem. It appears none of our games intersect so you should sleep real peaceful tonight. Oops we do have shit in common. Sorry buddy

    The Syracuse (win) teaser makes me laugh…. until some referee takes my money and I cry. If I do hit that middle though.

    Astros series is a hedge on a 16:1 Dodgers Red Sox World Series prop. Astros are going down

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    I must have missed the chapter about betting teasers through 0. I will have to do a re-read apparently.

    Either way, GL.

    Edit: Also good call on the Syracuse legs. Never a second of sweat that one was going to cover. I had Syr +13, and was a little dicey until they scored the late TD.
    Last edited by Kalam; 10-17-2021 at 09:27 AM.

  13. #31193
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    I didn't realize because I autopay Direct TV and hadn't checked my bill recently, but apparently I have been subscribed (and paying full price) for NFL Season Pass this whole season despite the fact I canceled the package over a year ago.

    Is that even legal?

    Unfortunately, at this point I am just going to keep it and watch all the games, so legal or not, it worked.

  14. #31194
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    Damn. I have a Chiefs on a teaser and have O54, and Chiefs just threw a pick on the 2 yard line going in. Brutal equity swing there.

  15. #31195
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    It’s def a bummer to have this guy in the last group again and just not perform. It’s really what I said in the beginning of the week. If he has to scramble it’s not going to happen. He didn’t make a bogey all week until today. Guy just can’t get up and down for shit. I guess it’s technically not over, but with two guys with a 3 stroke lead. It’s pretty much a done deal.

    Just sucks, he was +260 going into the final round. Jimenez was the slight favorite at +210. Just a waste if we don’t cash this for the third straight time. Thought about a hedge with Jimenez,but the leaderboard was just to stacked up so had to let the chips fall where they may.

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  16. #31196
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Bets for Oct 11-Oct 17(Week 11)

    Settled

    PGA Tour CJ Cup - Dustin Johnson $1000 at 15-1 (L$1,000)

    Champions Tour SAS - A Cejka $1000 at 14-1 (L$1,000)

    Start $50,000 Remaining $68,700 Current Week $-2,000 Last Week +$12,500

    Total Win/Loss +$18,700

    ————

    Cejka should of got it done today. Would of been nice to have the 3-peat. Trying to keep perspective but it hurts.

  17. #31197
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    The reffing isn't helping at all (Browns have had some brutal questionable penalties that have directly contributed to Az points), but who could have guessed that having both you starting tackles out might be a problem? I haven't even had anything to sweat past the first couple minutes of the games. All my bets today have been stone cold dead right off the bat.

  18. #31198
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    I took Cowboys +3 live when they were down 14-7.

    They are down 14-10 at end of half 3rd and goal and Dak does a QB sneak that is an OBVIOUS TD, but the refs inexplicably call it down at the 1, and also inexplicably dont review it. Then Dak fumbles on 4th and 1. Unfucking real.

    Cowboys have 235 yard to Patriots 130 and are losing by 4. This is insane.

  19. #31199
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    I don't even know how to describe Baker's injury, but it did not look good at all. Looks like the Case Keenum era in Cleveland has begun.

    Edit: Never mind. Baker is warming up on the sideline. Whatever happened it happened to his left shoulder, so I guess he decided he doesn't need it. Who am I to argue?

    But yeah, Cleveland keeps fumbling and losing it. And Az keeps fumbling and recovering their own fumbles. I guess that is how the ball bounces some days.

  20. #31200
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    I took Cowboys +3 live when they were down 14-7.

    They are down 14-10 at end of half 3rd and goal and Dak does a QB sneak that is an OBVIOUS TD, but the refs inexplicably call it down at the 1, and also inexplicably dont review it. Then Dak fumbles on 4th and 1. Unfucking real.

    Cowboys have 235 yard to Patriots 130 and are losing by 4. This is insane.
    Cowboys cover -3.5 for game and the +3 live bet. Never really in doubt. Of course I wish this was capping off a great weekend instead of just making the hole a little less deep. But it is what it is.

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