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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #33341
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    So down 9 with 4 minutes left Steelers punt it on 3rd and 3 from their own 13. Not sure about that one. I actually have Steelers +4.5, so punting is good for me, as IMO it increases the chance of a Steeler cover, while possibly decreasing their chance of winning. But given that ostensibly they are trying to win the game, not sure a punt is the optimal play there.

    Steelers still very very unlikely to cover, but more likely with the punt IMO.
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    WTF. Steelers have 4th and 5, and Browns have 12 men on the field during the FG try and it is a 5 yard penalty, but they only give them 4 yards for some reason. If you look at the box score they actually put it in as a 4 yard penalty, which is impossible. So Stealers kick the FG on 4th and 1 and will lose by 6 and dont cover. Some real fishy stuff going on here.

    How the hell do you just decide to make too many men on the field a 4 yard penalty? It is amazing, they dont even pretend anymore they aren't rigging the games. I guess they know we are all going to bet anyways even knowing it is rigged, so why should they care? Jokes on us.

    And of course what really sucks is that I was in the same spot last week, except I had the favorite (Chiefs) and the Chargers went for it and converted on 4th and 10 to get the cover.


    The ending - imagine having teased Pitt.
    he tries to fly under the radar with his gay big words - Big Bird

  2. #33342
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Hope you guys got your bets in early on Jacksonville +7. The line has gone down to +3.

    Justin Herbert is now questionable. On the Jaguars' side, Shaquil Griffin may not play. Several other Chargers may also miss the game.

  3. #33343
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Just one MLB pick today.

    Jose Urquidy has had two bad starts in a row -- and against bad teams. He's pitched 157 innings this year. His previous high was 107. Fatigue?

    Let's fade him.

    Baltimore (Kremer) +122 vs. Houston (Urquidy)

     
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      Sanlmar: Uh ha

  4. #33344
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I wanna go to Nepal, Dan

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  5. #33345
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Just one MLB pick today.

    Jose Urquidy has had two bad starts in a row -- and against bad teams. He's pitched 157 innings this year. His previous high was 107. Fatigue?

    Let's fade him.

    Baltimore (Kremer) +122 vs. Houston (Urquidy)
    I didn’t see this myself but I completely agreed with Todd’s pick once he pointed it out. Picks have been so good. These last two weeks of the MLB season are being played just for him.

    Druff is on fire.

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  6. #33346
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Kremer had been solid lately but I didn't expect him to throw this gem. Urquidy was better than expected, but the Houston bullpen sucked, so it wasn't close. Not quite the way I pictured it going down, but it still worked.

    Bottom line is that Baltimore is at home, trying to pull off a miracle playoff qualification, whereas Houston is literally playing for nothing. Astros have clinched the division, are 6 games up for the best AL record, and 6 games back for the best MLB record. Games are meaningless.

     
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      Sanlmar: +1

  7. #33347
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I cooked up a +353 parlay anchored by your O’s. I went first 5 cause I was not too knowledgeable about bullpens (stock market cratering prevented me). I mindlessly plugged in heavy New York favorites. Spent about 2 minutes of thought.

    Baseball - 966 Baltimore Orioles +115 for 1st 5 Innings
    Baseball - 968 New York Yankees -225 for Game
    Baseball - 979 New York Mets -218 for Game

    Mets are ahead 8-0 in the 6th and it’s prolly pretty safe

    Haven’t spent 5 seconds looking at football so I may be an impressionable lad. Be gentle

  8. #33348
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    You think I needed that Clemson OT win a little bit?

    Filter by time
    Parlay (2 Picks)Won
    Sep 24 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 499687
    Point Spread: Clemson -2.0 @ -265
    Clemson @ Wake Forest
    Point Spread: Kansas -2.0 @ -230
    Duke @ Kansas
    Odds:
    -103


    Parlay (2 Picks)Won
    Sep 24 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 49968
    Point Spread: Baylor +8.0 @ -250
    Baylor @ Iowa State
    Point Spread: Clemson -2.0 @ -265
    Clemson @ Wake Forest
    Odds: -104

    Parlay (2 Picks)Won
    Sep 24 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 49968
    Point Spread: Baylor +3.0 @ -117
    Baylor @ Iowa State
    Point Spread: Clemson -2.0 @ -265
    Clemson @ Wake Forest
    Odds:
    +157

  9. #33349
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    As someone who is heavily invested in auburn over 6…… L oh freaking L

     
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      Tellafriend: No kidding!!

