Page 7 of 1970 FirstFirst ... 3456789101117571075071007 ... LastLast
Results 121 to 140 of 39394

Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #121
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2671
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,306
    Load Metric
    65711174
    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    raiders to go winless

    yes +1000
    no -1800

    thoughts?
    Oddly enough The game id worry about the most is #16. On the road vs a Denver team that has a decent shot of not having anything to play for.

    These bets rarely pay off, but at +1000 I've seen worse.

  2. #122
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2671
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,306
    Load Metric
    65711174
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Haralabob just being interviewed live on Lebatard radio show. He never really will give picks, but they stayed on him and he finally said he's betting Golden State tonight at home against Clippers.

    GS -5 atm
    He will be happy to see he can get 4.5 at some shops.

    That said ill tail because the NCFF card sucks.

  3. #123
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
    Reputation
    2014
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    6,869
    Load Metric
    65711174
    Yeah, I didn't bet it, just checked bovada app. I don't bet much on basketball. Just thought I'd mention it in case anyone is loading up on Clips it might give you pause.
    Last edited by BCR; 11-05-2014 at 02:39 PM.

  4. #124
    Platinum JUSTIFIEDhomicide's Avatar
    Reputation
    452
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    3,612
    Load Metric
    65711174
    NIU -3
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    "Only God can judge me. So either LOVE ME or LEAVE ME ALONE"


    IG- Changethegame71 tell me more about how much you hate me, even though you know you can't help but follow me

  5. #125
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
    Reputation
    1959
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    10,557
    Load Metric
    65711174
    Memphis +1.5 @ Suns.

  6. #126
    Diamond Hockey Guy's Avatar
    Reputation
    1233
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Canada
    Posts
    7,629
    Load Metric
    65711174
    Did a 5 game parlay on Proline here in Canada. I'm drawing dead since I didn't realize anything within 5pts is considered a tie. lol, what a fucking joke.

    I got Heat, Magic, Raps, Nets & Warriors. They all have to win by at least 6.

    $5 to win $308.50.
    (•_•) ..
    ∫\ \___( •_•)
    _∫∫ _∫∫ɯ \ \

    Quote Originally Posted by Hockey Guy
    I'd say good luck in the freeroll but I'm pretty sure you'll go on a bender to self-sabotage yourself & miss it completely or use it as the excuse of why you didn't cash.

  7. #127
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
    Reputation
    2014
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    6,869
    Load Metric
    65711174
    Missed tip on one game, system voided
    Last edited by BCR; 11-05-2014 at 04:43 PM.

  8. #128
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
    Reputation
    1011
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    On a Plane
    Posts
    7,790
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    65711174
    Quote Originally Posted by JUSTIFIEDhomicide View Post
    NIU -3
    Hopefully they cover but at the same time I hope Jahwan Edwards runs all over these guys

  9. #129
    Bronze
    Reputation
    16
    Join Date
    Sep 2013
    Posts
    155
    Load Metric
    65711174
    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JUSTIFIEDhomicide View Post
    NIU -3
    Hopefully they cover but at the same time I hope Jahwan Edwards runs all over these guys
    I have not seen you post about Fan Duel since first week of season.. Is it beatabe? Or is variance and juice make it a luckfest to profit?

  10. #130
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10110
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,627
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    65711174
    Was going to fire on Cleveland -5.5 at Utah, and I see it has moved to -6 on Bovada (and -5.5/-115 elsewhere), so fuck it. Now I hope it loses.

  11. #131
    Diamond Hockey Guy's Avatar
    Reputation
    1233
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Canada
    Posts
    7,629
    Load Metric
    65711174
    Quote Originally Posted by Hockey Guy View Post
    Did a 5 game parlay on Proline here in Canada. I'm drawing dead since I didn't realize anything within 5pts is considered a tie. lol, what a fucking joke.

    I got Heat, Magic, Raps, Nets & Warriors. They all have to win by at least 6.

    $5 to win $308.50.
    I should just fade myself. Got them all wrong so far.

     
    Comments
      
      BHS: TY
    (•_•) ..
    ∫\ \___( •_•)
    _∫∫ _∫∫ɯ \ \

    Quote Originally Posted by Hockey Guy
    I'd say good luck in the freeroll but I'm pretty sure you'll go on a bender to self-sabotage yourself & miss it completely or use it as the excuse of why you didn't cash.

  12. #132
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
    Reputation
    1959
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    10,557
    Load Metric
    65711174
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Memphis +1.5 @ Suns.

