Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #30621
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
    Reputation
    410
    Join Date
    Aug 2015
    Location
    Jerry Got Game
    Posts
    4,744
    Load Metric
    65653370
    Watch OSU put a TD like in 2 minutes. Ok. Watch.

  2. #30622
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
    Reputation
    410
    Join Date
    Aug 2015
    Location
    Jerry Got Game
    Posts
    4,744
    Load Metric
    65653370
    BCR give me at least a little love.

     
    Comments
      
      Walter Sobchak: No

  3. #30623
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
    Reputation
    561
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    6,690
    Load Metric
    65653370
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post

    My book is 12.5-1. But my book is brutal with these kind of props. I bet if you did the math they are holding 30%+ of the $$.
    Lot of other people did the math and figured out he was the odds on favorite to win the job and that he would have a likely 12-0 team and the two best WR in the game at his fingertips.

    Young, Rattler, DJ, JT, Ohio St QB, a basket of “other named others” (Bijon, Howell, King, Slovis) and “everyone unknown else” are the equal share favorites

    So pick one player/group and they all roughly +700 - that’s the way I’ve thought about it since June.

    The fact that you can now put in ink CJ Stroud at the Ohio St QB means he’s one of the options at about +700.

    The hold on these is huge for the book in aggregate. Too many fans of the 130 teams who want to shoot off $100 and every few years you get a out of the blue winner like Smith. But if you paying attention it’s possible to bag a whale (See Joe Borrow).

    We got our money in good - now the kid has to perform.
    He certainly didn’t hurt himself today. It was looking bleak but he got some garbage stats in the 2nd half.
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  4. #30624
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2671
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,305
    Load Metric
    65653370
    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    Lot of other people did the math and figured out he was the odds on favorite to win the job and that he would have a likely 12-0 team and the two best WR in the game at his fingertips.

    Young, Rattler, DJ, JT, Ohio St QB, a basket of “other named others” (Bijon, Howell, King, Slovis) and “everyone unknown else” are the equal share favorites

    So pick one player/group and they all roughly +700 - that’s the way I’ve thought about it since June.

    The fact that you can now put in ink CJ Stroud at the Ohio St QB means he’s one of the options at about +700.

    The hold on these is huge for the book in aggregate. Too many fans of the 130 teams who want to shoot off $100 and every few years you get a out of the blue winner like Smith. But if you paying attention it’s possible to bag a whale (See Joe Borrow).

    We got our money in good - now the kid has to perform.
    He certainly didn’t hurt himself today. It was looking bleak but he got some garbage stats in the 2nd half.
    I didn’t think it was a great outing if I’m being honest. That said that might prove to be a quality win and 300/3 on the road while hanging 44 on a decent team is nothing to sneeze at.

    Let’s see what he does vs the ducks next week

  5. #30625
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
    Reputation
    561
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    6,690
    Load Metric
    65653370
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post

    He certainly didn’t hurt himself today. It was looking bleak but he got some garbage stats in the 2nd half.
    I didn’t think it was a great outing if I’m being honest. That said that might prove to be a quality win and 300/3 on the road while hanging 44 on a decent team is nothing to sneeze at.

    Let’s see what he does vs the ducks next week
    It was actually 300/4/1. The 4 TDs accounted for 225 of 294 yards. And I only think one of the four was even a decent pass. I concur that he wasn’t overly impressive but three months from now no one will remember.

    It’s like golf. You can’t win it in round 1 but you can definitely lose it. He didn’t lose it

     
    Comments
      
      Daly: 100%
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  6. #30626
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
    Reputation
    410
    Join Date
    Aug 2015
    Location
    Jerry Got Game
    Posts
    4,744
    Load Metric
    65653370
    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    Lot of other people did the math and figured out he was the odds on favorite to win the job and that he would have a likely 12-0 team and the two best WR in the game at his fingertips.

