Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #29001
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Glad I didn’t post J Y Ko. She was even money today and MGM was offering me 3.5 to 1 ($3500) to cashout. Now they offer nothing. Really brutal stuff. Think I’m going to work at a Dog Shelter. Not optimistic about Finau/Champ in alternate shot. Champ hit 4 in the water today.

  2. #29002
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Glad I didn’t post J Y Ko. She was even money today and MGM was offering me 3.5 to 1 ($3500) to cashout. Now they offer nothing. Really brutal stuff. Think I’m going to work at a Dog Shelter. Not optimistic about Finau/Champ in alternate shot. Champ hit 4 in the water today.
    I got a feeling tomorrow going to be wide open. Might have some crazy four way playoff

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Almost took a huge dick up the ass with the 76ers game.

    149 points after 3, a blowout game, it's a lock, right?

    How about a 77 point 4th, for no good reason? Total ends up 226 and I barrrrrrrely cover in what was a no-doubter under most of the way.


    In MLB, Atlanta game was postponed due to rain (not surprising, I suspected that might happen), and the Rays are sucking, down 3-1. I blame NickyPipes.

    Other two NBA will get going later.
    Never in doubt! I rode the Rays with you (obviously), knew the bet was a winner when I saw your post. They need to stop going down so big early though.

    I just won a bet on Hall in UFC, worst I’ve felt about winning a bet. Worst sports injury I’ve ever seen.

  4. #29004
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Looking like 1-0 in MLB (though with a -133), and 1-2 in NBA. Bulls took until the 4th to start playing, and fell short. Blah.

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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Glad I didn’t post J Y Ko. She was even money today and MGM was offering me 3.5 to 1 ($3500) to cashout. Now they offer nothing. Really brutal stuff. Think I’m going to work at a Dog Shelter. Not optimistic about Finau/Champ in alternate shot. Champ hit 4 in the water today.
    It's the curse of winning the season ending CME Championship from the prior year that pays 5 to 6 times more than any regular season tournament. Has pretty much affected the last 5 winners as the payout increases, with a bit of an exception of Seung Kim that may have been helped by Covid rules, delays and weaker fields. Human nature after you win all that $$ as you get a little more fat and happy and comfortable with life, followed by maybe some self-doubt as you struggle and win less.

    JY Ko and Seung Kim still always good picks for top 5-10 each week and no doubt they'll win again, but may not be worth the lower odds right now.

  6. #29006
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoeD View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Glad I didn’t post J Y Ko. She was even money today and MGM was offering me 3.5 to 1 ($3500) to cashout. Now they offer nothing. Really brutal stuff. Think I’m going to work at a Dog Shelter. Not optimistic about Finau/Champ in alternate shot. Champ hit 4 in the water today.
    It's the curse of winning the season ending CME Championship from the prior year that pays 5 to 6 times more than any regular season tournament. Has pretty much affected the last 5 winners as the payout increases, with a bit of an exception of Seung Kim that may have been helped by Covid rules, delays and weaker fields. Human nature after you win all that $$ as you get a little more fat and happy and comfortable with life, followed by maybe some self-doubt as you struggle and win less.

    JY Ko and Seung Kim still always good picks for top 5-10 each week and no doubt they'll win again, but may not be worth the lower odds right now.

    Kind of felt the same about DJ after winning the Green Jacket and the Fed Ex.

    How do you not put the feet up for a bit after that haul?

    Let the record show that Bryson and Morakowa really haven’t dont a whole lot since they got a major either.

  7. #29007
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    No MLB picks today.

    Here's an NBA game starting soon:

    Memphis vs. Portland - Over 235.5

    More coming shortly.

  8. #29008
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Here's two aggressive moneyline bets. If you prefer the spread of +7-7.5 for both, I understand:

    Cleveland +240 at Washington
    Sacramento +260 at Golden State

  9. #29009
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    That wet ball on 18 Friday night is going to cost me a lot of gumbo.

    -18 and they had a +1 on Friday...... too bad. Missed opportunity from the 25-1 shots.
    Last edited by Daly; 04-25-2021 at 01:29 PM.

  10. #29010
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Grizzlies game had 43 points in the 1st which was a disaster for such a high over total. Then the teams started scoring a lot, and the Blazers made an epic comeback from 12 down late, and it looked like fouling might take me over the edge.

    233 points, 8 seconds left, Portland down 7. Lillard fires a 3 which would seal it for me...

    Brick.

    Game over. Not a bad beat because this was losing the whole way, but still.

    McCollum also lost the ball at one point in the final 10 seconds or so which fucked me, because the game was closer and there would have been more fouling to end it.

  11. #29011
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Cavs playing well. Been up for the entire 2nd half. Leading by 6, early 4th. +240 so it will guarantee a winning day if it hits.

    gogogo

  12. #29012
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Ugh, fucking Beal.... 101-101

    Here we go. Please let's not have this be the second 7-point mid-4th lead chunked off on a big dog in 2 days.

  13. #29013
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Yeah they hung through 108-108 and melted down in final 2 minutes. One of these days I'm gonna hit one of these damn big dog moneylines where my team is ahead by 7 in the mid-4th.

    Maybe the Kings tonight.


  14. #29014
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Wow... it's about to happen to me a 3rd time in 2 days.

    Sac up by 6 with 8 min left.

    Down 1 with 1:25, Holmes misses BOTH free throws, and Draymond tips it in on the other end, 114-111 Warriors.

    +402, +240, +260 all favorites to win in mid-4th, looks like I'm going 0-3.


  15. #29015
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Hield steals the ball from Curry with 18 secs left, one point down. Could the Kings win this? No, Hield then turns it over 5 seconds later, and now they have to foul.

    Some pretty serious runbad for me last 3 days in the NBA.

  16. #29016
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I can’t believe nobody but Nicky is giving you props, Druff. Maybe you’re betting on black people?

    Excellent excellent work last couple of pages. Couple issues with belief in tanking dogs like Houston but that’s a minor quibble.

  17. #29017
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well, I even had a chance to win at the end. Harrison Barnes with the ball with 9 seconds left, down 2, and bricks a 3.

    gg everyone

    This is why I don't do many dog moneylines anymore in the late season. Very hard to pull them out for 4 quarters.

  18. #29018
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I can’t believe nobody but Nicky is giving you props, Druff.

    Excellent excellent work last couple of pages. Couple issues with belief in tanking dogs like Houston but that’s a minor quibble.
    Thank you, though this is my first 0-3 day in a long time. If just one of these two dogs held in the 4th, I would've had a winning day.

     
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      Sanlmar: I can see that. HOF run and the process for sifting picks was outstanding. Makes me wonder

  19. #29019
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Last minute:

    Atlanta at Detroit- Under 215.5

  20. #29020
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Time to fade Rich Hil again.

    Last minute:

    Oakland (Manaea) -107 vs. Tampa (Hill)

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