I’m all in. Love my degen runlines
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I’m all in. Love my degen runlines
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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Chaps' 2017-18 NFL $$ Thread
Can one of you Basketball nerds tell me if it’s posible that Zion doesn’t win ROY?
I mean it’s -200 but my uninformed ass would have guessed -500
How great is that? Real time progress report. That will lock you into the app all night instead of ESPN, for instance.
Pulling for your win.
I have never done so many parlays. I don’t approve of that lifestyle but a couple of hits and I’m an addict chasing.
I miss the GA meetings with Simp.
With the playoffs near I have to exercise the “Fade Dodgers” (+160 Padres) muscle. Atrophy and all that
Last edited by Sanlmar; 09-25-2019 at 06:10 PM.
Beautiful. A work of art.
So far, I believe environments change and there is an approach that suits each most favorably. I thought in this incredible September favorite run parlays would be the right tool.
However, I fundamentally avoid parlays and now I am just bleeding units. I am quick to adapt and I’m done.
wtg chaps. you got the touch or the balls or both.
random donk bet
Just came through Case Keenum is now questionable for the Redskins vs Giants Game . Line moved to Giants -3 in a flash. Not sure this is much of a positive though? I have heard the rookie backup might be decent.
My current wagers are
Miami + 17
Giants -3
Chicago -1
Steelers -3
College
New Mexico +7
Ohio State vs Nebraska OVER 66 1/2
Kentucky +3
Favorites 12-3 yesterday. (I had to use one of the 3 - I can’t believe that shit)
Oakland has been winning at an ungodly rate.
This does not qualify as a donk bet.
Consider the sharps and the perceived dog value and the resulting carnage. Digging holes that only long shots cure.
Your results have been pretty good for some time. Keep it up
Edit:
It just occurred to me that you bet tennis and soccer etc. you have a familiarity with big numbers that the American public generally does not. They live for the big hits from long shots. They’ve never seen a plus price they did not like.
Last edited by Sanlmar; 09-26-2019 at 11:32 AM.
Just saw a dreadful movie. Lay the Favorite with Bruce Willis & Catherine Zeta-Jones
The movie is a true story based on Beth Raymer's memoir who in real life goes to college and becomes a writer.
I’ve only skimmed her book where she ends up running an off shore book. So encouraged by the 18% Rotten Tomatoes audience and public score I sat in.
There is one scene where she and the other guys who run bets for a sharp get fired when the sharp (Bruce Willis) runs bad and has a rage fit. She’s devastated. They other two guys inform her that this is what eventually happens to all sharps. You just move on to the next one.
Unless that sharp is Harolobob. Then you become a maid in his new Monaco villa.
I honestly don't know what to make of sports betting.. i’ve never really taken it seriously. I do however consider it much more viable than online poker ever was or will ever be. The path to legalization is crystal clear and the espns/barstools have done their part in normalizing sports wagering. And since it seems like a multi billion enterprise waiting to happen, I figure it doesn’t hurt to familiarize oneself with the prediction markets. I personally dedicate more time to focusing on the financial markets, but this is a fun way to shoot off.
initial thoughts re GB vs PHI and Memphis/NAVY:
1) Public all over gb is concerning, yet -4 at home is so enticing
2) I don’t ever do this, but possibly Memphis first half -6.5
thoughts?
NCAAF spread & total prices depicted in candlestick form for the week?
Is that something I could interest you in?
Eagles Packers feel like a flip. Two crap teams on a Thursday.
Thursday’s are big for unders. Are the refs really going to chill out on the offensive holding flags as I’ve read? Then the under might not be as easy.
Packers coach doesn’t know about the subtlety and difficulty of Thursday’s.
To that end, I’m intrigued by the discussion about the crap NFL this year. Lotta hurt QB’s. Tanking. Record breaking number of huge spreads. LOTS OF NEW AND AWFUL COACHES.
There was a stat that correlated superior coaches to ATS that got my attention recently. If Belichick was the Dolphins coach what would the line be now?
Edit
Tablet - Football - NFL - 101 Philadelphia Eagles +170 for Game
Last edited by Sanlmar; 09-26-2019 at 12:56 PM.
I don’t like venturing outside this thread around here now days so I’ll ask you degenerates. With the weather turning over here in South Florida I’m gonna start to watch football outside at night anybody have any advice on setting up speakers in the backyard I’m assuming Bluetooth is the way to go at this point
Even if you are good the 10% eats away at you over time. The game of being a prop or future sharp only lasts so long and that is where the $$ is to be made...... but just like poker if you a good player the house only let you take from them for so long (in this private game world)
When people ask me about sports betting and making money at it I tell them if it’s something you enjoy treat it as entertainment and when you have some good weeks you’ll feel like $1 million dollars. If you wanna make money on sports betting though you have to join the Darkside and take the bets or be an agent (that doesn’t take sharp action)
I like the eagles tonight. Take the points.
#ToddsPlan
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