    Young, Rattler, DJ, JT, Ohio St QB, a basket of “other named others” (Bijon, Howell, King, Slovis) and “everyone unknown else” are the equal share favorites

    So pick one player/group and they all roughly +700 - that’s the way I’ve thought about it since June.

    The fact that you can now put in ink CJ Stroud at the Ohio St QB means he’s one of the options at about +700.

    The hold on these is huge for the book in aggregate. Too many fans of the 130 teams who want to shoot off $100 and every few years you get a out of the blue winner like Smith. But if you paying attention it’s possible to bag a whale (See Joe Borrow).

    We got our money in good - now the kid has to perform.
    He certainly didn’t hurt himself today. It was looking bleak but he got some garbage stats in the 2nd half.
    I know you are not too terribly bright, after all you are an unemployed security "specialist" and a stay at home dad now, which is huge LOL. With all that said, a freshman posting 4 second half TDs on the road are not garbage stats, he led the team to a second half win. Stick to metal detectors.

     
    Comments
      
      garrett: Stick to metal detectors rep lmfao....
      
      Walter Sobchak: Asshole
      
      Tellafriend:

  7. #30627
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
    Reputation
    1473
    Join Date
    Apr 2020
    Location
    Brick City, USA
    Posts
    2,703
    Load Metric
    65653370
    Pretty much lost any chance in the tournament on these 2 sloppy ass holes. Goddam shame. Rather MC than just make the cut when guys do this. Never bet him before and don’t plan to again.

    Name:  FA444D6F-66E0-4650-B6EA-283FC72FFC36.png
Views: 174
Size:  320.1 KB

  8. #30628
    Silver Sandwich's Avatar
    Reputation
    66
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    974
    Load Metric
    65653370
    UFC Fight Night Saturday Sept 4 value…. (1 unit each, unless otherwise specified)

    Lungiambula +145
    Julian Erosa +155
    McCann to win +105
    McCann to win by decision +175 (0.5u)
    Pimblett -145
    Bukauskas -150
    Spivak +200
    Brunson +155
    Parlay Shore, Morono & Brunson +450 (0.5u)

  9. #30629
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
    Reputation
    2014
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    6,864
    Load Metric
    65653370
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    BCR give me at least a little love.
    Sorry I wasn’t here for moral support. I was at the sports book watching this. I had the -14 that pushed and had the same double down on -3.5 at half. Had Indians also, so really good night. This young black kid was at window with me. I had like a few thousand spread across the 3 bets, but as we were waiting for the computer to update action complete, I see them counting out stacks and stacks. I was thinking they must just be grabbing it for the crowd. As soon it computer processed it, they handed the kid $40k. Don’t know if he’s a runner or what? Didn’t think that was a Pittsburgh thing or they even took that kind of action. If not, I met the youngest drug kingpin/gambling sharp in Pittsburgh. He didn’t even look old enough to be there.

  10. #30630
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10110
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,626
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    65653370
    Failpitcher v Failpitcher

    Minnesota (Dobnak) at Tampa Bay (Wacha) - OVER 9 -110

  11. #30631
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
    Reputation
    410
    Join Date
    Aug 2015
    Location
    Jerry Got Game
    Posts
    4,744
    Load Metric
    65653370
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Failpitcher v Failpitcher

    Minnesota (Dobnak) at Tampa Bay (Wacha) - OVER 9 -110
    I am going take your advice, but please not more 8th inning sweats. Thank you.

  12. #30632
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4291
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    21,090
    Load Metric
    65653370
    Speaking of failpitchers
    Dodgers Price vs Giants DeScalfani

    1st 5 over 4.5 -120

  13. #30633
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2671
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,305
    Load Metric
    65653370
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post

    Dont lose faith. Double Down.
    Just popped $4K on Ohio State, they are going to blow these fuckers out in 2nd half. Trust me or not make cash, your choice, ok? Make money or stay poor. Ok?

    Failed to give rep last night when I saw this…. Definition of conviction, well done

  14. #30634
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2671
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,305
    Load Metric
    65653370
    The “easy money” game of the weekend is Cincinnati -23

    Well if it’s so easy and 90 odd percent of the tickets/cash are coming in on Cinci then why is the line now 22.5?