  10. #33350
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Slightly better than square action

    Utah st +3
    Ull -9.5
    Hawaii +4.5
    Gardner webb +7

    &

    Death, taxes, Bama 1H

  11. #33351
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    LOL. I have Florida +10.5.

    With about 4 minutes left they are down 17 and score a TD and go for 2 and miss, so down by 11.

    WTF. Even if they make it they are down 9 instead of 10. How is that helpful at all? There is still 4 minutes left and Tenn will probably score again so it wont matter. But seriously, WTF?

  12. #33352
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    I also have Texas Tech +7. And they were up 3 points with 20 seconds left kicking off and allowed Texas to get 3 big chunk plays and tie it. Will probably lose by 8 in OT. This is unreal.

    All season just the same nonsense over and over and over.

  13. #33353
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    Seriously. Florida not covering is straight bullshit. Who the fuck goes for 2 to cut it do 9? It is just bad football. T

    Edit: Got in the back-back door with 17 seconds left. And Florida gets the onside kick, but should be down 3, but are down 5. So the retarded going for 2 actually cost them massive EV (with almost no possible upside) in this spot.
    Last edited by Kalam; 09-24-2022 at 03:26 PM.

  14. #33354
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Seriously. Florida not covering is straight bullshit. Who the fuck goes for 2 to cut it do 9? It is just bad football. T

    Edit: Got in the back-back door with 17 seconds left. And Florida gets the onside kick, but should be down 3, but are down 5. So the retarded going for 2 actually cost them massive EV (with almost no possible upside) in this spot.
    Got this live during first quarter. Was dead as fuck and caught miracle. That Florida coach is a stone cold retard. Going for 2 down 17. Called timeout when Tenn had ball at end of first half that gave then just enough time to score TD.

    Living right today

    Single
    @
    +145
    Won
    Sep 24 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 49986
    Point Spread: Florida +6.0
    Florida @ Tennessee

  15. #33355
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    I dont have any action, but if you did have action the end of the Oregon/Wash. St. game must have been a serious roller coaster.

    Cliffnotes:

    Oregon scores 3 TDs in the span of a couple minutes late in the 4th to go from losing the game to covering the 6 (up by 10). Then on the second to last play of the game, Wash. St. completes a hailmary that is downed at the 1 yard line. And Wash. St. scores last play of the game to sneak in the backdoor.

  16. #33356
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    WTF. Have Arkansas +2, and they were up 14-7 and had 1st and goal from the 3, and RB was stripped and defense ran back 99 yards. Sick 14 point swing there.

  17. #33357
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Let's do a late baseball game.

    St. Louis probably going to have a scoring hangover after the 11-0 drubbing yesterday of the Dodgers.

    St. Louis (Montgomery) at Los Angeles (Kershaw) - Under 7.5 -115

  18. #33358
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Seriously. Florida not covering is straight bullshit. Who the fuck goes for 2 to cut it do 9? It is just bad football. T

    Edit: Got in the back-back door with 17 seconds left. And Florida gets the onside kick, but should be down 3, but are down 5. So the retarded going for 2 actually cost them massive EV (with almost no possible upside) in this spot.
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    WTF. Have Arkansas +2, and they were up 14-7 and had 1st and goal from the 3, and RB was stripped and defense ran back 99 yards. Sick 14 point swing there.

    I had Fla too and almost stroked when he went for 2. That’s fireable imo.

    Thank god your on ark bc I’m on am.


    Could you go ahead and post tomorrows picks for us??

    Tia
    he tries to fly under the radar with his gay big words - Big Bird

  19. #33359
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    WTF. Have Arkansas +2, and they were up 14-7 and had 1st and goal from the 3, and RB was stripped and defense ran back 99 yards. Sick 14 point swing there.
    That play was dumb as hell…QB dove from the 3 yard line…what an idiot.

  20. #33360
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Damn Dodgers too good.

    3 HR already off Jordan Montgomery, who seems to be tiring at the end of the year (my one concern with this bet).

    4-0 after 2.5 innings. Not good so far.

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