Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #27421
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Here's another moneyline, coming sooner (4:05pm PT).

    Detroit already burned me once against the 76ers, but this time they don't have to face Embiid, who just always destroys them (and the other day was no exception).

    On the down side, Rose is out. However, Blake Griffin is back, which would be better news 10 years ago, but still should be a plus.

    Detroit +170 vs. Philadelphia

     
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      BCR: Hopefully you don’t get worst game of year out of Jerami Grant. You almost hit the other day when he was like 3/19

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    One more starting soon.

    Aaron Gordon BACK

    Charlotte had a tremendous comeback yesterday, and edged Orlando. In this back-to-back rematch, the difference is that Gordon has returned, and Orlando will seek to avenge their 4th quarter meltdown.

    Orlando -1 vs. Charlotte (-1.5 ok)

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Early reports:

    Detroit pick looks great, Orlando not so much

    Chicago not started yet

    But still a very long way to go

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    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Alright last week was tough with Tony. I'm going second chalk in both tournaments. Both these guys were in contention in Abu Dabi and both are starving for a win. Let's hope one of them does.


    PGA - Rory $800 at 8-1

    Euro- Fleetwood $600 at 11-1


    It's just that simple for me this week. Hoping Tommy can finally start off well and not have to chase Sunday. I've burnt a lot of money on Rory but this week I like him. A bit Ploppy but that's what I got.

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    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Alright last week was tough with Tony. I'm going second chalk in both tournaments. Both these guys were in contention in Abu Dabi and both are starving for a win. Let's hope one of them does.


    PGA - Rory $800 at 8-1

    Euro- Fleetwood $600 at 11-1


    It's just that simple for me this week. Hoping Tommy can finally start off well and not have to chase Sunday. I've burnt a lot of money on Rory but this week I like him. A bit Ploppy but that's what I got.
    Hey - wasn’t that tough.

    I took Hatton for small money at +750. He was head and shoulders over the field last week.

    I’ll get back to You on PGA. Won’t be Rory.

    Edit: Rory not a bad pick. A big indicator at this track is a top 10 finish the previous year. Rory has that going for him. The price is thin but what really worries me is the flight back from the Middle East.

     
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      JeffDime: Wasn't to tough for me because of you brother
    Last edited by Daly; 01-25-2021 at 05:00 PM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Alright last week was tough with Tony. I'm going second chalk in both tournaments. Both these guys were in contention in Abu Dabi and both are starving for a win. Let's hope one of them does.


    PGA - Rory $800 at 8-1

    Euro- Fleetwood $600 at 11-1


    It's just that simple for me this week. Hoping Tommy can finally start off well and not have to chase Sunday. I've burnt a lot of money on Rory but this week I like him. A bit Ploppy but that's what I got.
    Hey - wasn’t that tough.

    I took Hatton for small money at +750. He was head and shoulders over the field last week.

    I’ll get back to You on PGA. Won’t be Rory.

    Edit: Rory not a bad pick. A big indicator at this track is a top 10 finish the previous year. Rory has that going for him. The price is thin but what really worries me is the flight back from the Middle East.
    I love Hatton's game and considered it. Might be wishful thinking that Tommy won't start slow as usual. With Rory and Tommy I took the most stressful guys to bet There will be bogeys it's just a matter of how many they can overcome. Won't be a clean 72 like Si Woo.

  7. #27427
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Anyone who follows my NBA picks may notice a different pattern this season.

    I've decided to go with a more moneyline-heavy strategy for dogs, and then continue with my usual totals and small-medium spread favorites where applicable.

    This is also kind of a unique season due to these weird back-to-back games with the same team / same venue / same opponent. Also the NBA has somewhat changed with the new prevalence of stars being rested (seemingly invented by Kawhi Leonard.)

    Anyway, we'll see how my moneyline thing works out, as in previous seasons I mostly didn't do that, and stuck to just spreads & totals.

    Both my Orlando and Detroit games are looking good at the moment, but neither is a blowout, so still sweating them. Chicago starts at 6:05, so you still have about 30 min to get in on it.

  8. #27428
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    2-0 start. Orlando and Detroit both won fairly easily. Detroit was +170 so that was nice.

    Now I just need Chicago to recover from their slow start!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Early reports:

    Detroit pick looks great, Orlando not so much

    Chicago not started yet

    But still a very long way to go
    2-0 so far. Nice picks, I bet all 3
    -Allergic to the struggle

  10. #27430
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    Quote Originally Posted by 4BET View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Early reports:

    Detroit pick looks great, Orlando not so much

    Chicago not started yet

    But still a very long way to go
    2-0 so far. Nice picks, I bet all 3
    Chicago back in the game. I liked them a lot today, so hopefully they will come through. Glad you rode along, at least you are a guaranteed winner today no matter what.

  11. #27431
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Chicago just didn't play well in the first half. Down 10.

    Hopefully they will come out strong in the second half of the game. This was the pick I liked best of the three. You just never know...


    Edit: Yeah, they're just getting spanked. Bad game for the Bulls.

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    Yes Chicago in trouble but still winning day regardless. Would be a nice bonus if Chicago could get it together
    -Allergic to the struggle

  13. #27433
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    Quote Originally Posted by 4BET View Post
    Yes Chicago in trouble but still winning day regardless. Would be a nice bonus if Chicago could get it together
    Oh well. They really weren't competitive the entire game. I think the best they got was down 4, but that didn't last long. At least it wasn't a heartbreaker.

    That's underdog betting for ya. Still a +1.61 unit day so I can't complain.

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    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Rham is the deserved favorite but I’m not taking 6-1

    C Smith +5500
    B Horschel +6000
    G Woodland +7000

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    Hawks -5

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    nightmarefish is onto something.

    Clips are without Kawhi, Paul George, and Patrick Beverly. Ouch! And Trae Young WILL play today, after being questionable.

    I'll take the Hawks at -6, even worse than nightmare's line.

    Also, similarly, Washington is devastated by COVID, with Avdija and Hacimura out with COVID, and Westbrook is limited to 25 minutes.

    Atlanta -6 vs. Clippers
    Houston -3.5 vs. Washington (-4 ok)

  17. #27437
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    BTW I would have laid off of the Houston pick if Westbrook were playing a full game. I think he's going to play with a vengeance in his return to Houston, but playing only half the game, and missing several players due to COVID, there's only so much he can do.

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    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Moneyline alert!

    Mizzou +135 @ Auburn
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  19. #27439
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Moneyline alert!

    Mizzou +135 @ Auburn
    I will admit to knowing nothing about these teams.

    Since I know you're a semi-local to Mizzou, and might have some insight here, can you explain further why you like this?

  20. #27440
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Moneyline alert!

    Mizzou +135 @ Auburn
    I will admit to knowing nothing about these teams.

    Since I know you're a semi-local to Mizzou, and might have some insight here, can you explain further why you like this?
    Mizzou is 10-2 and ranked #12 for a reason. They are coming off a dominant road performance vs #6 Tennessee. Sure there is the opportunity for a let down game, but Mizzou has looked super sharp since an 11 day Xmas break. Auburn has been much better since getting Sharife Cooper back for the 2nd semester. But Mizzou is the much better team in this spot. Mizzou is led by 5 seniors vs Auburn playing 4 freshman quite a bit.

    I was expecting a -3 or -4 line. When I saw +3 I knew the ML was the juicy choice.
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

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