    Give me Miami (Oh) +22.5

    I can sleep knowing if I lose do does Vegas.

  15. #30635
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
    Reputation
    1473
    Join Date
    Apr 2020
    Location
    Brick City, USA
    Posts
    2,703
    Load Metric
    65653370
    Amazing that two days in Rahm w/o the strokes is looking better than Rahm w/ strokes. Pretty sick if he and Cantlay battle and Rahm loses by 3 or less and the w/o strokes cash and the w/strokes brick.

  16. #30636
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
    Reputation
    410
    Join Date
    Aug 2015
    Location
    Jerry Got Game
    Posts
    4,744
    Load Metric
    65653370
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Failpitcher v Failpitcher

    Minnesota (Dobnak) at Tampa Bay (Wacha) - OVER 9 -110
    $400 on this over. Druff, I hope you are correct.

  17. #30637
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
    Reputation
    410
    Join Date
    Aug 2015
    Location
    Jerry Got Game
    Posts
    4,744
    Load Metric
    65653370
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post

    Just popped $4K on Ohio State, they are going to blow these fuckers out in 2nd half. Trust me or not make cash, your choice, ok? Make money or stay poor. Ok?

    Failed to give rep last night when I saw this…. Definition of conviction, well done
    That was the easiest half time line I have seen in years. Minnesota had no business being in that game at halftime. When 3.5 showed up I knew it was a gift, college football is the best for swings if you watch the game. OSU is going to be a huge over pick all year long. Great offense and very marginal defense. It's right there for the pickings.

  18. #30638
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
    Reputation
    410
    Join Date
    Aug 2015
    Location
    Jerry Got Game
    Posts
    4,744
    Load Metric
    65653370
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Failpitcher v Failpitcher

    Minnesota (Dobnak) at Tampa Bay (Wacha) - OVER 9 -110
    $400 on this over. Druff, I hope you are correct.
    1 run in two innings Druff. NOT GOOD. Looks like a stinky 3-2 game in the 7th. Where are the 7-3 games in the 4th? I mean you have been on a cooler.

  19. #30639
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
    Reputation
    2014
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    6,864
    Load Metric
    65653370
    I have Northwestern tonight. My book was -3.5 -112, it cost -123 to buy hook, so I just went Northwestern -4 +108. Just fun money to watch. I’m familiar with both rosters, they both suck, but this is just a bunch of smart kids who suck at home against a bunch of mong players who suck. I’m continuing my bet against Michigan State until proven otherwise theory. Unless they’re playing Michigan of course. Highly scientific handicapping.

  20. #30640
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
    Reputation
    2014
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    6,864
    Load Metric
    65653370
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post


    Failed to give rep last night when I saw this…. Definition of conviction, well done
    That was the easiest half time line I have seen in years. Minnesota had no business being in that game at halftime. When 3.5 showed up I knew it was a gift, college football is the best for swings if you watch the game. OSU is going to be a huge over pick all year long. Great offense and very marginal defense. It's right there for the pickings.
    I want no part of giving Oregon 11.5 next week with that defense atm. Haven’t seen a total yet. Has to be 80+

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 5 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 5 guests)

Similar Threads

  1. Offers of thought on this one needed.
    By son of lockman in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 17
    Last Post: 09-20-2013, 03:54 PM
  2. Sportsbook suggestions
    By Walter Sobchak in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 4
    Last Post: 02-02-2013, 10:04 AM
  3. negotiating compensation from job offers
    By mulva in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 5
    Last Post: 11-12-2012, 08:17 PM
  4. Best Sportsbook on the strip ?
    By FrenchJew in forum Poker Community Discussion
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 06-09-2012, 10:50 AM
  5. Vwls-Props for doing radio and making it interesting!
    By Pokehermaniac in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 9
    Last Post: 06-01-2012, 07:36 PM

Tags for this Thread