Despite being a Dodgers fan, I have to admit there's a lot of value in St. Louis -105.
Carlos Martinez is waaaaaaaaaay better than washed up Kazmir.
Despite being a Dodgers fan, I have to admit there's a lot of value in St. Louis -105.
Carlos Martinez is waaaaaaaaaay better than washed up Kazmir.
Wasn't really trying to hide what I had, I have Orioles at like 45-1, put down about 350 before season.
If it wasn't for the fucking Cubs this would be hella easier and I could probably wait. A nice losing streak would be nice to give me a little better odds on them, but they are just destroying everyone and don't see that happening. But then again how much better can their odds get? They are 5-1 now. I'm just spitballing here though, Cards a few years ago won 86 I think and took championship.
I was originally going to wait til the playoffs and then just pound every other team but my limits might hurt me in tbat scenario. Max future is $500. But either way Cubs are the damn problem.
Ervin Santana/Strikeouts u5 ½ (-130)
Header: Twins @ Indians - Ervin Santana total batters struckout
They are driving the odds so low on the Cubs I am going to have to start betting the run line. I think Ill bet the ML for say $1,000 and the run line for $300 (which is about the profit on the ML). Don't fail me now Arrieta. Anyone else bet like that?
Last year fading the White Sox was $, this year the opposite of course. Atlanta and Twins the new whipping boys this year.
All eyes on Cubs, Orioles and White Sox for the wins.
My UFC guy likes this one a bunch.... Says line should be -150
Renato Moicano Carneiro ML (+110)
Header: Renato Moicano Carneiro [9(0)-0-1] vs Zubaira Tukhugov [18(6)-3-0]
Scheduled : 05/14/16 6:30 PM (EST)
Accepted: 05/14/16 2:16 PM (EST
3-0
You hurt me to the quick with that money line truism.
The rest is on you Daly.
Not to scare anyone off. I know sharps that can beat sides, I know sharps that can beat totals and dare I say I know a thing or two about beating props.
I've never met anyone who beats the Puck/Run line.
Need to get by Toronto. No way I'm going against the home team in a game 7, but Miami is experianced.
I totally would have done the Cubs run line. Arrieta just mows them down, and Locke sucks.
Unfortunately it wasn't available (much like Sanlmar found) when I went to bet it initially. Then I went to sleep, and so went the game.
It was it posted late at the book I got it at. Cubs are just fucking destroying teams, the 1 run has only mattered in 4 of the 28 wins they have had. At $2.00+ of value for that .5 run its been a no brainier to bet the run line.
If history means anything this won't last but it holds true for now.
I'm auto betting (with some limitations) the Sawks over and the Cubs Run line. Neither will last the whole season but it's a sharp angle for now.
I can see why the long odds are so low on Cubs now (actually down to an insane 3.5-1). History says they are going deep and about half the time winning it all barring a small miracle or rash of injuries.
1984 Tigers 35-5, WS Champions
1986 Mets 20-4, WS Champions
1939 Yankees 29-7, WS Champions
2001 Mariners 20-4, Lost ALCS
1998 Yankees 23-6, WS Champions
1970 Reds 22-6, Lost in WS
1969 Orioles 20-8, Lost in WS
Thanks Daly for posting your thoughts, you seem practical and reasoned. All things I aspire to be be. :-) In any event good stuff. As you said, Cubs destroying and I want to find a way to make more $ on them. I am going to start expanding my run line action to do it. I missed the game as I took my son to see the new avengers movie, so nice surprise was waiting. Funny they were down 0 - 2 and I wasn't sweating a bit. Turned phone off, then at end of movie cha ching! wish the all were that easy.
Books are running sacred. The total for the Sawks is posted at 11.
I'm not scared.
Houston Astros/Boston Red Sox o11 (-110)
Header: Houston Astros (15-22) @ Boston Red Sox (22-14)
Scheduled: 05/15/16 1:35 PM (EST)
To continue the Cubs conversation I do think the books are hemorrhageing money right now on them. Almost 10 am and the only line they have up is Cubs -165. No run line, no total, no team totals.
The Players Championship Day 4
Feeling confident about Today's pick...
Graeme McDowell -110 (1.5 BTC) VS Shane Lowry
Lowry has been in bad form lately (had a nice open round of 65) Hes been struggling mentally lately and has been having mini meltdowns and is questioning why he should even be entering tournaments. I watched the full coverage of the tournament so far and never saw Lowry like I did yesterday during the end of the round. He looked mentally and physically drained. He clearly put some weight back on and was just dragging his ass trying to finish yesterday and It was obvious to me that he didn't even want to be there and was just going thru the motions.
On the flip side Graeme McDowell has been getting into a nice groove and had a fantastic round of 69 yesterday on brutal conditions.
I was lucky to get bet placed in time after having issue getting in authenticator on phone to transfer bitcoins.
Over by the 3rd. Sox are cruising. Good week betting Sox overs
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