Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #29821
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Split yesterday, neither were close.

    Here's a morning game for you:

    Seattle (Kikuchi) +175 at Toronto (Ryu)

    Asian on Asian violence.

    Seattle has looked much better lately, as has Kikuchi.

  2. #29822
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Split yesterday, neither were close.

    Here's a morning game for you:

    Seattle (Kikuchi) +175 at Toronto (Ryu)

    Asian on Asian violence.

    Seattle has looked much better lately, as has Kikuchi.
    It’s Canada Day and the Jays are banned from their country cause their pitching is obviously a deadly variant.

    Just wait for the bullpen.

  3. #29823
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Here are my plays for the weekend.

    PGA- $390/+3500 Kisner

    EURO- $1500/+500 Mcilory (Yup, course is not traditional links. Tee to green Rory plays like he did at the Open should handle this field. A lot of noise about him hosting and what not. I’m just firing chalk and hope I can get some money back from this guy.)

    Bezinhoudt $250/+1800

    I’ll be pissed if Horsefield wins but I’m going to leave him out.

    LPGA- J Ko $900/+750 (If she plays poorly this really is it. See if the timing can be right here.). Like in my post above you can still get here at these odds in certain places. She’s been adjusted to +600 on most sites that have taken out Nelly.

    This is the time. It’s her, SY Kim & HJ Kim. No Kordas, Kang, Inbee, Patty T, Lexi, Brooke Henderson, Lydia Ko, Minjee Lee, etc. If she’s not going to right the ship now…

    GL

     
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      JeffDime: Dam good Thursday. Not withstanding another probable $1500 in the Rory fire pit.

  4. #29824
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Best way to stop losing is to stop betting on guys who don’t win.

    For that reason I rarely ever bet on Rory, X, Finau or any of the others that are normally at the top of the price chart but never cash.

    Absolute straight gamble - Veerman +750 leader at end of second round.

  5. #29825
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Took down the Seattle game for a nice underdog win, and it was never in much doubt.

    The Marines have recently swept a 4-gamer from the Rays (!!), took 2 of 3 from the White Sox, and took 2 of 3 from the Blue Jays, and the latter 2 series were on the road.

    Kikuchi has now gone 4 consectuvie starts allowing 0 or 1 ER, and hasn't allowed more than 3 ER in any of his last 10 starts. He's added velocity to his fastball in 2021, and is a different pitcher now, after two disappointing years in America.

    Watch him... and watch the Mariners.

     
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      Sanlmar: Mariners been putting a hurtin’ on teams. Great pick.

  6. #29826
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Best way to stop losing is to stop betting on guys who don’t win.

    For that reason I rarely ever bet on Rory, X, Finau or any of the others that are normally at the top of the price chart but never cash.

    Absolute straight gamble - Veerman +750 leader at end of second round.
    I def try to avoid it. I just really thought with this being in Ireland he was going to take care of this course and this field and make a few bucks back for all the punters. So I signed up for the pain.

  7. #29827
    Platinum Krypt's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Here are my plays for the weekend.

    PGA- $390/+3500 Kisner

    EURO- $1500/+500 Mcilory (Yup, course is not traditional links. Tee to green Rory plays like he did at the Open should handle this field. A lot of noise about him hosting and what not. I’m just firing chalk and hope I can get some money back from this guy.)

    Bezinhoudt $250/+1800

    I’ll be pissed if Horsefield wins but I’m going to leave him out.

    LPGA- J Ko $900/+750 (If she plays poorly this really is it. See if the timing can be right here.). Like in my post above you can still get here at these odds in certain places. She’s been adjusted to +600 on most sites that have taken out Nelly.

    This is the time. It’s her, SY Kim & HJ Kim. No Kordas, Kang, Inbee, Patty T, Lexi, Brooke Henderson, Lydia Ko, Minjee Lee, etc. If she’s not going to right the ship now…

    GL
    I was staring at Bezinhoudt @ +1200 when he was at -6 and I was so damn close to putting 1k on him, but ultimately became gun shy. He’s now +480 on fanduel and i’m on immense tilt b/c I think he ships this.

  8. #29828
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Krypt View Post

    I was staring at Bezinhoudt @ +1200 when he was at -6 and I was so damn close to putting 1k on him, but ultimately became gun shy. He’s now +480 on fanduel and i’m on immense tilt b/c I think he ships this.

