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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #22261
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Sad to see the college season end. By far my best season to date but I suppose getting the Hiesman and NC at 20-1 is going to help that.

    6 more months until Phil Steele is out.
    Definitely a slow period til baseball.

    The memory of (college) bowling for dollars will carry me for a while. That was quite a run.

  2. #22262
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Sad to see the college season end. By far my best season to date but I suppose getting the Hiesman and NC at 20-1 is going to help that.

    6 more months until Phil Steele is out.
    Definitely a slow period til baseball.

    The memory of (college) bowling for dollars will carry me for a while. That was quite a run.
    BC 2020 wins 5.5?

     
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  3. #22263
    Platinum Krypt's Avatar
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    tennis season should be very profitable

  4. #22264
    Quote Originally Posted by Krypt View Post
    tennis season should be very profitable
    tennis wagered correctly is done live.

    How much money is your Circadian Rhythm worth? Seriously.

  5. #22265
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Krypt View Post
    tennis season should be very profitable
    tennis wagered correctly is done live.

    How much money is your Circadian Rhythm worth? Seriously.
    I plan on fucking this shit up next week if I can figure out how to properly live wager on tennis...

    I got my taste, but don't want to do my dick in...

    money above everything, san...

  6. #22266
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    tennis wagered correctly is done live.

    How much money is your Circadian Rhythm worth? Seriously.
    I plan on fucking this shit up next week if I can figure out how to properly live wager on tennis...

    I got my taste, but don't want to do my dick in...

    money above everything, san...
    Speaking of Circadian Rhythms I’ll offer an observation at 2:40am. I’ve never spoken it aloud so its kinda unformed.

    Listen to the tennis announcers. They are brutally accurate in their assessments of players games. Frankly, learn to trust their insights and see if that squares with the live odds. Tennis live algorithms are in their infancy and underdeveloped cause there is no action. That will not last forever.

    Unlike any other sports announcers tennis announcers are nerds for the game. They are not fanboys of the local team or player.

    They are not trying to appeal to a mass audience. It’s a niche audience and they know it.

    Tony Romo and Booger Whatshisname are appealing to beer swilling middle America and now their women. Their observations are crap. Football is too complicated for the twitter crowd.

    John Sterling of the Yankees radio broadcast and his funny home run calls is worthless insight from a 30 year homer.

    You have learned to dismiss the nonsense. I suggest you use the tennis guys.

  7. #22267
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Very weird day in the NBA for me.

    For a moment around 9pm PT, I thought I was going 0-5.

    - Three of my picks had already lost, including the Minnesota game which slowed down in scoring at the end and came within 3 of tying

    - The Magic had blown a double-digit lead and got overtaken by Sac in the final 12 seconds. Orlando was behind by 1 with the ball. If they missed, it would be over.

    - The Lakers were through 3 quarters, and would need 68 4th quarter points in a blowout for me to win that over. Also, they had no AD, so I got a line 7 points worse (!!) than those who bet after that announcement.

    Well, first the Magic scored with 1 second left on an Aaron Gordon basket, and he got fouled, to make it a 3-point play. 114-112 Magic, but it wasn't over. Kings got off a shot and a tip-in attempt in that final second, both of which missed, and I had my +110 victory.

    Then the Lakers/Cavs somehow put up 73 points in a mostly trash time 4th, and I covered there by 5.5 points.

    Because I had the +110, I only lost 0.99 units on the whole thing, instead of 5 units. Huge swing. Never felt so lucky while losing.

  8. #22268
    Platinum Krypt's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Krypt View Post
    Womenís Tennis Parlay

    Muguruza
    Mertens
    Goerges
    I canít click the mouse for you

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  9. #22269
    2020 Heisman odds on bovada. Any early longer shots you like Daly? DíEriq King is interesting as he just confirmed heís transferring. If he ends up at LSU or Oregon could be great value. If he ends up at Arkansas, Miss St, Ole Miss, FSU, Miami etc then waste of money as those teams arenít going to be good enough for a heisman winner even with him.

    Jamie Newman odds way too high for the conservative UGA offense.

    I think Sam Howell will put up monster numbers but no shot at winning this next year.



    Justin Fields +175
    Trevor Lawrence +550
    Adrian Martinez +1200
    Spencer Rattler +1200
    D'Eriq King +1600
    Jamie Newman +1600
    Sam Ehlinger +1600
    Bo Nix +2000
    Kedon Slovis +2000
    Mac Jones +2500
    Myles Brennan +2500
    Ian Book +3500
    Kellen Mond +3500
    KJ Costello +4000
    Sam Howell +4000
    Chuba Hubbard +5000
    Kyle Trask +5000
    Micale Cunningham +5000
    Najee Harris +5000

  10. #22270
    Ehlinger is interesting at 1600...

    He had a dogshit year this year relative to what he did as a sophomore...

  11. #22271
    another thing that I think needs to be posted for posterity...

    don't know which is more absurd playing an SEC schedule...the 5600 yards or the 60 (65 total) TDs...

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  12. #22272
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post

    I plan on fucking this shit up next week if I can figure out how to properly live wager on tennis...

