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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #19661
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Fck YEAAAAAA

    Last edited by badguy23; 04-24-2019 at 07:42 PM.

  2. #19662
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Simp & I razz each other about being degen by betting NBA. Gotta go to GA. I’ve pretty much cleaned up that life leak. Simp wants to sponsor you Druff

    Guy bets $766k on Warriors to win $50k. Warriors lose. -1176 Warriors lose OUTRIGHT!

    I mean Druff & badguy are basically debating whether Utah shows up or not. Do Warriors show up?

    I get the tanking and shit regular season. When do NBA teams start to actually give a particular consistent shit? First round Playoffs not enough? I’m asking you Seth Curry.

    Then you try to fade the non-sensical retardation of the Jazz fouling in final minutes so you can perhaps cover. I mean what exactly were they thinking?

    In what other sport do competitors intentionally break the rules as a part of strategy? I’m gonna cross check this guy in final minutes cause it gives me a strategic edge. Okay. Lol.

    I’ll have none of it.

  3. #19663
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    How terrible is sportsbook ag.... Gonna try and use a deposit bonus.... Anyone poker there?

  4. #19664
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Spookygook View Post
    How terrible is sportsbook ag.... Gonna try and use a deposit bonus.... Anyone poker there?
    Best book going, until they figure out you aren’t a drooling idiot.

  5. #19665
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Spookygook View Post
    How terrible is sportsbook ag.... Gonna try and use a deposit bonus.... Anyone poker there?
    Best book going, until they figure out you aren’t a drooling idiot.
    Do not bother with the deposit bonus.

    You are going to regret the complications when you try to cash out. Nobody is giving away free money except the legal NJ sports books.

    Just beat the game and keep it clean.

     
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      unchainedghost: Ty

  6. #19666
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    First game in minutes. If you parlay the lot it was like +620

    $142 to win $886

    I don’t have time to fully explain




    906 Atlanta Braves/Cincinnati Reds under 4½ -105 for 1st 5 Innings

    Braves Julio Teheran (5GS 2-2 5.61ERA 1.64WHIP) He’s been on and off. He got touched up by Cleveland in one inning but otherwise has been pretty good

    Reds Louis Castillo is god. Maybe the best MLB pitcher. I don’t need to offer any proof.



    914 New York Yankees/Los Angeles Angels under 8 -117 for Game
    913 New York Yankees +100 for Game

    Yanks Tanaka (5GS 2-1 2.76ERA 1.23WHIP )
    Angels Cahill (5GS 1-2 5.47 ERA 1.18WHIP)

    Cahill has had a horrendous start this year. The Angels are wretched lately. Yankees AAA should be held in check despite Cahill. Tanaka will shut down Angels.

    Close game good price.

  7. #19667
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Two baseball games:

    Cleveland (Bauer) +137 at Houston (Cole)
    Angels (Cahill) +104 vs. Yankees (Tanaka)

    Sorry Sanlmar

  8. #19668
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Don’t be sorry Druff

    If you need a couch for a few days after the game you are always welcome.

    You just have to promise to look for work.

  9. #19669
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Reds Braves under worked with minimal fuss.

    I forgot to mention that the Old Dodgers batting coach is working wonders in Cincinnati.

    Reds are hitting .199

    I guess that was kind of important but that info has no expiration date either.

  10. #19670
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Don’t be sorry Druff

    If you need a couch for a few days after the game you are always welcome.

    You just have to promise to look for work.
    You'll be beating me and several sharps on this one if you win this Yankees pick.

    The Cleveland pick, which currently is winning 1-0 (and which you didn't touch either way), was not preferred by sharps. However, I judged it at about a 50/50 tossup, and at the +137 price, I had to fire.

  11. #19671
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I deliberately took the move as a gift. Been watching attentively since last night.

