Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #29061
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    I’ve not watched much baseball this year. So my takes are pretty Royals based.

    I’m not sure why Singer vs Twins is getting +126? Coming off a rest day for KC and Singer has been solid so far. 15-8 team vs 8-15 team. Pineda decent so far too but not enough to make Minnesota a favorite imo
    Pineda has pitched very well this year. Even his last mediocre start wasn't that mediocre, as he was victimized by 2 HR, but otherwise pitched well. He has a 22-4 K/BB ratio, and has looked very sharp in general. He's been getting a ton of called strikes, too.

    I realize Singer has looked very good in his past two starts after two not-so-good ones to begin the season, but if I had to go with who would pitch better today, I'd say Pineda. Twins are at home, too. So I think the line looks pretty accurate to me.

  2. #29062
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Got a few MLB for you today:

    Pittsburgh (Brubaker) -115 vs. St. Louis (Gant)
    Cincinnati (Miley) -126 vs. Cubs (Arrieta)
    Miami (P. Lopez) -126 at Washington (Lester)

    Yes, Jon Lester is pitching today. Obvious fade. Also Pablo Lopez is legit good.

  3. #29063
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post

    For all the talk of Bauer doctoring balls, he has continued pitching very well after that "inspection
    Baseball has decided upon reflection that they don’t care. Only Bauer did. What do you suppose Bauer was threatened with? Suspension for 25 games and loss of salary? I suppose even Bauer has his price.


  4. #29064
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I hate these ploppy big favorite spreads, but I'll make an exception today.

    NBA:

    Memphis -12.5 vs. Orlando (Cannady/Okeke/Carter-Williams/Jackson out, Allen doubtful)
    Sacramento at Lakers - Over 224.5
    Washington at Cleveland - Over 230.5

  5. #29065
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I know it's the Marlins... but I didn't expect Jon Lester to go 5 shutout innings. Fortunately Lopez has recovered from a bumpy first and it's still 0-0.

    Reds came back from down 2-0 and are now cruising 6-2.

    But the Pirates gave up 3 to start, and have blown various scoring chances, and trail 3-1. So I think I have to count on the Marlins to doi to end up in the black in MLB.


    And WTF with Memphis being DOWN in the 1st? If I lost this one outright, it will be embarrassing. Lol ploppies.

  6. #29066
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    I’ve not watched much baseball this year. So my takes are pretty Royals based.

    I’m not sure why Singer vs Twins is getting +126? Coming off a rest day for KC and Singer has been solid so far. 15-8 team vs 8-15 team. Pineda decent so far too but not enough to make Minnesota a favorite imo
    Twins still have better odds to win the division than the Royals right now.

    The NFL equivalent to the current records would be, being surprised a 1-2 team is favored over a 2-1 team.

    Also, when taking "luck" out, royals have played as a 12-11 team, twins as an 11-12 team thus far.


    ....of course the way this season has gone so far, I'm sure your team wins today.

  7. #29067
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Nice job Daly. I only did 3 Draft props cause I had less than any idea. Folks smashed. You gotta lay the juice and that’s ok but I would like to have just a bit of a clue personally before I do. The guys I follow, 2 went undefeated too. Maybe I’ll do some work next time. Prolly not.


    I hate weather plays as a rule but this is kinda funny and too irresistible. Otherwise it’s a really chalky day. Don’t get me wrong, I like chalk.

    Chicago Cubs/Cincinnati Reds over 9 -114 for Game

    Name:  
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    Arrieta & Miley are 2 fly ball pitchers.


    Almost forgot.
    Other than the obvious Dodger lulz .... it’s a Dodger bullpen day and they are gonna leave the Brewers guessing til the last minute. Yet the MLB partners with sportsbooks. Bullpen day with the Dodgers bullpen is an interesting concept to behold.

    Dodgers just aren’t hitting. Don’t be deceived by the 8-0 win vs Reds. It was 4-0 when the position player took the mound. Me, Padre & the boys were the beneficiaries of a Christmas miracle over. Just don’t believe the accountants. Just ask me next time.

    My book must be over run with liberals cause they are afraid to offer me any props on the Braves vs Florida Blue Jays game. That little bandbox with Jays starting to hit. Gonna hope I can snatch a bargain total live after a scoreless first inning or something. I’m an optimist.
    Lol - hit the holy Trinity

    First inning run -105
    Over 27.5 +110
    Over 9

    Great call san

  8. #29068
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I was straight up taunting you, Daly, with the weather crack.

    Speaking of wind I was blown away to see you did a 1st inning prop.

    Careful, it’s a gateway drug.