    I got my taste, but don't want to do my dick in...

    money above everything, san...
    Speaking of Circadian Rhythms Iíll offer an observation at 2:40am. Iíve never spoken it aloud so its kinda unformed.

    Listen to the tennis announcers. They are brutally accurate in their assessments of players games. Frankly, learn to trust their insights and see if that squares with the live odds. Tennis live algorithms are in their infancy and underdeveloped cause there is no action. That will not last forever.

    Unlike any other sports announcers tennis announcers are nerds for the game. They are not fanboys of the local team or player.

    They are not trying to appeal to a mass audience. Itís a niche audience and they know it.

    Tony Romo and Booger Whatshisname are appealing to beer swilling middle America and now their women. Their observations are crap. Football is too complicated for the twitter crowd.

    John Sterling of the Yankees radio broadcast and his funny home run calls is worthless insight from a 30 year homer.

    You have learned to dismiss the nonsense. I suggest you use the tennis guys.
    cool thanks man...ill have to put on my active listening hat...I usually just turn that shit off during sporting events...

  13. #22273
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Ehlinger is interesting at 1600...

    He had a dogshit year this year relative to what he did as a sophomore...
    Holy crap I almost fired on DíEriq King this morning just for the gamble and heís now down to 10 to 1. Either thereís some intel heís headed to a contender or thereís a lot of speculative bets.

  14. #22274
    Quote Originally Posted by Sheesfaced View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Ehlinger is interesting at 1600...

    He had a dogshit year this year relative to what he did as a sophomore...
    Holy crap I almost fired on DíEriq King this morning just for the gamble and heís now down to 10 to 1. Either thereís some intel heís headed to a contender or thereís a lot of speculative bets.
    was talking with the CFB sage of PFA, daly, and he thought that king would end up at OU...

    me thinks daly got that one...

  15. #22275
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sheesfaced View Post

    Holy crap I almost fired on DíEriq King this morning just for the gamble and heís now down to 10 to 1. Either thereís some intel heís headed to a contender or thereís a lot of speculative bets.
    was talking with the CFB sage of PFA, daly, and he thought that king would end up at OU...

    me thinks daly got that one...
    On the surface that makes a lot of sense, but perusing some OU sites and it seems they are really high on the kid Rattler, and donít want another one year QB as they think that will run him off AND kill their future high school QB recruiting. But who knows maybe Lincoln Riley is like F it letís run it back once more then Iím off to the NFL.

  16. #22276
    Sam Howell dropped from 40 to 25 now too. I don’t hate Mond at 35 to 1. Alright I’ll quit hijacking the thread now just found the early movement on some of these interesting.

  17. #22277
    Quote Originally Posted by Sheesfaced View Post
    Sam Howell dropped from 40 to 25 now too. I donít hate Mond at 35 to 1. Alright Iíll quit hijacking the thread now just found the early movement on some of these interesting.
    Howell is interesting in the dogshit ACC...

    think mond is shit...remember they're in the SEC West and have some combo of LSU, Bama, Auburn to play every year...think you'd need a helluva lot of a premium to take an SEC QB...just increases the chance that you'll have that one clunker of a game which really hurts...burrow was an incredible outlier this year...

  18. #22278
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sheesfaced View Post
    2020 Heisman odds on bovada. Any early longer shots you like Daly? DíEriq King is interesting as he just confirmed heís transferring. If he ends up at LSU or Oregon could be great value. If he ends up at Arkansas, Miss St, Ole Miss, FSU, Miami etc then waste of money as those teams arenít going to be good enough for a heisman winner even with him.

    Jamie Newman odds way too high for the conservative UGA offense.

    I think Sam Howell will put up monster numbers but no shot at winning this next year.



    Justin Fields +175
    Trevor Lawrence +550
    Adrian Martinez +1200
    Spencer Rattler +1200
    D'Eriq King +1600
    Jamie Newman +1600
    Sam Ehlinger +1600
    Bo Nix +2000
    Kedon Slovis +2000
    Mac Jones +2500
    Myles Brennan +2500
    Ian Book +3500
    Kellen Mond +3500
    KJ Costello +4000
    Sam Howell +4000
    Chuba Hubbard +5000
    Kyle Trask +5000
    Micale Cunningham +5000
    Najee Harris +5000
    This is a situation where Other +1000 is a great value. Lamar Jackson and Joe B were both ďotherĒ. Matt Ryan when he won NFL MVP was ďotherĒ as well.

    I have a personal rule that the wager for this sort of thing has to be mIn 10-1. So many things need to go right for one guy to win. Fields is the chalk and deservedly so. Lawrence will have the same sechedule problem and a strong running game. Canít deny Rattler at that price, if he gets the job 12-1 is cheap.

    Iím now hearing King may go to Ark which would be interesting but not for his Hiesman prospects.

    ďAt the priceĒ I see value in Matt Jones and Chuba.

  19. #22279
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Vegas put both games square in the Wong teaser window which tells me a dog will win...... but maybe not

  20. #22280
    Krypt

    Nice work

    Shapo @-170 seems like an essential part of any good parlay

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