    The sharp movement is informative but it is just a piece of the decision making. Sharps are size. I must again remind everyone that the spread between the public/DFS/Millennials with intro to statistics, a smart phone and an awareness of stuff like poissan distribution is quite narrow.

    Remember Henry the PFA Baseball savant? No interest in wagering but just as sharp as the sharps. He just expressed it with love and not bricks.

    He could easily nuke out win probability and determine the right price if he cared to.

    I need to skirt some 1-9 & 8-2 regression but that’s just a bit

    I saw your Cleveland pick and it too was informative and tempting. I immediately knew why. I have decided to be more focused and less volume. Part of this is entertainment and having 4 games on simultaneously like I did with hockey just wasn’t doing me any good.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 04-25-2019 at 05:26 PM.

  12. #19672
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Simpdog has been a valuable member of this community and thread. He is currently going through a very difficult period.

    Shoot him a nude picture of your girlfriend or your cat. He needs cheering up

    Go Bruins

  13. #19673
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I need Yankees to slow down and rest their starters but .... well you know

    Angels are dreadful. The catcher is a AA catcher. 5 stolen bases against him and passed balls for a run. Killing me

  14. #19674
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    The patriots got the best WR in the draft.

    The good guys win in the avengers.

    Sorry to spoil your night.

  15. #19675
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I need Yankees to slow down and rest their starters but .... well you know

    Angels are dreadful. The catcher is a AA catcher. 5 stolen bases against him and passed balls for a run. Killing me
    I was in the car when it was 4-0, and I had a feeling the Yankees were going to blow it. I should have fired a live bet just in case I was right. But my existing +104 bet was enough.

    Sure enough, right after that, two 2-run homers, and then the onslaught of runs.

    Soon enough it was 11-4 Angels.

    The amazing thing is that the Yankees have been scoring despite their AAA lineup. Their last 7 games run scoring: 6, 9, 7, 4, 7, 6, 5. They look like they should be the second coming of the Marlins at this point, but they're not.

    I was fortunate that the Angels were finally able to pile on the runs.

    Cleveland game went how I hoped it would. Bauer pitched excellent, as he has so far in 2019. Cole was good, too, but not quite as good. The way Bauer has been pitching, it's hard to pass up a +137 on him, especially against Cole who was off to a poor start. Still, it was facing the Astros in Houston. All in all, it seemed to break out to about a toss-up to me, which made the +137 good value. Squeaked by with the 2-1 win.

     
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      Sanlmar: 2-0 well done. I’m all ears.

  16. #19676
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    San Diego (Strahm) +190 at Washington (Scherzer)

    Starts in about 10 min

    Reasons to bet it:

    - Strahm is actually an underrated talent and has allowed just 2 ER in his past 3 starts total (18 IP)

    - Scherzer isn't himself this year, with a 4.45 ERA and 1.237 WHIP so far (he is striking people out)

    - Scherzer tweaked his left intercostal on Sunday, so he may be in pain

    - San Diego is 7-3 on the road, Washington is 5-7 at home

    - Anthony Rendon just returned from several days injured

    - Line is +190

    Reason not to bet it:

    - Surprisingly, sharps are NOT on this one, and the books seem to be pushing people to fire on Padres, neither of which is a great sign

  17. #19677
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    For those of you who either didn't want to take a shot at a +190 or missed it, here's one a few hours from now:

    Yankees (Paxton) at San Francisco (Bumgarner) - Over 6 -110

    Yes, over 6.

    I don't remember the last time I saw a total of 6.

  18. #19678
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    This one's for you, Lillard:

    NBA Finals Matchup:

    Portland vs. Milwaukee +4125 (this is on 5Dimes -- won't count on my NBA record here, and $125 limit on bet)

  19. #19679
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Yan Gomes of all people blasts a 2-run HR in the 4th to break a 0-0 tie.

    Of course Scherzer picks this game to finally pitch well. He's got a no hitter going through 4.


  20. #19680
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Islanders and Avs for series.

    Taking both for goaltending.

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