Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #28881
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    druff, camRON says 'HELLO!'

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  2. #28882
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    lol tite jinx... bogey then double immediately after the eagle

  3. #28883
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Power of negative thinking

  4. #28884
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    One pick today for NBA

    Clippers vs. Houston - Under 221.5

  5. #28885
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Not much to say. Golf has been one dick in the ass after another with a few exceptions. Glad I didn’t post my matchups today, they all flamed out late. I watched every shot by Rahm today. Guy was solid. He gets some rolling in, he can go low. I got some on him at 40-1, unfortunately him missing the birdie on 18 cost +1000 in equity. He’s 50-1 now. We’ll have to go low and no one can run and hide whose way up in the pack. But I think 50-1, for the way he’s playing is acceptable. Obviously he may go for it and play aggressive and we know how that has gone so far at the Masters this year. But I do see some +EV at the 50-1 number.

    I gave some thought to shipping in a dime on JT. I think he is the most likely winner. His odds are not all that terrible tbh. However, I just don’t want to risk big money for the weekend with all the guys in contention. I know Rahm is truly a 50-1 shot or close to it. I rather just take a guy cheap and hope he fails his exam or comes close to it tommorow (66,65 or 64 one time).

    GL everyone.
    Last edited by JeffDime; 04-09-2021 at 06:23 PM.

  6. #28886
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Lost my only pick (NBA) yesterday. Sadly, I was a hair away from taking the New Orleans moneyline, but didn't because of injury questions. They won.

    Anyway, here's some early day MLB:


    Yankees (German) -114 at Tampa Bay (Archer)

    Seattle (Kikuchi) +160 at Minnesota (Pineda)

    St. Louis (C. Martinez) -108 vs. Milwaukee (Houser)

    Some notes:

    Kikuchi is throwing over 97 mph and struck out 10 in his last outing. This Japanese transplant has been a disappointment so far, but this looks like his breakout year. He looked great in the spring. Pineda had a .378 batting average against in the spring, though he looked decent in his first regular season outing.

    Chris Archer is a complete mess. Didn't pitch in 2020, pitched poorly in 2019, and looked pretty bad in his first start. Domingo German didn't do great in his first start, but he was stellar in the spring.

    Judge and Urshela are questionable for the Yankees, and the Rays are without Kevin Kiermaier and Ji-Man Choi. Donaldson is out for the Twins. Goldschmidt is probable for the Cards.

    All of these games are in the morning.

  7. #28887
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Lol..... nice job CNN

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      JeffDime: Haha...most likely not a long putter.

  8. #28888
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    One NBA so far:

    Cleveland vs. Toronto - Over 219 (VanVleet out, Allen out, Nance out, Lowry questionable)

  9. #28889
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Conners is my saver. Got him for 25 bucks at +8000. Then he holed it out and I got him at +3300 for a $100. Last horse. Last chance.

  10. #28890
    Bronze d1sposition's Avatar
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    RIP Colby Cave

    Colby Cave, Oilers forward, dies at 25 after suffering brain bleed

    https://www.cbssports.com/nhl/news/c...g-brain-bleed/
    PFA POY once

  11. #28891
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well, I squeaked by without disaster in MLB, and only took a small loss. Seattle won (on the road!) in extras, so that +160 negates the two losses. Archer came out in the 3rd due to injury, and the Yankees bats were asleep anyway. He didn't have a chance to melt down. St. Louis/Mil game was close until late, but somehow Avisail Garcia was hitting the ball hard today.

    Anyway, here's one more:

    Arizona (R. Smith) +119 vs. Cincinnati (J. Hoffman)

    Look up Jeff Hoffman's career numbers and his 2021 spring numbers. Ignore his last start.

  12. #28892
    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by FRANKRIZZO View Post
    NFL is adding a regular game for next season.

    SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798

    PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL

  13. #28893
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Well, I squeaked by without disaster in MLB, and only took a small loss. Seattle won (on the road!) in extras, so that +160 negates the two losses. Archer came out in the 3rd due to injury, and the Yankees bats were asleep anyway. He didn't have a chance to melt down. St. Louis/Mil game was close until late, but somehow Avisail Garcia was hitting the ball hard today.

    Anyway, here's one more:

    Arizona (R. Smith) +119 vs. Cincinnati (J. Hoffman)

    Look up Jeff Hoffman's career numbers and his 2021 spring numbers. Ignore his last start.
    Tampa owns Yankees in TB, Archer is a stud ignore his last few years. Rays will win AL again no problem

  14. #28894
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Toronto scored 87 in the first half.

    If that over doesn't win, I should quit NBA.

  15. #28895
    Gone Fishing smiflorida's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Toronto scored 87 in the first half.

    If that over doesn't win, I should quit NBA.
    I have been following your picks for about a week, not bad! Please keep posting them...

  16. #28896
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Ended up being a decent day. Won both underdogs in baseball and lost both small favorites, but that 2-2 translates to a win thanks to which teams won. So I was up 0.79 units there.

    NBA I won my only pick, and that was an obvious winner after Toronto scored 87 in the first half.

    I'm up in MLB so far, but have been inconsistent. I feel much better in the NBA, where I am seeing it very well as of late. I'm a good deal up overall in NBA, and will post my full record later on.

    I haven't posted any MLB totals plays yet because those have too much variance in the early season. As the season wears on, I'll start posting more of those.

  17. #28897
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    NBA

    Memphis -3 vs. Indiana (Turner out, -3.5 ok)
    Clippers vs. Detroit - Under 216 (Grant questionable, Kawhi out, Beverley out, Ibaka out, Rondo questionable)

  18. #28898
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    MLB

    Minnesota (M. Shoemaker) vs. Seattle (Flexen) - Under 8.5 -110 (up to -115 ok)

    Colorado (Marquez) +114 at San Francisco (DeSclafani)


    Today is my first totals pick. Decided to start slow with these in MLB.

  19. #28899
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Well looks like when the dust settles smith will finish top 10. Can’t really explain what happened after hitting the eagle on 13 to pull into second place but I don’t think it really mattered considering what we are seeing from Hideki.

    I hope they hang him at 75-1 again next year.

  20. #28900
    Bronze d1sposition's Avatar
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    Congrats Hideki Matsuyama!
    PFA POY once

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