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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #33401
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Two MLB bets:

    One for the adventurous, one for the grinder.


    The adventurous:

    Miami (P. Lopez) +165 at Mets (Carrasco) - First 5 innings


    The grinder:

    Detroit (Wentz) -110 vs Kansas City (Greinke)

  2. #33402
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I wanted the under in the Tigers game @ 8 but it’s 7.5. Weather.

    I have -118 Tigers so pass.

    Marlins cannot score. Maybe a first 5 RL. Mets still in a fight.

    I did this overnight. Cards prolly don’t care. I like the total but not 8.5 now.

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    I got some shameful preseason hockey. Only simp would care. It’s more of an investment in my NHL 2022/3 education

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      simpdog: have been tailing you/druff some taking it easy this summer. NHL back soon.

  3. #33403
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Marlins took it first-5, but not without some drama. They let a 4-0 lead slip to 4-3 in the 4th, thanks to Pete Alonso. They added two in top-5, though, so they safely were ahead 6-3 after 5. Nice.

    Detroit seemed dead. 3-0 and Greinke was cruising, after 7. Then Mike Matheny made the ultimate Greinke mistake -- he left him in when Greinke was tired.



    I've seen this play out a million times as a Dodgers fan. When Greinke is running low on gas in the 7th-9th, you pull him. Always.

    Well, they didn't, and the Royals scored 3. Miggy then blew it and lined out to end the threat.


    Currently in that stupid extra inning shit with a runner on 2nd. Detroit wormed out of 1st/2nd with 1 out, and they're up, and just need to push the run home to win my other one.

     
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      Sanlmar: The right one baby.

  4. #33404
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I got some ego to dismiss Druff picks. I ain’t that good.

    Druff is the wagering king. This has been so much fun.

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  5. #33405
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Wow... I screwed myself hard today.

    I went 2-0, right?

    Not so fast. I went on the betting site, and I went 1-1. What?!

    I looked more closely and I had left "first 5 innings" selected from the Marlins bet, so my Tigers bet was first 5 innings, not full game. So that exciting comeback from 3-0 was meaningless for me. I had already lost. So frustrated right now. I usually check these, but somehow let this one get by. One time I even caught the wrong bet on this site and called them quickly, and they agreed to reverse it. Obviously now it's way too late. Totally just threw money away.

    What sucks about this mistake, too, was that there were several outcomes which wouldn't have mattered. It could have both lost first-5 and the game, and it would have been neutral. Or it could have won first-5 and the game, again being neutral. Or I could have gotten lucky, with Detroit being up or tied after first-5, but ultimately losing. Here was the only result I could have had which fucked me -- behind after 5, winning the game.

    This is infinitely more frustrating than if the game just lost.


     
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      Sanlmar: As the F5 king I can tell you I’ve done that too

  6. #33406
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    The edges are so thin in sportsbetting, if at all, that you can't do this to yourself.

    This will take awhile for me to get over.

  7. #33407
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Alright my fat fingered friend ….

    Washington Nationals team total over 3Ĺ +110

    For your simple amusement look at Nats full game ML then F5. Knew you would understand.

    Last year the sharp guys (meaning me) were parlaying Giants/Dodgers every night. Wanna do Braves Mets but I have declining testorene as the years roll by. Still eyeing live Braves after 5 as a plan.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 09-28-2022 at 01:12 PM.

  8. #33408
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Please advise Druff and San.

    Jays / Yankees over 7

    Yankees clinched last night and drank beers. Are they bringing their A game?

    Mitch White can be counted on for 3-5 runs if the Yankees didn’t party that hard.

    Rizzo torres Stanton sitting maybe more.

  9. #33409
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Just goofing around until playoffs start with the teams who have strong incentive to win. Had the same bet on braves last night and woke up to comfortable 6 run win. Iíll give them another go and figured Iíd take both end of the last pennant race also. Think Braves eventually surpass them, but betting on not yet tonight.

    Single @
    +105
    Open
    Sep 28 ē 2022
    Ticket ID: 501011
    Run Line: ATL Braves -2.0
    ATL Braves @ WAS Nationals

    Parlay (2 Picks)0 of 2 settled
    Sep 28 ē 2022
    Ticket ID: 501011
    Moneyline: NY Mets @ -200
    MIA Marlins @ NY Mets
    Moneyline: ATL Braves @ -210
    ATL Braves @ WAS Nationals
    Odds:
    +122

  10. #33410
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Alright my fat fingered friend Ö.

    Washington Nationals team total over 3Ĺ +110

    For your simple amusement look at Nats full game ML then F5. Knew you would understand.