    Sweet


    Stupid Brewers base running in the Dodgers game

     
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      JeffDime: Nice to see you back Sanimar

  9. #29069
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Shoutout to bet0nline.heygee for only allowing $100 limits on second round bets.

    Would have lost my house on Trask going in second round and being drafted before Mills or Mond.

  10. #29070
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Euro Tour - D Burmeister live +1400 Course sets up well for him. I like he went low day 1 and underperformed Day 2. I would expect a good round here and to be in contention Sunday, as long as the leader comes back a bit. Worth a few bucks.

  11. #29071
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Euro Tour - D Burmeister live +1400 Course sets up well for him. I like he went low day 1 and underperformed Day 2. I would expect a good round here and to be in contention Sunday, as long as the leader comes back a bit. Worth a few bucks.
    Woke up and he was cruising in solo 2nd. Since then he has had a lip out, two burnt edges and his first bogey of the day. Showing frustration. He needs to get his shit back in gear for the last 6 holes. Should of stayed asleep.

  12. #29072
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Euro Tour - D Burmeister live +1400 Course sets up well for him. I like he went low day 1 and underperformed Day 2. I would expect a good round here and to be in contention Sunday, as long as the leader comes back a bit. Worth a few bucks.
    Woke up and he was cruising in solo 2nd. Since then he has had a lip out, two burnt edges and his first bogey of the day. Showing frustration. He needs to get his shit back in gear for the last 6 holes. Should of stayed asleep.
    And then Eagle!








    And then bogey






    He is where we need him to be

     
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      JeffDime: Last threesome tommorow. One back. LFG!

  13. #29073
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I’m curious about your story JeffDime. The only thing I see you post about is golf. Normally, this would be grounds for a conservatorship like Britney. The human mind is not strong enough.

    I know there is more that would be interesting to us nonprofessionals.

  14. #29074
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Bruins -1.5 -130 ....lol Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is that a mouthful or what
    Vegas in reg -112

    Boston/Carolina/Toronto parlay +126

  15. #29075
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Back 9 looked like the side of a sarcophagus

  16. #29076
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I’m curious about your story JeffDime. The only thing I see you post about is golf. Normally, this would be grounds for a conservatorship like Britney. The human mind is not strong enough.

    I know there is more that would be interesting to us nonprofessionals.

    Sanimar,

    First off, it is great to see both you and Simpdog back in the thread. I remember when I first posted in this thread how welcoming you were and always appreciated that. Nothing against other veteran posters in the other threads, but let’s just say that was not normal operating procedure for most veteran posters to noobs.

    Right away I could tell you were a genuine person. So I really do hope you are back to stay. I appreciate the kind words in your initial return post. I also wanted to say that I have reached out to Druff many weeks ago to compliment him on how he has navigated the NBA this year. I told him I would fire all his NBA picks blind without a second thought and truly believe he has proven over the season to be +EV. Compressed schedule, late scratches, etc and he has navigated through all that stuff. Very impressive.

    Daly clearly is a beast and also a man of his word. His picks I would bet blind without a doubt. For a thread on an open forum, that is really saying something.

    I have had a lot of close calls and gut punches lately tbh. The bankroll has for sure taken a hit. So I have been a bit discriminating when posting picks as of late. If I see something I am positive is +EV at its current number (like Burmester yesterday), then I will post it.

    As for my story, it’s been a bit of a chaotic ride the last few years. I will send you a PM in the next few days as some stuff is NMFL (Not meant for Lurkers). Again, great to see you back. Great to see simpdog back. Let’s make some fucking money!

  17. #29077
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I am capable of being nice sometimes? You came in hot JeffDime as I recall. Can’t quite remember but I was impressed.

    Here’s something fun

    Parlay +409
    Hockey - 13 Ottawa Senators +139 for Game
    Baseball - 960 Milwaukee Brewers +113 for Game
    Dodgers May fade. Brewers Woodruff great
    Brewers 1st 5 +100 is more prudent but Brewers bullpen, hmmm ... I’ll go heads up with Dodgers today for a nice prize. Eventually, the Dodgers will win a game. Hopefully tomorrow


    We refer to the “Pesky Senators” They always play hard.

    What is this shit Simp?

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  18. #29078
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Bruins -1.5 -130 ....lol Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is that a mouthful or what
    Vegas in reg -112

    Boston/Carolina/Toronto parlay +126
    Adding

    Avs over 6
    Oilers -130
    Islanders in reg +107

     
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      JeffDime: +++

  19. #29079
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Anyone have any good leads on the Derby?

  20. #29080
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    ....lol Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is that a mouthful or what
    Seriously sounds like a name a comedian would come up with to make fun of Finnish people. I had to google to confirm he was real.

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