Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #28841
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Need 7 points in trash time with 107 seconds left to tie, 8 to win Minnesota over

    Terrible 3rd quarter fucked me

    gogogo

  2. #28842
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well, I finally lost an NBA game.

    No points in final minute, total 228 for Minnesota.

    However Abreu hit a grand slam, so White Sox up 4-1.

  3. #28843
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    White Sox up 7-1, Mariners up 1-0

    Happy so far, Pipes?

  4. #28844
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Motherfucker, if I lose two MLB games in a row with 5+ run leads, I'm going to really be pissed.

    First the Rangers blow a 5-0 1st inning lead, then get back up 8-5, then lose.

    Now the White Sox, who are supposed to be good, had a 7-1 lead in the 4th, and now it's 7-6.

    Also I'm probably losing the second NBA over, as there are "only" 170 points through 3, and that's not going to cut it when the line is 240.5. So looks like all 4 games are going under, where I only had under for 2.

    But if I lose that and win both baseball games (Mariners up 3-1), I'll be happy enough.

  5. #28845
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Disappointing end to the night.

    Portland over fell a bit short just like the Minnesota over, and Seattle blew their lead in the 6th. White Sox ended up winning, though.

    So 2-2 in NBA and 1-1 in MLB, when at one point it looked like I might go 4-0 and 2-0.

  6. #28846
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    White Sox up 7-1, Mariners up 1-0

    Happy so far, Pipes?
    DRUFF!!! I am feeling fine thanks for asking buddy! 2-1 on the day, my Rays won showing great heart and resiliency! Can only imagine the smile in your face when you typed this out thinking you Piped Pipes! Not on my worst day buddy!

    Anyways, it’s nothing personal! I didn’t even get to stay up to follow the games I faded you on, fell asleep at the end of Rays game. I figured before the games 1-1 was the most likely outcome, both “close” “toss up” type games, hard to scoop two of two!

    I’ve said it before I’ll say it again, I think you’re a great sports bettor! Probably the best in the thread. You take real time on your picks and put thought into it! I like that and I love the spirit of this post! For me, it’s all about having fun baby! Beach, broads, big bankrolls! Yeah baby!

    I used to do heavy research into picks, as you seem to do. That’s when I did best at sports, but I also had a “9-5” desk job that required about 2-3 hours of real work a day, so I would follow every line move, injury updates, etc. now I’m lucky if I get 10 minutes a day to check the board. I still do well in UFC, MLB and KBO, had a decent run on college hoops but that turned ugly quick! If Gonzaga wins it all then I’ll hit a decent score there!

    Let’s do it again today big boy!

  7. #28847
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    Baylor/Houston under 135.5
    Zags/UCLA over 146.5

  8. #28848
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Only one pick for today

    Milwaukee at Sacramento - Under 237.5 (Giannis, Tucker OUT)

  9. #28849
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Only one pick for today

    Milwaukee at Sacramento - Under 237.5 (Giannis, Tucker OUT)
    Looks good I’m also on under

  10. #28850
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    boys the greatest weekend of golfing year is here...

    us in the cold weather start to take the clubs out and dust them off because the season is upon us...GOD BLESS THE FUCKING MASTERS!

    looking forward to seeing the matchup bets...praying after bryson shit all over himself last year that his prices aren't too high...willing to go back to that well again...tailed daly on cam smith at 42:1...might look to splash one more straight up winner if the price is good enough...


  11. #28851
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I say I’m going to take it easy this week but it will be hard to use some self control.

    Augusta recent form is always a big factor. Some tie ins on recent form and Florida performance as well.

    By that measure Spieth, Im and Smith are already in order.

    My main golf source likes JT and Rory from the front but if there is one thing the masters have shown us is anyone 15 to 1 or worse is an awful bet. DJ was an exception to this rule last fall.

    From the mid/back

    Scott +5000
    Horshchel +6600
    Bezudinhtjwhsudhrhut +10000
    Kim +10000

    I’m probably going to pass on the mid/late card and see if anyone shows up early and take them live.

  12. #28852
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    I tailed Daly on Smith 40/1 E/W 8 places .

    JSearles any chance of running your masters competition this year ?

    I’ll start with $25 if you do .

    I appreciate you maybe at your high altitude training camp ahead of the big race ..

     
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      jsearles22: Great idea, I hadn’t even thought of it. Will post ASAP
    cmoney :It would be nice if Mexico could simply get human feces out of its drinking water

  13. #28853
    Bronze DrPeters's Avatar
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    put a lil bit on Xander at 20-1 odds to win the green jacket

  14. #28854
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Been taking a little break from the sportsbetting because I got burnt out on it, hence the reason for only 1 pick in the past 3 days.

    Today I have one starting in an hour (!!), and one starting later.

    MLB

    Detroit (Mize) +128 vs. Minnesota (Happ)

    This starts at 10:10am PDT. Happ had COVID in February and early March, and therefore only pitched 5 innings in spring training. He's also old (38 1/2). Mize had an 8.36 ERA in the spring and battled with some control issues, but also struck out 23 (!!)



    NBA

    Lakers -103 at Toronto (+1 ok)

  15. #28855
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Two unders for today, as well:

    Boston vs. Philadelphia - Under 221.5 (Fournier, Thompson OUT)
    Miami vs. Memphis - Under 216 (Clarke questionable)

  16. #28856
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    first pass...

