Cowboys are only -200 to win the NFC East. I cant see this not be free money.
Washington and Giants both suck and Dallas has good rushing defense and can put up points. They could go 9-0 once thev beat Carolina to go 4-0. That's going to be a low scoring game for sure. Going to go under 50.5.
Eagles probably going to go .500 if that.
Once the regular MLB season winds down, I won't be posting many MLB picks. Playoff betting is really hard because books put a lot more effort into setting lines. This is true across all major sports.
Kinda sad I didn't pull the trigger on the Orioles yesterday, because I was really feeling they were going to beat the Red Sox, and were like +250. However, I chickened out because the Sawks are in a super tight wildcard race, and in the final week of the season when a lot is on the line, failteams tend to get smacked around by good teams more than usual. Orioles squeaked by and won.
But I can't complain too much, winning both of my picks yesterday, especially the Royals where Singer had an awful outing and didn't last an inning, leaving during the 1st with arm discomfort after giving up 3 runs. That injury actually saved my bet, as the bullpen was excellent and gave up just 1 run in the last 8 1/3 innings, and the Royals came back to win.
I look forward to firing on the NBA in a few weeks, though I've had a hard time in the NBA in the second half of the season, so I'm going to have to watch that going forward. NBA is hard because the game seems to be changing so rapidly, and I'm having to modify my strategy seemingly every year. I much prefer betting on baseball.
I'm not an NFL guy, so I will leave that to the experts here.
Cannot get off St Louis now....-113/ yesterday caught them at +$ on a 16W streak.now 17.....ty ty ty//.
This why dopes Like CM lose....They fade streaks, They increase bets when losing. NOT winning, Dopes... you jump on W3 in a row until they lose. You lose 1x, go the other way you lost from W4-W15. owwww
CM beyond a grifter, narcissistic thief, being a horrible provider to family, He is mentally ill, delusional, has dreams of Grandeur that shall elude him as long as he takes the road he travels.....
His mind is Polluted with Lust of Riches, all materialistic Lusts to boot...
None of Family, well being, peace....
He is as doomed as a man w/term.bigC. BUT UNLIKE TERM.C GUY HE HAS TO LIVE and go on for the remainder of his days after being destroyed from inside to out.
He will Weep, moan & Pray to die one day.....
As it is written, so shall it be.
Mark 14:35,36
"And he went forward a little, and fell on the ground, and prayed that, if it were possible, the hour might pass from him…"
@ shoeshine
I’ve been riding the Cardinals too. Parlay piece. However, I’m on Brewers +102. My handicap is pretty amateur. Cardinals lineup is exhausted and has clinched the wildcard. The only thing important to the Cards right now is resting up and preparing for the Dodgers. The Brewers have stumbled into the close and are not finishing strong. They need to get right.
It’s a flip and I’m taking Brewers small. Save ammo for Giants & Dodgers
In a story which is as old as the baseball playoffs
I have not gotten my tip sheet from CM yet. Is he on Brewers?Brewers P Devin Williams drunkenly breaks hand during clinch celebration, expected to miss playoffs
@ Druff
My greatest success has been baseball playoffs. Not a huge sample size admittedly. For the same reason you don’t bet Dodgers most of your neighbors do. This is not uncommon across a country that now has state legalized wagering for the most part. Thoughtless homers.
Mattress Mack will show up with suitcases and lay a million or two on the Astros. This is replicated many times at nearly similar silly amounts
Baseball unlike football or basketball is pretty nearly solved. More amateurs than you imagine have a model and upload last nights data at the push of a button. I don’t think the books (of which very very few originate numbers) are sharpening their pencils. Baseball playoffs are more than ever about balancing action.
Okay... just one today... I think.
Baltimore (Lowther) vs. Boston (Eovaldi) - Under 9.5 -110
Always felt Eovaldi was overrated and overpaid, and I still think that. However, he did roll off 7 straight decent starts from August 11th to September 19, before getting shellacked by the Yankees last time out. But we will forgive that, and this is a much easier matchup.
