Detroit (Alexander) +160 at Philadelphia (T. Walker)
Walker has major velocity issues
Boston (Paxton) -103 at Cleveland (Bieber)
Paxton looking like his old self.
Hey Druff, you must have some advice to share with our Canadien friends who are on fire.
I think they are gonna cancel the Yankees game today due to smoke from Canada. It’s bad
We’ve had a smoky hazy couple of days. I just pretend it’s summer in LA and I never stopped wearimg a mask. Tan lines are sexy
I’ll pay a tax for posting here:
Reds F5 o2.5 (vs Dodgers)
Elly De La Cruz SB +300 ~ +425 … do something with an alt total lime 9.5 & Cruz SB for mid +300’s
Orioles +123
Braves -121
Reds +143
Rangers -137
Heat +3.5
Rays - 114
Pablo: took reds o2.5 at a painful -140
I’m not criticizing b/c you don’t pay the juice when you win - but your line seems weird to me. -140 vs -115. Just offering as information
Draft Kings
Behold this beautiful chart. You’ll get thru fine
Syndergaard said he’d trade his unborn child to return to his old form and is catching some flack from his wifeSyndergaard said. "Right now, I just feel like I’m the only weakest link on this team.
I am lazy and only use BOL. I also only bet small amounts to add a little excitement to an otherwise boring evening.
I am close to break even on sports and win some at poker and donate it to the virtual roulette tables. One of these times I will run it up.
I do like to follow some of your plays, and would follow some of Druffs if he didn't post them 42 seconds before the games start.
So happy you got it. I’ve served up some lemons here.
Elly De La Cruz hits a homer and now a triple.
Elly’s home run odds were +625 or more this morning.
Hair is standing up on my arm.
I can’t get my Elly Stolen Base prop if he hits homers and triples. Lol
Reds rookies are destroying Syndergaard
Didn’t bet them today thankfully but the Reds are an exciting team you can usually bet at +$
Last nights walk off was awesome, good excitement from their squad
Kershaw vs all those righties. Look pal, I took no pleasure in this. It’s just business. You understand?
DK had a prop that offers to pay you out immediately if your pick is up by 2 runs. Just once a day this week just $50. California rolls and a cheap white wine with the mistress
Pal,
I made my name shorting casino stocks back in the day. I’ve also predicted and publicly mourned the passing of the golden age of sports wagering as a bettor. Nobody has ever mistaken me as Mr Positivity in the legalized wagering era.
That said, I have been nibbling here and there in a small way on DKNG. The software and marketing is unparalleled in the space. See the little message sent to my phone on that 2 run prop above? DraftKings just started showing progress bars for bet status too. You bet over 8 runs and the game is 4 they give you a little progress bar. It’s the little things pal. It’s a fun visual and demonstrates they “get it”.
I did a round robin and they have a similar progress graphic that shows how you’re doing with your picks. Instantly put a smile on my face. It’s a useless but fun feature. The sizzle in the steak. Nobody else does that.
Their promotions are negative EV for the most part but they are on point. When people talk about their bets they always mention a bonus of free bet they are using and where it was from. It’s viral word of mouth marketing.
They are recently sending me promotions on the phone personalized with my first name. I hate that shit but I tip my cap to the superior marketing. (As I sit here typing I GUARANTEE AI FAST APPROACHETH)
By way of comparison, maybe FanDuel has better lines for props and such but the software is a hemorrhoid for the most part.
DKNG was down on the mat and has recovered 78% YTD. Not exactly bargain shopping atm but I think they run a smart shop
I don’t mean to infer that I’ve done a 180 on the state of sports wagering. Legalized wagering is faggot and the offshores have gone downhill. DraftKings will scalp the consumer but leave them feeling engaged and entertained. I want to be on the right side of the counter.
Paging Daly:
That time of the year again. Any NFL/CFB team O/Us you like?
I have 49ers U11
Patriots O7.5
No CFB plays yet.
Weird little Dodgers spot vs Phillies
Weather was supposed to be bad but it’s actually ok @ 7pm in Phillie. The smoke is Chaps fault
Dodgers bullpen is confusing to me after the lengthy Kershaw outing. Maybe they kinda rested but they are ass. Let’s avoid them
Last minute opener for Grove. Kid named Gonzales. Check your tickets for listed pitchers
Dodgers have been crushing lefties last 30 days
Dodgers last 30 days v LHP
.289 AVG 7th
.632 SLG 1st
1.005 OPS 1st
166 WRC+ 1st
The general impression YTD is that dodgers are ass vs lefties. 26th I think. Whatever. Let’s sneak up on the dummies handicapping that handedness
Grove is 0-2 8.14 Sure it’s funny.
Phillies are ass at home last 30. Even grove might look like a hero.
Dodgers F5 -110 is kinda a bargain
F5 0ver 5 -115 is equally attractive.
B Miller (the good one) tomorrow
Urias (ass) might be back Sunday
That’s a lotta ass
Is this my favorite game? I love them all equally. Actually it’s kinda an ass slate but there is a handicap for each.
Speaking of Dodger pitching staff as an example of the state of arm surgery in the MLB…. Dodgers Pitching Coach Mark Prior can ramp up kids like an assembly line but their arms can’t support the load. NickeyPipes Rays aren’t exempt either. Same issue. Glasnow is back btw. Skinny Sale the best example of a check his arm can’t cash. I don’t know how this ends and I don’t have a solution. Regular season baseball is just cockroach racing - something to gamble in the moment.
Baseball really is ass now. Hurts me to say it.
20 yr old Alcaraz vs 36 yr old Djokovic was something this morning. -210 Alcaraz cramped up and sold. Anticlimactic end. Shoulda been epic
Miami +142
Look pal, do I look scared?
Pal I just added Heat +127
Danger is my middle name pal, Nicky Pipes has been riding the Heat this postseason, you think he is going to stop now because “Denver could win by 20”? So could the Heat pal. I don’t play the game I just watch
Brother most importantly: Do you think Nicky Pipes would betray the city of Miami and bet Denver?