Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #21861
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4308
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    21,166
    Load Metric
    67290115
    You were 1st to put Utah on my radar, Druff .... currently they are pure shite.

    Name:  B66A3963-B779-4212-9E55-93E794E7E0FD.jpeg
Views: 258
Size:  80.6 KB

  2. #21862
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10136
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,732
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    67290115
    Two today:

    Chicago +0 at Washington (-1 ok)
    Charlotte at Cleveland - Under 212

  3. #21863
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10136
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,732
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    67290115
    Reverse Trapper John pick:

    Detroit +120 vs. Toronto

  4. #21864
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10136
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,732
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    67290115
    The under won super easily.

    Detroit sucks. Every time I bet them, they disappoint me. They got killed. Toronto is just always so good in these type of spots. Same as the past two years. They have done really well ATS from what I've seen, especially against worse teams. I was actually nervous about betting against them here.

    Chicago was down like 15 in the 4th, and came back to tie to go to OT. Washington fucked up. 7 seconds left, they had the ball, up 3, and committed an offensive foul. Then they fouled Chicago trying to shoot a 3. Oops.

    However, Washington is ahead a bit in OT despite that collapse. Would be great to win this one though.

  5. #21865
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10136
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,732
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    67290115
    Chicago had a second comeback, getting themselves back from down 3 in OT with 39 seconds left, and getting ahead 110-109 with 9 seconds left. Then they blocked a shot, Washington got back the ball, missed, and that's all she wrote.

    The Wizards shit the bed repeatedly and snatched defeat from the jaws of victory multiple times.

    I'll take it.

    If only I hadn't added the shitty Detroit pick, I would've gone 2-0.

  6. #21866
    Nova Scotia's #1 Party Rocker!!!!11 DJ_Chaps's Avatar
    Reputation
    939
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Halifax
    Posts
    6,604
    Load Metric
    67290115
    TOO BAD THE BULLS PLAYED 3 SHIT QUARTERS. NEEDED EM IN REGULATION TIME TO WIN A LITTLE PARLAY AND START ANOTHER RUN.


    BACKERS WANTED NOW LMAO
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Chaps' 2017-18 NFL $$ Thread

  7. #21867
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4308
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    21,166
    Load Metric
    67290115
    I like Marshall. Central Florida playing a bowl at home during XMas has gotta be hard to get up for too.

    Every single wise guy is on Marshall and that makes me so uncomfortable.

    I’ve nibbled some spread and sprinkled ML but can be talked off it. I could also load up more. I’m getting distracted by this game. Obsessed

    Can you look at this for me?

    Monday, Dec 23, 2019
    2:30 PM ET
    Marshall +17.5 / +600. vs Central Florida
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 12-19-2019 at 10:46 AM.

  8. #21868
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2681
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,327
    Load Metric
    67290115
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I like Marshall. Central Florida playing a bowl at home during XMas has gotta be hard to get up for too.

    Every single wise guy is on Marshall and that makes me so uncomfortable.

    I’ve nibbled some spread and sprinkled ML but can be talked off it. I could also load up more. I’m getting distracted by this game. Obsessed

    Can you look at this for me?

    Monday, Dec 23, 2019
    2:30 PM ET
    Marshall +17.5 / +600. vs Central Florida
    My gut says too many points but god damnit UCF can run it up. Didn’t make my top 10 bowl games but I’m sure I’ll be sitting there on 12/23 holding a Marshall ticket.

     
    Comments
      
      Sanlmar:

  9. #21869
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2681
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,327
    Load Metric
    67290115
    Allong these lines anyone like anything?

    penn st -6.5 really sticks out - my top play 3 units

    SMU -3 looks good 2 units

    Bama -7 seems to good to be true 2 units

    Got LSU -11 when it opened, love that but 14 is starting to get pricey

    Washington -3 is a strong play

    Temple is awful, give me unc -5

    The above is what I’ve played. I’m waiting on....

    ohio -7.5 Nevada is trash

    Auburn -7 - give me the SEC team in this spot

    Wisconsin -2.5 better team

    desperatly need a solid angle in the Hawaii bowl. Annual tradition of staying up and watching that game with several stiff drinks.

  10. #21870
    Platinum
    Reputation
    631
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    4,892
    Load Metric
    67290115
    Hawaii bowl...you know my thoughts on rolo...but byu isn't all that great defensively this year compared to years past...Hawaii is gonna throw on anybody not in the SEC, so not really worried that BYU's pass D seems OK...look at reed's numbers in the last few games outside the BSU and SDSU games...they're pretty impressive for a Hawaii RB...BYU isn't great against the run, so if they can get reed going (and not fucking give future a lotta carries) that will open up the pass...

    but if you bet on Hawaii you might have to trust cole...we've wagered on that angle before and saw how it turns out...put a halfer on it and have a couple of adult beverages so rolo doesn't ruin your night of drinking...

  11. #21871
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2681
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,327
    Load Metric
    67290115
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Hawaii bowl...you know my thoughts on rolo...but byu isn't all that great defensively this year compared to years past...Hawaii is gonna throw on anybody not in the SEC, so not really worried that BYU's pass D seems OK...look at reed's numbers in the last few games outside the BSU and SDSU games...they're pretty impressive for a Hawaii RB...BYU isn't great against the run, so if they can get reed going (and not fucking give future a lotta carries) that will open up the pass...

    but if you bet on Hawaii you might have to trust cole...we've wagered on that angle before and saw how it turns out...put a halfer on it and have a couple of adult beverages so rolo doesn't ruin your night of drinking...
    Over?