    Last year the sharp guys (meaning me) were parlaying Giants/Dodgers every night. Wanna do Braves Mets but I have declining testorene as the years roll by. Still eyeing live Braves after 5 as a plan.
    I had bet before seeing your post.I guess my TRT shots are working, but I donít like being opposite you. Hereís to a 10-5 Braves win.

  11. #33411
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Alright my fat fingered friend ….

    Washington Nationals team total over 3Ĺ +110

    For your simple amusement look at Nats full game ML then F5. Knew you would understand.

    Last year the sharp guys (meaning me) were parlaying Giants/Dodgers every night. Wanna do Braves Mets but I have declining testorene as the years roll by. Still eyeing live Braves after 5 as a plan.
    I had bet before seeing your post.I guess my TRT shots are working, but I don’t like being opposite you. Here’s to a 10-5 Braves win.
    Oh, I believe Braves win in the end. 10-5 would be great.

    Hey Simp, how you feel about Druff coming for your stupidity wagering crown? I just can’t with those two teams. There are several bans and restraining orders between the two. Don’t you find the 7 suspicious?

    Saw a claim that more Judge HR props were bet last night than any individual side. Fandual gave a gimmick refund. Crazy
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 09-28-2022 at 02:50 PM.

  12. #33412
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Please advise Druff and San.

    Jays / Yankees over 7

    Yankees clinched last night and drank beers. Are they bringing their A game?

    Mitch White can be counted on for 3-5 runs if the Yankees didnít party that hard.

    Rizzo torres Stanton sitting maybe more.
    Probably a bit late to comment, but I think this line might be Trapper John MD

    I'm staying away

  13. #33413
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Free rolling the over 7 now. Finally got to Cole.

     
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      Sanlmar: Simpdog is back.

  14. #33414
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Free rolling the over 7 now. Finally got to Cole.
    Simpdog is back on Judge’s 61st. How appropriate.

    I need to keep negative energy to myself. I ain’t the guy nowadays.

    LFG Braves. Maybe they take 1st tonight.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 09-28-2022 at 05:40 PM.

  15. #33415
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    The edges are so thin in sportsbetting, if at all, that you can't do this to yourself.

    This will take awhile for me to get over.
    I bet the wrong side a few times a football season. I have done it once so far this season, and the bet won, where I should have lost. Shrug. I also will periodically accidentally double bet (do the same bet twice) and even very rarely accidentally bet both sides of the same game. But I dont pretend to have any edge, so whatever.

  16. #33416
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    Yesterday on a whim I bet Judge O1.5 total bases -150, and he walked 4 times and I lost. LOL What a stupid prop that is.

    Today I saw the bet was down to -115 and I decided to pass for some reason, and of course he homered.

  17. #33417
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Free rolling the over 7 now. Finally got to Cole.
    Simpdog is back on Judgeís 61st. How appropriate.

    I need to keep negative energy to myself. I ainít the guy nowadays.

    LFG Braves. Maybe they take 1st tonight.
    You still own a high ranking. Druff is still the pound for pound #1 and let's hope it continues.

    It's fun to be the guy but it's also fun to blindly follow picks

  18. #33418
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Short notice, but...

    Cincinnati -4 vs Miami

  19. #33419
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Two baseball picks:

    Marco Gonzalez has just 94 K in his 171 innings pitched, and has given up 15 hits in his last 2 starts combined (11.1 innings). While I see opponent Jon Gray as overrated, he has given up 2 runs or fewer in 5 of his 7 last starts, and 1 or fewer in 4 of his last 7.

    Dodgers/Padres have a bullpen game on both sides. The Dodgers are fielding a pretty strong lineup despite these games being meaningless, other than extending their franchise win record. The Padres, however, also don't have much to play for. They're pretty much locked into the #2 wildcard spot, ahead of both the Phillies and Brewers by 3 games, with just 7 to play. BOTH of these teams would have to catch the Padres for them to lose their playoff spot, and they will be on the road in their first round series no matter what.

    Texas (Jon Gray) +112 at Seattle (Marco Gonzalez)
    Dodgers +120 -1.5 at Padres (NOTE: this is an "action" bet, as the starting pitchers don't matter, since they will only go 1-2 innings)

  20. #33420
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Short notice, but...

    Cincinnati -4 vs Miami



    Unfortunately my baseball picks are both losing, though neither is out of it.

    No I don't feel bad about winning when the opposing QB goes down with a major injury. I moved the discussion of that injury to the NFL thread.

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