Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #34561
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    NHL
    Leafs -105
    Anaheim +130
    Devils -155


    For degens only:
    Philly +195
    2-2. Neither dog won so 0 units

    Hopefully people avoided the degen pick
    Your past record is cash mr dog

  2. #34562
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    I have a reliable source who loves these 2 games:

    BYU-Stanford over 57.5
    Purdue -10.5 Indiana

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    Normally don’t do a lot of teasers but have did well with them last few days, Seems everyone likes Ohio st, I will take Michigan here,because their all star running back isn’t 100% I have to play in a rare college/ pro mix teaser. Michigan + 15 over Ohio st, Tennessee in the pros tomorrow + 8 1/2
    -Allergic to the struggle

  4. #34564
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    Quote Originally Posted by 4BET View Post
    Normally don’t do a lot of teasers but have did well with them last few days, Seems everyone likes Ohio st, I will take Michigan here,because their all star running back isn’t 100% I have to play in a rare college/ pro mix teaser. Michigan + 15 over Ohio st, Tennessee in the pros tomorrow + 8 1/2
    I have Wisconson at -3.5 and OSU -9.

    OSU was another one of his big plays I missed, albeit at 7.5.

    Saw Titans/Bengals and I just can't figure that one out. Cinci has been scoring a ton of points WITHOUT Chase the last few weeks.(that was a very good Steelers defense they just put up 40 on last week) . Why do you like Titans? I know Cinci real well them not so much.

    BREAKING NEWS EDIT - https://twitter.com/Covers/status/1596560568202174465


    The line instantly went to 1.5 as I tried to grab Titans at 2.5 mother fuckers

  5. #34565
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    Quote Originally Posted by NaturalBornHustler View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by 4BET View Post
    Normally don’t do a lot of teasers but have did well with them last few days, Seems everyone likes Ohio st, I will take Michigan here,because their all star running back isn’t 100% I have to play in a rare college/ pro mix teaser. Michigan + 15 over Ohio st, Tennessee in the pros tomorrow + 8 1/2
    I have Wisconson at -3.5 and OSU -9.

    OSU was another one of his big plays I missed, albeit at 7.5.

    Saw Titans/Bengals and I just can't figure that one out. Cinci has been scoring a ton of points WITHOUT Chase the last few weeks.(that was a very good Steelers defense they just put up 40 on last week) . Why do you like Titans? I know Cinci real well them not so much.

    BREAKING NEWS EDIT - https://twitter.com/Covers/status/1596560568202174465


    The line instantly went to 1.5 as I tried to grab Titans at 2.5 mother fuckers
    Michigan probably gonna get killed, Only offensive they have is corum and he went limping off about 3 minutes into the game. Tennessee is 7-1 last 8 games and 8-0 last eight against the spread. Tennessee is a team that always plays hard. They went into KC as a big dog and took the game into overtime. Really haven’t been impressed with Cincy this year.
    -Allergic to the struggle

  6. #34566
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    Quote Originally Posted by 4BET View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by NaturalBornHustler View Post

    I have Wisconson at -3.5 and OSU -9.

    OSU was another one of his big plays I missed, albeit at 7.5.

    Saw Titans/Bengals and I just can't figure that one out. Cinci has been scoring a ton of points WITHOUT Chase the last few weeks.(that was a very good Steelers defense they just put up 40 on last week) . Why do you like Titans? I know Cinci real well them not so much.

    BREAKING NEWS EDIT - https://twitter.com/Covers/status/1596560568202174465


    The line instantly went to 1.5 as I tried to grab Titans at 2.5 mother fuckers
    Michigan probably gonna get killed, Only offensive they have is corum and he went limping off about 3 minutes into the game. Tennessee is 7-1 last 8 games and 8-0 last eight against the spread. Tennessee is a team that always plays hard. They went into KC as a big dog and took the game into overtime. Really haven’t been impressed with Cincy this year.
    Yeah with Chase out I like Titans now too. Just checked the analytics on Titans pass rush and it is in top 5 (and has been rising fast lately), Bengals OLine is atrocious.

  7. #34567
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    @BCR

    Ohio Michigan football under 56?

    I saw 57 yesterday. Was that move a weather play? I kinda like under w/o weather.

    Harbaugh Michigan around thanksgiving is a traditional fade
    I’d bet under before I bet over. I think Ohio State is fake news. Doesn’t mean they don’t win easily, but I wouldn’t bet on it.

    .Ohio State could win because Michigan’s QB is horrible and they might not be able to simply gash Ohio State for 7 yards per carry all day like last year, but their OL and defense is quite good and they might be able to simply keep the ball away bludgeoning us.


    Iowa had a legit defense, and we put up 54 just through defensive turnovers and team speed. but in general I think Ohio State would get curbstomped by Georgia and lose by 35. I’m negative on CJ Stroud. I think some NFL team is going to deeply regret their high draft pick. Obviously I hope I’m wrong and Ohio State looks great and wins by 31, but I don’t have any useful insight to you. I think Michigan is fake as a true contender as their QB is horrible, while Ohio State is fake on various fronts. Just inconsistent. The wideouts and RB attrition through injury could really show up against Michigan.

    There isn’t a bet I could make where I’d feel comfortable. Michigan played their game last year and it still ended up 47-27 or something like that. Ohio State games tend to get crazy and go much higher than you’d expect on paper. It’s total stay away for me. Neither team has really played anyone. It could be like Ohio State-ND and end up 21-10, yet 45-41 wouldn’t shock me either. I don’t even see any props I like.
    I read the words but I had no self control. I went under 57 small.

    Edit
    I was gang raped.

    BCR nailed it
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 11-26-2022 at 10:51 AM.