  12. #21872
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4308
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    21,166
    Load Metric
    67290115
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Allong these lines anyone like anything?


    SMU -3 looks good 2 units
    Yesterday. Like it too

    Name:  1867D042-F2F6-40F4-9DC7-196BE5AB7B4E.jpeg
Views: 377
Size:  70.8 KB

    I was smoking weed in my room when I made this pick. Oops. I’ll let it ride.

    Name:  DDDD5F28-AA91-4800-9955-12060073F4A9.jpeg
Views: 411
Size:  78.4 KB


    Also,
    LATech +190
    Central Mich +3.5

  13. #21873
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4308
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    21,166
    Load Metric
    67290115
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Hawaii bowl...you know my thoughts on rolo...but byu isn't all that great defensively this year compared to years past...Hawaii is gonna throw on anybody not in the SEC, so not really worried that BYU's pass D seems OK...look at reed's numbers in the last few games outside the BSU and SDSU games...they're pretty impressive for a Hawaii RB...BYU isn't great against the run, so if they can get reed going (and not fucking give future a lotta carries) that will open up the pass...

    but if you bet on Hawaii you might have to trust cole...we've wagered on that angle before and saw how it turns out...put a halfer on it and have a couple of adult beverages so rolo doesn't ruin your night of drinking...
    Over?
    I’m serious ... but it is funny.

    High winds on the island lately

    NOAA forecast

    Name:  5756374E-4FAC-4501-A376-3F08DCDF4F65.jpeg
Views: 356
Size:  246.3 KB

    Who loves ya baby?

  14. #21874
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2681
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,327
    Load Metric
    67290115
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Allong these lines anyone like anything?


    SMU -3 looks good 2 units
    Yesterday. Like it too

    Name:  1867D042-F2F6-40F4-9DC7-196BE5AB7B4E.jpeg
Views: 377
Size:  70.8 KB

    I was smoking weed in my room when I made this pick. Oops. I’ll let it ride.

    Name:  DDDD5F28-AA91-4800-9955-12060073F4A9.jpeg
Views: 411
Size:  78.4 KB


    Also,
    LATech +190
    Central Mich +3.5
    Like that La Tech pick. Kicked myself for not taking +7.5 at the open.

  15. #21875
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4308
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    21,166
    Load Metric
    67290115
    Julian Edelman caught two passes on five targets vs Cinci last Sunday. He has been seen limping around practice. Word is he has a torn knee tendon.

    Brady is shaking out his arm after every throw in practice too.

    Actionable? Yeah, even if it’s much to do about nothing Pats are beneficiaries of some long time stats that do not reflect who they are now.

    Did we mention the offensive line?

    Bills +6.5 and a unit of +230 ML

    I’m waiting Simp. Go ahead

  16. #21876
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2681
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,327
    Load Metric
    67290115
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Julian Edelman caught two passes on five targets vs Cinci last Sunday. He has been seen limping around practice. Word is he has a torn knee tendon.

    Brady is shaking out his arm after every throw in practice too.

    Actionable? Yeah, even if it’s much to do about nothing Pats are beneficiaries of some long time stats that do not reflect who they are now.

    Did we mention the offensive line?

    Bills +6.5 and a unit of +230 ML

    I’m waiting Simp. Go ahead
    Vegas is double dog daring everyone to take -6.5. Pats at home under a TD favorite is like 999-1 out of the last 1000.

  17. #21877
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10136
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,732
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    67290115
    Houston at Clippers - Over 235.5

    This is a weird game where the public is hitting the under, but the line first rose, and now has stayed stagnant.

  18. #21878
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4308
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    21,166
    Load Metric
    67290115
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Houston at Clippers - Over 235.5

    This is a weird game where the public is hitting the under, but the line first rose, and now has stayed stagnant
    You are one of the sharpest guys I know right now.

    Shoot me for taking a bargain live.

    Name:  1EB582A5-53FA-43D0-AAA2-8FAF5FF2F06B.jpeg
Views: 306
Size:  145.2 KB

     
    Comments
      
      Dan Druff: that was a bargain. for me it was kind of a sweat

  19. #21879
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2681
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,327
    Load Metric
    67290115
    Can’t make it up but the Bahamas bowl will have 25-30 mph winds today.

    They owe me a Under from last years shit show.

  20. #21880
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2681
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,327
    Load Metric
    67290115
    Going with the wind plays.

    Under Buff QB 165.5
    Under Nunn 59.5 and 4.5

    Passing on the Charlotte side because I expect them to get blown out.

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 12 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 12 guests)

Similar Threads

  1. Offers of thought on this one needed.
    By son of lockman in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 17
    Last Post: 09-20-2013, 03:54 PM
  2. Sportsbook suggestions
    By Walter Sobchak in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 4
    Last Post: 02-02-2013, 10:04 AM
  3. negotiating compensation from job offers
    By mulva in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 5
    Last Post: 11-12-2012, 08:17 PM
  4. Best Sportsbook on the strip ?
    By FrenchJew in forum Poker Community Discussion
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 06-09-2012, 10:50 AM
  5. Vwls-Props for doing radio and making it interesting!
    By Pokehermaniac in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 9
    Last Post: 06-01-2012, 07:36 PM

Tags for this Thread