So I’ve been a little bitch all week cluttering this thread with super bowl thoughts. Unless we get some
Sort of final news or some dramatic shift or unless someone has a specific question I’ll wrap it up with this final pre game post.
I find it very unlikely the Patriots won tonight. I find it even more so that they win by 3 or more. I mean I think it’s a fucking longshot at this point. Baring a last minute shift a Patriots cover would be the single biggest loss for Las Vegas on the SB ever. What else is there say?
The sharp money started on the under, and it’s still on the under. But that being said I don’t think you can ever play an under bet for game on today’s NFL and feel good about it. There are more and more points scored later in games and 4Q turns into a track meet. I think the under 281H is a way better bet than under 56.5 for game by a factor of..... I don’t know what. But it’s a better bet, I’m sure of it. Probably why 1h Under is now 27 and why the game is still kicking around 56.
Best player prop angle out there is to go long Anderson and short Gurley. I’ve though Gurley had been damaged goods for a while now. Had a friend who I respect tell me it’s a solid angle so I doubled down. Well now Ian Rapperpprt came out with a report that it will be a time share at best due to “conditioning”. I call BULLSHIT. Rams have gone out of way to proclaim Gurley “100%” the last two weeks. They bluffing big.