    FD
    *zalatoris -150 v rose...first time at the masters so probably wont lay that high of a price on zalatoris, but rose has been dealing with a bulky back so would love to bet against him...
    *day -120 v neimann...
    *hideki -134 v hatton...hatton has been real shit at the masters...played 4 times, cut twice, best finish T44 in '18...hideki has been pretty good though unspectacular...inside the top 20 in 5 of his last 6 masters with two top 10s...seems like pretty good value...
    *viktor -126 v reed...hovland has played here once in '19 and was T32 as the low am...even though reed won his results have been pretty meh...he's played 7x with his win and a T10 last year being his only decent results...he's a grinder so will probably stay away...
    *rory +120 v rahm...im hoping to come to my senses and not bet this...rory's results are really sexy here tho (as are rahm's)...but at plus money it's tough not to want to take this given rahm's wife just had a kid last week...how does that affect his prep?
    *X +108 v cantlay...i always make it a point to take X at plus money in the majors when he's going against guys in his tier...seems like really good value...
    *cam smith -108 v casey...might not bet this one because im already leveraged on cam to win it all and casey just doesnt seem to give a lot away...
    *JT -142 v jordan...in any other year id be all over this even at this price...but think it's too steep given the way jordan has been playing this year...

    DK
    *viktor -120 v fitzpatrick...
    *JT +105 v rahm...i mean i think this is just a spot where you have to take JT at plus money even against a stud like rahm...
    *webb -106 v berger...wildly unspectacular webb, but he reminds me of casey...dont think he's gonna do a ton of stupid shit to beat himself...
    *X -137 v reed...might be a little pricey...

    any comments for or against my thoughts welcomed...

  17. #28857
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Been taking a little break from the sportsbetting because I got burnt out on it, hence the reason for only 1 pick in the past 3 days.

    Today I have one starting in an hour (!!), and one starting later.

    MLB

    Detroit (Mize) +128 vs. Minnesota (Happ)

    This starts at 10:10am PDT. Happ had COVID in February and early March, and therefore only pitched 5 innings in spring training. He's also old (38 1/2). Mize had an 8.36 ERA in the spring and battled with some control issues, but also struck out 23 (!!)

    NBA

    Lakers -103 at Toronto (+1 ok)
    Detroit was a very nice pick

  18. #28858
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Had to share this. I don't even remember an offshore book or agent having such shitty baseball odds as the Borgata/Bet MGM. William Hill to their credit is still doing 10 cent lines at Harrahs/Caesars Disgraceful

    Breaking to 25 cents at -145 JFC

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      Daly: Complete aids

  19. #28859
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    first pass...

    FD
    *zalatoris -150 v rose...first time at the masters so probably wont lay that high of a price on zalatoris, but rose has been dealing with a bulky back so would love to bet against him...
    *day -120 v neimann...
    *hideki -134 v hatton...hatton has been real shit at the masters...played 4 times, cut twice, best finish T44 in '18...hideki has been pretty good though unspectacular...inside the top 20 in 5 of his last 6 masters with two top 10s...seems like pretty good value...
    *viktor -126 v reed...hovland has played here once in '19 and was T32 as the low am...even though reed won his results have been pretty meh...he's played 7x with his win and a T10 last year being his only decent results...he's a grinder so will probably stay away...
    *rory +120 v rahm...im hoping to come to my senses and not bet this...rory's results are really sexy here tho (as are rahm's)...but at plus money it's tough not to want to take this given rahm's wife just had a kid last week...how does that affect his prep?
    *X +108 v cantlay...i always make it a point to take X at plus money in the majors when he's going against guys in his tier...seems like really good value...
    *cam smith -108 v casey...might not bet this one because im already leveraged on cam to win it all and casey just doesnt seem to give a lot away...
    *JT -142 v jordan...in any other year id be all over this even at this price...but think it's too steep given the way jordan has been playing this year...

    DK
    *viktor -120 v fitzpatrick...
    *JT +105 v rahm...i mean i think this is just a spot where you have to take JT at plus money even against a stud like rahm...
    *webb -106 v berger...wildly unspectacular webb, but he reminds me of casey...dont think he's gonna do a ton of stupid shit to beat himself...
    *X -137 v reed...might be a little pricey...

    any comments for or against my thoughts welcomed...
    You don’t always have to devils advocate every play. Pick the spots you think are important and go for it.

    I’d also sleep well backing JT vs anyone here. Feel the same about Rory but I’d hold my nose with him.

    I’d feel better taking Viktor vs Fitz over Reed

    Like the Hideki play.

    Don’t feel like X is ever a solid value anymore. Everyone loves him, never wins.

    I’m not fading Neimann vs anyone but a top 10 guy.

     
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      GambleBotsChafedPenis: Making Sure I Have Diaper Money Rep

  20. #28860
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    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Been taking a little break from the sportsbetting because I got burnt out on it, hence the reason for only 1 pick in the past 3 days.

    Today I have one starting in an hour (!!), and one starting later.

    MLB

    Detroit (Mize) +128 vs. Minnesota (Happ)

    This starts at 10:10am PDT. Happ had COVID in February and early March, and therefore only pitched 5 innings in spring training. He's also old (38 1/2). Mize had an 8.36 ERA in the spring and battled with some control issues, but also struck out 23 (!!)

    NBA

    Lakers -103 at Toronto (+1 ok)
    Detroit was a very nice pick
    So far I'm 2-0 this season in games affected by the idiotic 10th inning 2nd base rule.

    LOL

    I hate it, but I do love it when I have the home team and it goes to extras.

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