Let's attempt to continue the streak.
The one starts at 3:35pm PDT.
Pittsburgh (Yajure) vs. Cubs (Steele) - Under 8.5 -105
Battle of the failteams. Battle of the rookies.
Both profile as ones who can probably handle fail lineups fairly well, but struggle against tough offensive squads. Steele has particularly good stuff (52K in 50 IP this year), but his command has been off, and he's given up a lot of HR lately.
Wouldn't be surprising to see both of them pitch well here, though neither will be in for a lot of innings.
Anyone betting tonight's TNF game shows true degeneracy.
Over 46 and Jags covering +7.5. I don't advise this but I'm sprinkling a bit on Jags winning at +280. Good luck.
Bets for Sep 27-Oct 3(Week 10)
New
PGA Sanderson (After R1) Sam Burns $500 at +1400
Current
LPGA Shorpite - SY Kim - $1,000 at +2800
Start $50,000 Remaining $44,000 Current Week $0 Last Week -$1,620
Total Win/Loss -$4,500
————
Burns was 16-1 before today. He shot 4 under without capitalizing on the Par 5s. Glad to take him at 14-1 and would expect him to handle the Par 5s tomorrow and hopefully into the weekend. Pretty close to his pre tournament price.
Really annoying. Pittsburgh didn't score, as I thought might happen. Cubs hammered Yajure and were up 7-0 after 3. Yet here we are in the 9th, and it's only 9-0. One fewer run and I would've won anyway, most likely. Oh well.
Time to fire on another one I like
Battle of the has-beens:
Arizona (Bumgarner) at San Francisco (Kazmir) - Over 8.5 -110
Bets for Sep 27-Oct 3(Week 10)
New
PGA Sanderson (After R1) Sam Burns $1000 at +1400
Euro Dunhill Horsfield $150 at 100-1
Current
LPGA Shorpite - SY Kim - $1,000 at +2800
Start $50,000 Remaining $43,550 Current Week $0 Last Week -$1,620
Total Win/Loss -$4,500
————
Like Burns even more. Doubling down to $1000. Horsfield is a miracle bet. But the guy got hot late in the round and is playing the easier course in the early wave tomorrow. Lost big bets on him. Worth a shot betting small with astronomical odds.
As NFL spreads get sharper does the value of teasers increase?
NFL through 3 weeks 7-3, +3.7 units coming off a clean sweep 3-0 last week.
KC -7
GB/Pitts over 45.5
ATL +1
I’m optimistic about Burns but SY Kim just a mess. They are playing in Atlantic City and I’m surprised she hasn’t hit a window out in the hotel. At least I didn’t go watch this because the tickets are dirt cheap. No live odds on this tournament so couldn’t switch horses. Two things that are tilting is Inbee was the other name I just didn’t pull the trigger on. I also have a feeling if the big guy was here I would have a few bucks on Castren. He always liked her game.
GL this weekend to everyone.
Cincy -1.5 teaser piece never in doubt despite leading for a grand total of 0 seconds
+165
Shop your teaser prices amongst a couple books. The books are getting hit by winning teaser action -especially this year. The juice is getting adjusted and varies greatly
Honestly, for me the teaser thing is a continuation of late season MLB big favorite parlays success. I’m losing my will to gamble cause I want to hang on to profit. Teasers been working and digging into the approach revealed I am not alone this year.
Giants Dodgers parlay cashed again…. but that’s not news.
I have concerns about Titans. Wish it was the last piece so I could hedge
Value UFC picks, Saturday 10/2, starting at 4pm ET:
Shanna Young +110, .75u
Gaetano Pirrello +215, .75u
Devonte Smith -150, 1u
Joe Solecki -135, 1u
Mike Breeden +400, .5u
Misha Cirkunov +125, 1u
Kevin Holland -165, 1u
Johnny Walker +135, 1u
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