    Shippp

     
    Comments
      
      BHS: TY - edit

  13. #133
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
    Reputation
    1011
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    On a Plane
    Posts
    7,790
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    65711174
    Quote Originally Posted by Fademypicks View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Hopefully they cover but at the same time I hope Jahwan Edwards runs all over these guys
    I have not seen you post about Fan Duel since first week of season.. Is it beatabe? Or is variance and juice make it a luckfest to profit?
    ya it is beatable if you do your homework. I stopped playing a few weeks ago because there is a good amount of work involved and I am focusing on poker still. Guys are making 100s of thousands dollars in these. HU matches and 50 50s seem to be where a lot of the best money is

  14. #134
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10110
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,627
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    65711174
    Cavs lost again.

    Might be worth fading this team for awhile, especially on the road.

    Glad I didn't bet on tonight's game.

    Part of what scared me was the fact that they were in Utah, and the Jazz have always been tough at home, even when their team is crappy. This is partially because of the altitude in Salt Lake, and partially because of the notoriously loud home crowd. Was already hesitating about taking a struggling Cavs team against home Utah, but the line change sealed it for me.

  15. #135
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10110
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,627
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    65711174
    On the flip side, the Jazz haven't done well against the spread on the road. The Jazz in general have always had road problems, but of course the spread adjust for that.

    Still, the Jazz are 51-63 ATS in the prior 3 seasons on the road. Had you just blindly fired on every Jazz road game since the 2011-2012 season at -110 against the Jazz (spread, not ML), you would have come away with a 5.5% ROI, even taking into account the 10% house juice. I see they also went 19-20 on the road ATS in 2010-2011, and 17-24 ATS on the road in 2008-2009. For whatever reason I can't find ATS data for them for 2009-2010. (Anyone have a good site for this?)

    Here is a good ATS site but it only goes back to 2011-2012: http://www.predictionmachine.com/201...eams-ATS-Total

    The reason I mention this is because I can't find a recent season where the Jazz have a winning record on the road ATS, and unlike other teams, where year-to-year doesn't matter much, the Jazz have the altitude factor (4300 feet), which can artificially inflate their home numbers and therefore make them worse ATS on the road.

     
    Comments
      
      ShadyJ: Nice site

  16. #136
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2671
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,306
    Load Metric
    65711174
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Haralabob just being interviewed live on Lebatard radio show. He never really will give picks, but they stayed on him and he finally said he's betting Golden State tonight at home against Clippers.

    GS -5 atm
    He will be happy to see he can get 4.5 at some shops.

    That said ill tail because the NCFF card sucks.
    Turns out this guy knows his stuff. Or he's a Luckbox. Either way good posting.

  17. #137
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
    Reputation
    1959
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    10,557
    Load Metric
    65711174
    HOU/SA o200

  18. #138
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
    Reputation
    1501
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    10,830
    Load Metric
    65711174
    Druff talking about sports betting from his real account is weirding me out.

     
    Comments
      
      lol wow: weirdly correct

  19. #139
    Bronze
    Reputation
    16
    Join Date
    Sep 2013
    Posts
    155
    Load Metric
    65711174
    Does anyone have an idea how close these online books pay on parlays in relation to the true odds...

  20. #140
    Platinum JUSTIFIEDhomicide's Avatar
    Reputation
    452
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    3,612
    Load Metric
    65711174
    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JUSTIFIEDhomicide View Post
    NIU -3
    Hopefully they cover but at the same time I hope Jahwan Edwards runs all over these guys

    booom

    15-9 nfl 1-0 ncaa itt

    cinci -7 O46
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    "Only God can judge me. So either LOVE ME or LEAVE ME ALONE"


    IG- Changethegame71 tell me more about how much you hate me, even though you know you can't help but follow me

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 7 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 7 guests)

Similar Threads

  1. Offers of thought on this one needed.
    By son of lockman in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 17
    Last Post: 09-20-2013, 03:54 PM
  2. Sportsbook suggestions
    By Walter Sobchak in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 4
    Last Post: 02-02-2013, 10:04 AM
  3. negotiating compensation from job offers
    By mulva in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 5
    Last Post: 11-12-2012, 08:17 PM
  4. Best Sportsbook on the strip ?
    By FrenchJew in forum Poker Community Discussion
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 06-09-2012, 10:50 AM
  5. Vwls-Props for doing radio and making it interesting!
    By Pokehermaniac in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 9
    Last Post: 06-01-2012, 07:36 PM

Tags for this Thread