Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #30081
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    I just wanna say there were lots of great takes in this thread per the usual. From Morikawa to Finua top 32. Some other close dogs that nearly cashed in Koepka getting plus odds vs Rahm. Great bet that lost. Even the guy who bet Dechambeau to miss the cut at like +300 was on the right end of the bet with 3-4 holes left Friday. He made it on the number. I still say great bet.

    Thread delivers

     
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      Daly: Yeah Bryson shouldnt have made it - but I’ll take the W
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  2. #30082
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    I just wanna say there were lots of great takes in this thread per the usual. From Morikawa to Finua top 32. Some other close dogs that nearly cashed in Koepka getting plus odds vs Rahm. Great bet that lost. Even the guy who bet Dechambeau to miss the cut at like +300 was on the right end of the bet with 3-4 holes left Friday. He made it on the number. I still say great bet.

    Thread delivers

    This thread 100% delivers. It’s ALWAYS great to get different perspectives. We cover a lot of ground in here and more often than it we get alpha.

    I’ve been known to deliver the occasional winner but I’ve gotten more than I’ve given.

    The fact that we have “content protection” from Druff really helps too. Some threads are perfect for shitposting. This isn’t one of them except for the occasional ball breaking.

  3. #30083
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Oh yeah….. and


  4. #30084
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    So here is my hybrid college football play of the year I’ve been teasing

    Unfortunately I was picked clean of value in most Vegas spots. Stopped by the Wynn this morning and saw it posted at 35-1. Went the counter to fire and it was down to 10-1. Willy hill is 16-1. The good news is there are a bunch of PPH that are hanging between 25-40 to one.

    The bet is CJ Stroud, Presumptive Ohio St QB, to win the Hiesman trophy @ any price +2000 or better. I don’t hate it at +1600.

    So the theory is real short and sweet. There are four teams who are going to be favorites to make the playoff every year. Bama, clemson, OU and The Ohio State. Sure there are some others in any given year like Georgia or Penn St bit more or less it’s these four unless you have a party crasher. The Ohio State has the two best WR in college football this year. If either one of them transferred they would be Wr1 on the new team. Both will be first round WR. They are going to throw the fuck out of it and be god damned good at it.

    This is a bet that they go 12-0 (good shot) and make the playoffs (good shot) And this top Recruit performs up to his anticipated level.

    Bet should be +800-+1000

    Glgl

  5. #30085
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I mean it’s expensive but JC Majia doesn’t get to 4K’s often…..

    Under 3.5 -160 seems cheap

  6. #30086
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    I mean it’s expensive but JC Majia doesn’t get to 4K’s often…..

    Under 3.5 -160 seems cheap


  7. #30087
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quiet in here

  8. #30088
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quiet in here
    For me too busy reading/listening/watching about the upcoming NHL expansion draft.

    I don't love expansion honestly they should move a shitty franchise rather than adding another, but exciting times as a hockey fan this week.



    Suns are 4-1 first quarter this series. +130 first quarter for me.

     
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      Daly: In

  9. #30089
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I'll be back at it with MLB soon. Just waiting for things to settle post break.

  10. #30090
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Been wagering the stock market crash and recovery

    Here’s something I love but kinda busy so don’t have time to write novel

    924 Chicago White Sox team total over 2½ -109 for 1st 5 W

    Minny Ober allows HR and a general fade wind blowing out

    Name:  0EE89437-F5C5-477E-AC82-CD6042EA6BE2.jpeg
Views: 256
Size:  311.7 KB

    Fucking Betanysports piece of shit Vietnamese software had an update last night and keeps bouncing me out after entering bet. I’m blowing my brains out for a $250 bet.

    I hate them but it’s my out for 1st 5 TT and I’m having good success with this angle this year.

    If you can get down god bless but if this wins I’m gonna tilt.

    Also
    Philadelphia Phillies -½ -105 for 1st 5 L
    Nola off Covid vs Covid NYY is funny


    Edit
    Finally got it fixed.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 07-20-2021 at 05:12 PM.

  11. #30091
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Going forward past posting will be punishable by not less than two red reps.

    Some helpful confirmation of some personal leans would be nice but I’m such an optimist

    Dancing with myself

  12. #30092
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    1-1

    Retiring from the sides business.

    Going into 1st 5 TT full time. It’s working. You only have to do half the work. I care not what the other team does. Respect the undiluted purity

    It’s a niche biz and a little less sharp imo. Most here prolly don’t have access. True?

    The book only risks $250 so there is that too. Need to call Pablo.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 07-20-2021 at 05:19 PM.

  13. #30093
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Suns 5/18 from the field. Missed so many shots.

    Also f the refs. Clearly they don’t want to fly back to Phoenix.

  14. #30094
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Not to beat the dead horse raised last week but we have had a hell of a Golf run in here over the past few months. Let’s try and keep it going.

    I don’t feel like getting overly invested in LPGA week in week out but K Norda at +900 is going to be in play most Sundays. It’s a one unit spend.

    PGA is in a odd post Open week. At the top of the card, and yes I should have my head examined, Finau at +1500 is the only thing I fancy. I plan to put a single unit on him “just in case” as I shop for value down the card. I don’t think DJ or Oost will pull it together which makes Finau the best of the rest and let’s face it he does have to put it together one of these weeks for win 2. Both Ghim and More are the two value players in the 40-50 to 1 area that are the tee to green masters to get it done. They are the two I’ll be rolling with

  15. #30095
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Going forward past posting will be punishable by not less than two red reps.

    Some helpful confirmation of some personal leans would be nice but I’m such an optimist

    Dancing with myself
    Very last second but I don’t want to past post.

    Brad Keller seems to be rounding into form. Royals +160 is a good dog line. I also expect some Brewers players were out partying with the Bucks championship last night.
    Last edited by jsearles22; 07-21-2021 at 10:15 AM.
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  16. #30096
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Going forward past posting will be punishable by not less than two red reps.

    Some helpful confirmation of some personal leans would be nice but I’m such an optimist

    Dancing with myself
    Very last second but I don’t want to past post.

    Brad Keller seems to be rounding into form. Royals +160 is a good dog line. I also expect some Brewers players were out partying with the Bucks championship last night.
    Umpiring is so bad…….

    Royals leading 2-0. Milwaukee has a runner on. Wong pushes a bunt down the 3rd base line. Rolling really slow. It pretty clearly goes foul. 3B waiting on it then picks it up. Called fair by home plate umpire and not reviewable?!?!? 3 runs score……
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  17. #30097
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Detroit (Manning) vs. Texas (Lyles) - Under 9.5 -113

  18. #30098
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Going forward past posting will be punishable by not less than two red reps.

    Some helpful confirmation of some personal leans would be nice but I’m such an optimist

    Dancing with myself
    Very last second but I don’t want to past post.

    Brad Keller seems to be rounding into form. Royals +160 is a good dog line. I also expect some Brewers players were out partying with the Bucks championship last night.

     
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      Sanlmar: Great win. Law abiding wagering too
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  19. #30099
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    One of these weeks, I couldn’t get to the “state-line” and I only post picks when I have bet them myself as well. I am a little tilted to see Lydia Ko shoot a 68 as I was tempted to get some money down on her at a very inflated +3000 on Bet MGM. Not going to take her now, so as much as I like her, don’t want to see her raise the trophy.

    This week may be totally fucked for me in all honestly, I think I’m going to layoff. Other than Lydia, I don’t think I would of had a good opening round on the golfers I most likely would of had in mind. Get back to it in a few days.

  20. #30100
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    Mariners +130

    Flexen is a Doosan Bear legend in KBO

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