    Yea that is steam city. Bez is paying great and it was Daly’s pick all the way for full disclosure. My regret is not betting more on him. It was time for my semi-annual dono to the Mcilory Punter’s fund.

    Kisner we both came up with and I would love to see him bring this home. Have not looked at live odds but with Herbert distancing himself a bit I’m sure the price on Bez is better now.

    Hope this weather in Texas doesn’t fuck up J Ko’s game.

    GL

  9. #29829
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    Belgium +230

  10. #29830
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Kisner had a few kick in birdies which was nice but he couldnt hit anything outside 8 feet today. Good to be where we are at, but he’s going to have to get that flat stick going to have a real shot. Can’t count on hitting irons within 3 feet all weekend. Think he’s made par on all 8 par 5s. Let’s hope he can roll some in tommorow.

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  12. #29832
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Kisner had a few kick in birdies which was nice but he couldnt hit anything outside 8 feet today. Good to be where we are at, but he’s going to have to get that flat stick going to have a real shot. Can’t count on hitting irons within 3 feet all weekend. Think he’s made par on all 8 par 5s. Let’s hope he can roll some in tommorow.
    Yup - standard issue misses between 8-13 feet after the first 3 holes. He’s a better putter than that. To go -1 11-13 on this course (damn near -2) and then got +1 on the much easier 14-17 really sucked. Sucks that it’s so crowded but he’s capable of going low tomorrow and more or less we are right where we want him.

    Bez more or less the same story. He’s certainly has the highest pedigree out of everyone at the top and in the euro tour it seems to matter a lot more on days 3 and 4. Happy to have him on board at 20-1.


    We will know where we stand on Ko in the next 2.5 hours. With all the chasers having not caught her half way through day 2 she could really put this thing away. TBD -


    Edit: we did dodge the bullet a little bit with Neimann. This course isn’t the best fit for his game but he’s dangerous. He shoots a low score today and he could have ran away from us.

  13. #29833
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Starting at 4:20pm PT:

    2 picks 1 game

    Miami +101 (P. Lopez) at Atlanta (Smyly)
    Miami/Atlanta - Under 9 -112

  14. #29834
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    If you missed that, here's one more moneyline:

    St. Louis (Oveido) -110 at Colorado (C. Gonzalez)

    Two titans of pitching in Coors Field. Buckle up.

  15. #29835
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    I only saw a few minutes towards the end but I found the Italian players faking injuries in extra time to be very offputting and not because I bet on it. Boring! Stop rolling around crying.

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    Wow! Dustin Porier is now at -133! Earlier in the week I saw it at -115/-115 and I thought to myself I should fire now on Porier, he started as an underdog. In fact I thought Porier should be a -200 favorite and Nick Pipes love Conner McGregor, he is an inspiration to Pipes.

    Porier is at this point a much better fighter, watch his fight against Dan Hooker. War! He is a dog! McGregor is now a businessman and the top earning athlete but not by competing. Good for him but while he’s been getting filthy rich Porier has been fighting and improving a ton. Very elite boxing and striking, also better wrestler

    McGregor of course always has one punch KO Power

    Fightings not the type of sport where you can walk away and come back on top without build up

    Hope McGregor wins even if I bet against him

  17. #29837
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Wait all day J Ko birdies the first…then doesn’t make anything of the par 5…and butchers an easy par 3 with a 3 putt bogey. Never easy. Just a shitty note to run out of daylight on. The morning wave just had the one player pass her.

  18. #29838
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Wait all day J Ko birdies the first…then doesn’t make anything of the par 5…and butchers an easy par 3 with a 3 putt bogey. Never easy. Just a shitty note to run out of daylight on. The morning wave just had the one player pass her.
    Yeah thought we were onto something there. Probably a good thing they blew the horn and called them in. Let her go get them in the AM with a fresh rolled course.

    Asking her to go -3 or better the rest of the 14 holes isn’t a lot to ask. If she can do at least that we are in business

  19. #29839
    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post
    Belgium +230
    You're better at banging big booty blondes than you are at sports betting. Most aren't good at either.

    SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798

    PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL

  20. #29840
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Lol Coors and extra innings.

    Scherzer holds the Dodgers to 1 run over 6 and a 100 pitches. Dodgers score 9 the next inning.

    Baseball is retarded.

    Cyborg Ohtani leads with 30 HR now - 2 HR tonight. So there is that, I guess.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 07-02-2021 at 08:11 PM.

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