  8. #34568
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    Also this is a revenge game to Tennessee, Cincy kicked last second FG to knock them out of the playoffs, I think Cincy had a better team last year also.
    -Allergic to the struggle

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    First two looking good!

    44 points in early 3Q for Clemson game

    Madison up 26 in 3Q

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    Who know Michigan could score without the best running back in college football
    -Allergic to the struggle

  11. #34571
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post

    I’d bet under before I bet over. I think Ohio State is fake news. Doesn’t mean they don’t win easily, but I wouldn’t bet on it.

    .Ohio State could win because Michigan’s QB is horrible and they might not be able to simply gash Ohio State for 7 yards per carry all day like last year, but their OL and defense is quite good and they might be able to simply keep the ball away bludgeoning us.


    Iowa had a legit defense, and we put up 54 just through defensive turnovers and team speed. but in general I think Ohio State would get curbstomped by Georgia and lose by 35. I’m negative on CJ Stroud. I think some NFL team is going to deeply regret their high draft pick. Obviously I hope I’m wrong and Ohio State looks great and wins by 31, but I don’t have any useful insight to you. I think Michigan is fake as a true contender as their QB is horrible, while Ohio State is fake on various fronts. Just inconsistent. The wideouts and RB attrition through injury could really show up against Michigan.

    There isn’t a bet I could make where I’d feel comfortable. Michigan played their game last year and it still ended up 47-27 or something like that. Ohio State games tend to get crazy and go much higher than you’d expect on paper. It’s total stay away for me. Neither team has really played anyone. It could be like Ohio State-ND and end up 21-10, yet 45-41 wouldn’t shock me either. I don’t even see any props I like.
    I read the words but I had no self control. I went under 57 small.

    Edit
    I was gang raped.

    BCR nailed it
    You can live bet Ohio State around +330 now. That’s what I just got and feel like it’s 45/55 proposal. +550 now. Of course you may just turn one likely loser into two. Ohio State +5.5 probably means you win that if you lose total. As bad as they’ve been, I expect it will tighten still
    Last edited by BCR; 11-26-2022 at 12:22 PM.

  12. #34572
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    Wisconsin-3
    -Allergic to the struggle

  13. #34573
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    I read the words but I had no self control. I went under 57 small.

    Edit
    I was gang raped.

    BCR nailed it
    You can live bet Ohio State around +330 now. That’s what I just got and feel like it’s 45/55 proposal. +550 now. Of course you may just turn one likely loser into two. Ohio State +5.5 probably means you win that if you lose total. As bad as they’ve been, I expect it will tighten still
    I don't know what game Day is watching. Opted to punt and kick a FG on 2 clear go for it downs the way the game flow is going. I dont think he has noticed his defense isn't playing well and has already allowed 31 points.

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    2-0 start so far, neither being close.

    Would be a great day if I could hit the other 3 plus the NZ game ok25 posted.

    As it stands, I'm up over 4 units now in NCAAF and still have a monster NFL record.

    It's been the basketball (college & pro) which has dragged me back somewhat.

  15. #34575
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    Quote Originally Posted by ok25 View Post
    International Rugby

    Starts in 1.5hrs

    Australia +125 vs Wales

    Not recommending this one but I'm on both

    Wales v Australia
    Over(47.5)
    Total Points
    39-34 Australia


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    And in case anyone was wondering, yes I had Utah St. +16.5 yesterday in a freak end of game beat that is on the very short list for worst gambling beats of all time.

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    I have FAU +7.5. They missed a walk off FG attempt and now game is going to OT. The way things are going I would estimate it is 75% chance they cover in OT.

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    Quote Originally Posted by 4BET View Post
    Normally don’t do a lot of teasers but have did well with them last few days, Seems everyone likes Ohio st, I will take Michigan here,because their all star running back isn’t 100% I have to play in a rare college/ pro mix teaser. Michigan + 15 over Ohio st, Tennessee in the pros tomorrow + 8 1/2
    Great pick with Michigan, obviously teaser not needed.

    I'm glad you don't usually do teasers, but I'll tell you that books make a fortune on them. There's tons of EV cooked into most teasers on the book side.

    The rule of thumb: If you really want to tease, do a parlay instead. Much much better value.

    The only exception is if it's football and the starting line is between -8.5 to -7.5, or +2.5 to +1.5. Preferably on a low total game. Those teasers are mostly okay, though still not +EV.

    It's your money and you can do what you want, but just wanted to point that out.

  19. #34579
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    How did Oregon State move from +3/+130 this morning to -1 at game time? Was an injury disclosed?

    Wow. I guess I got good value. Sadly they are down 7-3 early.

  20. #34580
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    Quote Originally Posted by 4BET View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by NaturalBornHustler View Post

    I have Wisconson at -3.5 and OSU -9.

    OSU was another one of his big plays I missed, albeit at 7.5.

    Saw Titans/Bengals and I just can't figure that one out. Cinci has been scoring a ton of points WITHOUT Chase the last few weeks.(that was a very good Steelers defense they just put up 40 on last week) . Why do you like Titans? I know Cinci real well them not so much.

    BREAKING NEWS EDIT - https://twitter.com/Covers/status/1596560568202174465


    The line instantly went to 1.5 as I tried to grab Titans at 2.5 mother fuckers
    Michigan probably gonna get killed, Only offensive they have is corum and he went limping off about 3 minutes into the game. Tennessee is 7-1 last 8 games and 8-0 last eight against the spread. Tennessee is a team that always plays hard. They went into KC as a big dog and took the game into overtime. Really haven’t been impressed with Cincy this year.
    I had Michigan +8.5

    https://twitter.com/darrenrovell/status/1596609167644446720

    Yikes
    Last edited by ok25; 11-26-2022 at 01:16 PM.

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